5G NTN

Global 5G NTN Market to Reach US$47.8 Billion by 2030

The global market for 5G NTN estimated at US$8.3 Billion in the year 2024, is expected to reach US$47.8 Billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 33.9% over the analysis period 2024-2030. 5G NTN Hardware, one of the segments analyzed in the report, is expected to record a 38.6% CAGR and reach US$28.3 Billion by the end of the analysis period. Growth in the 5G NTN Software segment is estimated at 31.7% CAGR over the analysis period.

The U.S. Market is Estimated at US$2.2 Billion While China is Forecast to Grow at 31.9% CAGR

The 5G NTN market in the U.S. is estimated at US$2.2 Billion in the year 2024. China, the world`s second largest economy, is forecast to reach a projected market size of US$7.1 Billion by the year 2030 trailing a CAGR of 31.9% over the analysis period 2024-2030. Among the other noteworthy geographic markets are Japan and Canada, each forecast to grow at a CAGR of 31.6% and 28.8% respectively over the analysis period. Within Europe, Germany is forecast to grow at approximately 23.0% CAGR.

Global 5G Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) Market – Key Trends & Drivers Summarized

Why Are 5G Non-Terrestrial Networks Emerging as the Frontier of Global Connectivity?
5G Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTNs)—encompassing satellite, high-altitude platform stations (HAPS), and airborne relay systems—are rapidly emerging as a key pillar of global 5G architecture, aimed at extending coverage beyond terrestrial infrastructure limits. Unlike traditional 5G networks constrained by tower density and terrestrial backhaul availability, NTNs provide seamless broadband access to remote, underserved, and mobile environments such as oceans, deserts, airspace, and rural communities. These networks play a pivotal role in bridging the global digital divide, enabling critical applications in areas where terrestrial infrastructure is infeasible or economically unviable. NTNs support low-latency, high-bandwidth communication for sectors such as maritime logistics, oil and gas, defense, disaster recovery, and aviation. As global interest in ubiquitous connectivity accelerates, satellite operators, telecom providers, and network equipment vendors are converging around 3GPP-compliant NTN standards to ensure seamless integration with terrestrial 5G networks. NTNs are also being positioned to support direct-to-device (D2D) communication, enabling 5G services on smartphones without the need for satellite phones or external terminals. These developments are redefining the concept of global 5G coverage, pushing the boundaries of where high-speed, low-latency communication can be delivered.

How Are Technology Platforms and Spectrum Strategies Enabling NTN Deployment at Scale?
The advancement of NTN technologies is being fueled by developments in satellite design, signal processing, and spectrum harmonization. Next-generation Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite constellations, which offer lower latency and higher throughput compared to traditional geostationary (GEO) systems, are central to enabling real-time 5G services via NTNs. High-frequency Ka-band and Q/V-band spectrum allocations are being used to support ultra-broadband communication, while dual-band operation strategies are improving spectrum utilization and reliability. 3GPP Release 17 has standardized NTN integration into 5G NR, enabling compatibility across ground-based and space-based networks. Massive MIMO, beamforming, and dynamic frequency allocation technologies are being incorporated into satellite payloads and user terminals to boost spectral efficiency and link quality. Software-defined satellites (SDS) and virtualized network functions (VNFs) are allowing flexible service configuration and adaptive resource management across global coverage zones. Inter-satellite link (ISL) technologies are further enhancing mesh networking among LEO satellites, minimizing ground relay dependencies. Meanwhile, ground segment innovations—such as phased array antennas, lightweight user terminals, and cloud-native network orchestration—are streamlining user access and operational scalability. These platform-level advances are establishing a robust foundation for commercial and defense-grade NTN deployments at global scale.

What Strategic Applications Are Driving Cross-Sector Adoption of 5G NTN Solutions?
The commercial relevance of 5G NTNs spans a broad array of mission-critical and high-value use cases across vertical industries. In public safety and disaster response, NTNs offer resilient, rapidly deployable connectivity in areas where terrestrial networks have been compromised. Maritime and offshore industries use NTNs to ensure uninterrupted connectivity for fleet monitoring, crew welfare, and supply chain coordination. In agriculture and environmental monitoring, NTNs support IoT sensor networks for tracking climate conditions, soil quality, and livestock movement in remote areas. Defense and aerospace sectors leverage NTNs for tactical communication, ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance), and command-and-control continuity in contested environments. Aviation and UAV operators rely on NTNs to support inflight connectivity, air traffic coordination, and real-time telemetry transmission over airspace with limited terrestrial signal reach. Additionally, NTNs are being piloted for direct-to-smartphone satellite messaging, emergency alerts, and IoT backhaul in sparsely connected geographies. The integration of NTNs into hybrid network architectures is also enabling network operators to offer "everywhere coverage" service plans, appealing to enterprise users and governments alike. These strategic applications are fostering new business models, public-private partnerships, and regulatory engagement across the emerging 5G NTN value chain.

What Is Driving the Growth of the 5G Non-Terrestrial Networks Market Across Infrastructure and End-Use Domains?
The growth in the 5G Non-Terrestrial Networks market is driven by several interconnected factors spanning technological advancement, commercial urgency, and regulatory momentum. The increasing need for global connectivity across air, land, and sea is creating demand for reliable, high-capacity communication in areas beyond terrestrial network reach. Rapid expansion of LEO constellations by satellite providers is unlocking new service models with competitive latency and bandwidth profiles. Government-backed digital inclusion initiatives, defense modernization programs, and space-based communication mandates are accelerating NTNs` institutional adoption. The rise of data-intensive applications such as autonomous mobility, border security, and smart agriculture is reinforcing the need for real-time connectivity across geographies. Regulatory standardization by 3GPP and national telecom authorities is enabling interoperability and accelerating device certification for NTN compatibility. Telecom operators are exploring hybrid network architectures that combine terrestrial and satellite 5G to ensure service continuity and extend market coverage. Meanwhile, smartphone manufacturers and chipset vendors are actively integrating satellite-ready capabilities into mainstream consumer devices. These multifaceted drivers are positioning 5G NTNs as a strategic enabler of universal, resilient, and scalable connectivity, underpinning the next chapter of global communication infrastructure.

SCOPE OF STUDY:

The report analyzes the 5G NTN market in terms of units by the following Segments, and Geographic Regions/Countries:

Segments:
Component (5G NTN Hardware, 5G NTN Software, 5G NTN Services); Platform (UAS Platform, LEO Platform, GEO Platform, MEO Platform); Application (Enhanced Mobile Broadband, Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Communications, Massive Machine-Type Communications); End-Use (Aerospace and Defense End-Use, Government End-Use, Maritime End-Use, Mining End-Use, Other End-Uses)

Geographic Regions/Countries:
World; United States; Canada; Japan; China; Europe (France; Germany; Italy; United Kingdom; and Rest of Europe); Asia-Pacific; Rest of World.

Select Competitors (Total 34 Featured) -

• Gatehouse Satcom A/S
• Gilat Satellite Networks
• Keysight Technologies, Inc.
• Mavenir Systems, Inc.
• Mediatek, Inc.
• Quectel Wireless Solutions Co., Ltd.
• Rohde & Schwarz GmbH & Co. KG
• Software Radio Systems
• Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson
• The Technology Partnership PLC
• Viavi Solutions, Inc.
• ZTE Corporation

TARIFF IMPACT FACTOR

Our new release incorporates impact of tariffs on geographical markets as we predict a shift in competitiveness of companies based on HQ country, manufacturing base, exports and imports (finished goods and OEM). This intricate and multifaceted market reality will impact competitors by artificially increasing the COGS, reducing profitability, reconfiguring supply chains, amongst other micro and macro market dynamics.

We are diligently following expert opinions of leading Chief Economists (14,949), Think Tanks (62), Trade & Industry bodies (171) worldwide, as they assess impact and address new market realities for their ecosystems. Experts and economists from every major country are tracked for their opinions on tariffs and how they will impact their countries.

We expect this chaos to play out over the next 2-3 months and a new world order is established with more clarity. We are tracking these developments on a real time basis.

As we release this report, U.S. Trade Representatives are pushing their counterparts in 183 countries for an early closure to bilateral tariff negotiations. Most of the major trading partners also have initiated trade agreements with other key trading nations, outside of those in the works with the United States. We are tracking such secondary fallouts as supply chains shift.

To our valued clients, we say, we have your back. We will present a simplified market reassessment by incorporating these changes!

APRIL 2025: NEGOTIATION PHASE

Our April release addresses the impact of tariffs on the overall global market and presents market adjustments by geography. Our trajectories are based on historic data and evolving market impacting factors.

JULY 2025 FINAL TARIFF RESET

Complimentary Update: Our clients will also receive a complimentary update in July after a final reset is announced between nations. The final updated version incorporates clearly defined Tariff Impact Analyses.

Reciprocal and Bilateral Trade & Tariff Impact Analyses:

USA
CHINA
MEXICO
CANADA
EU
JAPAN
INDIA
176 OTHER COUNTRIES.

Leading Economists - Our knowledge base tracks 14,949 economists including a select group of most influential Chief Economists of nations, think tanks, trade and industry bodies, big enterprises, and domain experts who are sharing views on the fallout of this unprecedented paradigm shift in the global econometric landscape. Most of our 16,491+ reports have incorporated this two-stage release schedule based on milestones.

Please note: Reports are sold as single-site single-user licenses. Electronic versions require 24-48 hours as each copy is customized to the client with digital controls and custom watermarks. The Publisher uses digital controls protecting against copying and printing is restricted to one full copy to be used at the same location.

The latest version of Adobe Acrobat Reader is required to view the report. Upon ordering an electronic version, the Publisher will provide a link to download the purchased report.

Prior to fulfillment of an order, the client will be required to sign a document detailing the purchase terms for a publication from this publisher.