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The Grocery Retail Market in Uganda

The Grocery Retail Market in Uganda

This report analyzes the grocery retail market in Uganda. It provides in depth historic data and five year forecasts on the growth of the grocery retail market. The report is split into chapters looking at the changing retail landscape, the underlying market dynamics powering growth, the market size and the leading supermarket chains, and the future outlook – for supermarket retailing, online grocery retail and out-of-town grocery retail

Assess the key drivers of grocery retail market growth and their impact on spending growth

Quantify the size of the grocery retail market and the role of modern trade in it

Identify the leading supermarket chains, the size of their networks and their position in the market

Understand the future of the grocery retail market and the factors that will shape market success

Forecast grocery retail spend through to 2020

The prospect of major oil revenues in Western Uganda will shift the Kampala-centric investment in modern retail –in Kasese, Masindi, Arua and Fort Portal, for example, the oil industry could quickly lead to a boom in the local economy that will drive retail generally but the development of modern supermarket retailing specifically.

Per capita spending on grocery has risen only slightly since 2011, reaching $156.3 per capita in 2015. This is, however, nearly double per capita spend in 2004.

Among the domestic retailers, two chains predominate –Capital Shoppers and Quality Supermarkets, both of which have four large format supermarkets in Kampala. Of them, Quality Supermarkets is larger and better established, having been formed in 1980.

What are the key drivers of grocery retail market growth?

What is the size of the grocery retail market

Who are the leading supermarket chains?

Which factors will shape market success?

How will grocery retail spend growth through to 2020?

Scope and definitions
Defining informal/formal and traditional/modern trade
The Changing Retail Landscape
The key drivers of changing consumer lifestyles
The impact of changing consumer lifestyles on the retail landscape
The process of transition towards formal and modern retail as economies grow
The impact of modernization on the retail landscape
Market Dynamics
Economic growth
Income and GDP per capita
Governance and risk
Logistics landscape and capabilities
Population growth
Household size
Urbanization in Uganda and its impact on retail
Key trends in urbanization in Uganda
Grocery Retail in Uganda
Grocery retail market size
Grocery retail spend per capita
Leading supermarket chains
Nakumatt Holdings
Tusker Mattresses
Capital Shoppers
Future Outlook and Grocery Retail Market Forecast
Market forecast
The development of supermarket retailing
Prospects for added value supermarket retailing
Prospects for forecourt and out of town retailing
Prospects for online retailing
Future outlook
About Trendtype
Table of Tables
GDP (Current $m), 2011-2015
Key cities
Grocery retail market value ($m), 2011-2015
Grocery retail spend per capita ($), 2011-2015
Key players in grocery retailing
Nakumatt Holdings key information
Tusker Mattresses key information
Capital Shoppers key information
Grocery retail market value ($m), 2016-2020
Key issues driving future competition
Households with a refrigerator (‘000 households), 2011-2015
Households with a car (‘000 households), 2011-2015
Population with internet access (m), 2010-2014
Table of Figures
Key drivers of changing consumer lifestyles
Six key outputs for retailers of changing consumer lifestyles
Five key stages of grocery retail sector development
GDP (Current $m), 2011-2015
GDP, PPP per capita (constant 2011 international $), 2010-2014
GNI per capita ($, Atlas Method), 2009-2014
World Governance Indicators, 2014
Risk factors, Q3 2015
Logistics Performance Index, 2014
Population (m people), 2005-2015
Population (m people), 2015-2050
Average household size (number of people), 2009-2015
Number of households (m), 2009-2015
Urbanization rate (%), 2015-2050
Size of the urban population (m people), 2015-2050
Grocery retail market value ($m), 2011-2015
Grocery retail spend per capita ($), 2011-2015
Nakumatt geographic profile
Tuskys geographic profile
Capital Shoppers geographic profile
Grocery retail market value ($m), 2016-2020
Share of households owning a refrigerator (%), 2011-2015
Share of households owning a car (%), 2011-2015
Internet penetration (% population with internet access), 2010-2014

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