Aluminum

Global Aluminum Market to Reach US$367.3 Billion by 2030

The global market for Aluminum estimated at US$243.5 Billion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$367.3 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.1% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Transportation, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 7.3% CAGR and reach US$133.2 Billion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the Packaging segment is estimated at 8.0% CAGR over the analysis period.

The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$62.8 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 10.7% CAGR

The Aluminum market in the U.S. is estimated at US$62.8 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$88.6 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 10.7% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 4.1% and 5.7% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 5.1% CAGR.

Global Aluminum Market - Key Trends and Drivers

Aluminum is a lightweight, silver-white metal known for its softness, ductility, and resistance to corrosion. It is the most abundant metallic element in the Earth`s crust and is obtained primarily from bauxite ore. Aluminum is highly conductive of electricity and heat, making it extremely valuable in various applications across multiple industries. It is extensively used in the manufacturing of aircraft, automobiles, packaging materials, and construction materials, as well as in power transmission lines. The global demand for aluminum is primarily driven by its widespread use in the transportation sector, particularly in the automotive and aerospace industries. As these industries strive for greater fuel efficiency and reduced emissions, aluminum`s lightweight properties make it an ideal substitute for heavier metals like steel. This trend is further fueled by the rise of electric vehicles (EVs), where reducing vehicle weight is crucial for extending battery range. Additionally, the aerospace industry favors aluminum for its strength-to-weight ratio, which is essential for constructing lighter and more fuel-efficient aircraft. This ongoing shift towards lightweight materials is expected to remain a key driver of aluminum demand.

Another significant growth driver for aluminum is the construction industry, where it is favored for its durability, resistance to corrosion, and aesthetic qualities. Aluminum is used in a variety of construction applications, including window frames, roofing, siding, and structural components. The increasing urbanization and infrastructural development, particularly in emerging economies, are expected to boost the demand for aluminum.  Furthermore, the packaging industry represents a substantial market for aluminum, particularly in the production of cans, foils, and other containers. Aluminum`s ability to effectively preserve food and beverages by providing a barrier against light, oxygen, and moisture, coupled with its recyclability, makes it highly desirable in sustainable packaging solutions. The growing consumer awareness regarding environmental sustainability has led to a significant shift towards recyclable and reusable packaging materials, which in turn is boosting the demand for aluminum in this sector.

 Technological innovations are critical in promoting recycling within the aluminum industry, fostering a more sustainable circular economy. Advanced sorting and separation technologies improve the efficiency of recycling processes, decreasing the reliance on primary aluminum production from bauxite ore. Technological advancements are pivotal in shaping the future of aluminum. The adoption of additive manufacturing (3D printing) allows for the creation of complex, lightweight aluminum structures with minimal waste. Artificial intelligence (AI) is being utilized to optimize production efficiency and minimize energy use. Research into new aluminum alloys promises improved strength, formability, and corrosion resistance. The aerospace sector, in particular, continues to rely heavily on aluminum, employing advanced alloys and manufacturing techniques to enhance the performance and efficiency of aircraft and spacecraft.

SCOPE OF STUDY:

The report analyzes the Aluminum market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:

Segments:
End-Use (Transportation, Packaging, Construction, Electrical, Machinery & Equipment, Consumer Durables, Other End-Uses)

Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; Spain; Russia; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific (Australia; India; South Korea; and Rest of Asia-Pacific); Latin America (Argentina; Brazil; Mexico; and Rest of Latin America); Middle East (Iran; Israel; Saudi Arabia; United Arab Emirates; and Rest of Middle East); and Africa.

Select Competitors (Total 332 Featured) -

• Aluminum Corporation of China Ltd. (Chinalco)
• China Hongqiao Group Ltd.
• Emirates Global Aluminium PJSC
• Rio Tinto Ltd.
• RUSAL
• Xinfa Group Co., Ltd.

TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR

Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.

We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.

We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.

As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.

To our valued clients, we say, we have your back. We will present a simplified market reassessment by incorporating these changes!

APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE

Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.

JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET

Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.

Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:

USA
CHINA
MEXICO
CANADA
EU
JAPAN
INDIA
176 OTHER COUNTRIES.

Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.

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