India Oil Refining Market Overview, 2030

India’s oil refining industry has witnessed rapid expansion over the last two decades, driven by both public sector undertakings and private companies. The market is dominated by major players such as Indian Oil Corporation (IOC), Reliance Industries, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL), and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited (HPCL). India’s refining capacity is concentrated in major complexes including Jamnagar, Paradip, and Visakhapatnam, with Jamnagar standing as one of the world’s largest refining hubs operated by Reliance. The industry has adopted an export-oriented strategy, particularly focusing on diesel and gasoline exports to neighboring countries and global markets. The sector’s growth is closely tied to India’s economic development, rising transportation needs, and increasing urbanization. Refinery utilization rates remain high, often exceeding 90%, reflecting strong domestic and international demand. The industry is also tightly integrated with petrochemical production, supporting India’s growing chemical sector. Geopolitical factors such as OPEC+ production decisions and crude oil price volatility significantly impact India’s refining operations and feedstock sourcing, as the country relies heavily on crude imports. India faces energy transition pressures, balancing continued fossil fuel use with initiatives for cleaner fuels and lower emissions. Recent developments include large-scale refinery modernization projects, investments in renewable diesel capacity, and increasing focus on ethanol blending mandates. Policies under the “Atmanirbhar Bharat” initiative emphasize self-reliance, supporting domestic refining capabilities and infrastructure expansion to reduce dependency on imports and improve energy security. In January 2024, two new auctions for subsidies to support the uptake of green hydrogen in ammonia production and oil refining were launched by India’s Ministry of New and Renewable Energy. Pradhan Mantri JI-VAN Yojana supports bio-ethanol projects such as second generation and third generation plants for sustainable fuel production.

According to the research report ""India Oil Refining Market Overview, 2030,"" published by Bonafide Research, the India Oil Refining market is anticipated to grow at more than 6.73% CAGR from 2025 to 2030. India’s oil refining market size has grown robustly in recent years, supported by rising fuel consumption linked to population growth, expanding transportation networks, and industrialization. Several large refinery upgrade and expansion projects are underway, including the expansion of existing complexes and construction of new facilities, aiming to meet stricter fuel quality standards such as the Bharat Stage VI (BS-VI) emission norms and IMO 2020 sulfur caps for marine fuels. In October 2023, a subsidiary of Oil India, India’s NRL (Numaligarh Refinery Ltd.), planned to start production of ethanol at its biorefinery in the northeastern state of Assam from March, said Bhasker Phukan, the company’s managing director. The government is actively promoting renewable diesel and ethanol blending to reduce carbon intensity in transportation fuels. The Strategic Petroleum Reserves is primarily located at three underground storage facilities in Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, and Padur (Karnataka), with a total capacity of 5.33 Million Metric Tonnes (MMT) of crude oil managed by the Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserve Limited (ISPRL). Pipeline infrastructure improvements are ongoing to support efficient crude supply and refined product distribution across the vast country. Ethanol Blending Program promotes biofuels to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and curb emissions. The government has a target of achieving 20% ethanol blending in petrol by 2025-26. Since the inception of the EBP Programme, ethanol blending has increased from 38 crore litres in the Ethanol Supply Year (ESY) 2013-14 to over 707.4 crore litres in ESY 2023-24. National Bio-Energy Programme focuses on bio-energy production and reducing waste.

Diesel remains the dominant refined fuel in India, driven largely by extensive road freight transportation and the agricultural sector, where diesel powers tractors, irrigation pumps, and rural transport. Despite increasing electrification in passenger vehicles, diesel demand stays robust because of logistics growth and construction activities. Gasoline demand is growing steadily, propelled by rising urbanization and increasing use of two-wheelers and passenger cars. Cities like Delhi, Mumbai, and Bangalore contribute significantly to gasoline consumption due to expanding urban populations and improving road infrastructure. Jet fuel demand has seen a noticeable rise, especially following the privatization of major airports and government initiatives like the UDAAN scheme, which aims to improve regional connectivity and boost domestic air travel. Asphalt and bitumen consumption are closely tied to India’s ambitious highway expansion and infrastructure development programs, including the National Highways Development Project and rural road connectivity schemes. These fuels support large-scale road construction and maintenance activities. LPG penetration has increased sharply in rural and low-income households through the Ujjwala Yojana, which provides subsidized cooking gas connections to reduce dependence on traditional biomass fuels. This program has significantly expanded LPG use, contributing to cleaner cooking energy adoption in millions of homes. Other products like lubricants serve industrial and automotive sectors, while fuel oil consumption is limited and primarily used in specific industrial applications. Stringent implementation of BS-VI fuel standards has driven refiners to improve fuel quality across all types, supporting cleaner air initiatives. Diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, LPG, and bitumen together form the core refined product demand structure, reflecting India’s diverse energy consumption needs.

Road transportation is the largest consumer of refined fuels in India, with trucks, buses, and private vehicles accounting for the bulk of diesel and gasoline consumption. The country’s logistics sector is rapidly expanding due to growth in e-commerce, manufacturing, and infrastructure projects, leading to high diesel demand. Aviation fuels have seen steady growth, supported by government schemes like UDAAN and airport privatization initiatives that have improved connectivity and increased passenger air traffic. This trend is visible in major hubs such as Delhi, Mumbai, and Bengaluru. Marine fuel consumption is concentrated around Gujarat’s ports, such as Kandla and Mundra, and southern ports including Chennai and Kochi, supporting both domestic coastal shipping and international trade. The petrochemical industry is a significant consumer of refinery products, with large complexes in Jamnagar and Ratnagiri providing feedstock for plastics, chemicals, and synthetic materials. Residential LPG consumption has expanded rapidly, especially in rural areas due to government subsidy programs like Ujjwala Yojana, which aims to replace traditional biomass cooking fuels with cleaner LPG, improving health and reducing deforestation. Electricity generation uses minimal refined fuels, as India increasingly relies on coal, renewables, and natural gas for power. Other niche applications include diesel use in agriculture, railways, and domestic waterways, though these contribute smaller volumes relative to road transport. Government fuel quality regulations and emissions norms increasingly shape demand patterns across these applications, encouraging a shift towards cleaner fuels and efficiency.

India’s refinery feedstock mix is dominated by a blend of imported crude oils, primarily sourced from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and the United States, reflecting the country’s strategic efforts to diversify supply and manage geopolitical risks. Iraq and Saudi Arabia remain the largest crude suppliers, providing medium and light sweet grades preferred by complex refineries for higher-value product yields. The government maintains strategic crude reserves in locations such as Vishakhapatnam, Mangaluru, and Padur, which act as price and supply buffers during market volatility. Ethanol blending has become a key feedstock development, with a government target to achieve 20% blending in petrol by 2030, encouraging refinery investments in bioethanol production and distribution infrastructure. Bio-feedstock trials are underway at major refineries operated by BPCL, IOCL, and HPCL, focusing on co-processing vegetable oils and other renewable inputs to produce cleaner fuels and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). Natural gas liquids (NGLs) also contribute to refinery feed, though on a limited scale compared to crude. Other feedstocks such as coal tar or residual oils have marginal roles and are mostly confined to specific industrial applications. Volatile global crude prices and evolving quality specifications have led refiners to invest in flexible processing units capable of handling a wider crude slate. These feedstock trends reflect India’s dual challenge of ensuring supply security while pursuing cleaner and diversified energy sources as part of its climate commitments.

India hosts some of the world’s most complex refining facilities, with the Jamnagar refinery operated by Reliance Industries standing as the largest and most sophisticated refinery globally, featuring extensive deep conversion units, delayed cokers, hydrocrackers, and catalytic reformers. This refinery’s high Nelson Complexity Index allows processing of heavy, sour crudes into a wide range of high-value fuels and petrochemicals. Other deep conversion units are located in Paradip, Vizag, and Mumbai, enabling refiners to meet stringent BS-VI emission norms through advanced desulfurization and fuel upgrading technologies. Hydro-skimming and topping refineries remain prevalent in smaller scale or regional operations but are gradually being upgraded or phased out to improve fuel quality and environmental compliance. Significant investments in fluid catalytic cracking (FCC) and hydrocracker units have allowed refiners to increase diesel and jet fuel yields, aligning production with market demand shifts. The government and industry are increasingly focused on hybrid green refinery development, blending conventional refining with renewable diesel, biofuels, and hydrogen co-processing initiatives. These efforts aim to decarbonize refinery operations, reduce sulfur and carbon footprints, and comply with global sustainability standards. Efficiency retrofits, digital monitoring, and automation upgrades are also prominent, improving operational flexibility and lowering emissions. India’s refining complexity profile underscores its strategic position as a global refining hub capable of producing a broad product slate while addressing environmental challenges through technology-driven transformation.

Considered in this report
• Historic Year: 2019
• Base year: 2024
• Estimated year: 2025
• Forecast year: 2030

Aspects covered in this report
• Oil Refining Market with its value and forecast along with its segments
• Various drivers and challenges
• On-going trends and developments
• Top profiled companies
• Strategic recommendation

By Fule Type
• Gasoline
• Diesel/Gasoil
• Jet Fuel
• LPG
• Fuel Oil
• Others (Lubricants, Asphalt)

By Application
• Road Transportation
• Aviation
• Marine Bunker
• Petrochemical Industry
• Residential & Commercial
• Electricity Generation
• Others (Rail & Domestic Waterways, Agriculture)

By Feedstock
• Crude Oil
• Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs)
• Biomass
• Others (Coal Tar, etc.)

By Complexity Type
• Topping
• Hydro-skimming
• Conversion
• Deep Conversion
• Others Show more