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The Future of the Grocery Retail Market in Uganda to 2021

The Future of the Grocery Retail Market in Uganda to 2021

This report provides in depth data on the grocery retail market in Uganda. It features historic data and five year forecasts for market value and per capita spend in the grocery market. Our data also includes the number of outlets in the store universe by channel and channel values for open market vendors, small stores and kiosks, medium stores, supermarkets, hypermarkets and forecourt retailers.

It also analyses the competitive landscape in Uganda with data on the leading domestic and international store networks. Trendtype's proprietary data supports a detailed analysis of the risks and market opportunity in Uganda and assesses its market attractiveness for retailers.

- Assess the key drivers of grocery retail market growth in Uganda
- Quantify the size of the grocery retail market with forecasts through to 2021
- Understand the size and structure of the store universe in Uganda
- Quantify sales by channel and the size of the modern and traditional channels
- Identify the leading domestic and international supermarket chains and the competitive landscape
- Analyse the market opportunity, attractiveness, risk factors and future outlook for Uganda

- What are the key drivers of the grocery retail market in Uganda?
- What is the market size and value of the grocery retail market?
- What is size and structure of the store universe?
- What is the value of each grocery retail channel?
- Who are the leading domestic and international supermarket chains?
- What are the winning strategies for success in Uganda?
- How attractive is Uganda as a grocery retail market compared to other countries in Africa and East Africa?
- How will grocery retail spend overall and per capita grow through to 2021?

- Uganda has proven to be a challenging market for supermarket retailers - Kenyan chains Uchumi and Nakumatt have both entered and exited in recent years.
- The key underlying issue is Uganda's relatively small consumer class and low levels of urbanization - outside Kampala and Entebbe the demand profile is very different.
- But strong population growth continues to power growth: the grocery retail market increased by more than $1bn in value between 2012 and 2016.
- Although there are international retailers in Uganda, many consumers actively trust and prefer to shop in indigenous supermarket chains.
- We believe Uganda is on the threshold of being a priority target market as demand for FMCG keeps rising.


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Market Size and Growth
General Market Dynamics
Chapter 1: COUNTRY PROFILE
Country Profile
Map and Major Cities
Population
Gross Domestic Product
Living Standards
Chapter 2: RISK AND BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Risk
How Easy is it to do Business?
Chapter 3: GROCERY RETAIL MARKET SIZE
Introduction
Grocery Market Size
Grocery Retail Spend Per Capita
Chapter 4: GROCERY RETAIL CHANNELS AND DISTRIBUTION
Channel Definitions
Traditional Channel Definitions
Modern Channel Definitions
Size of the Outlet Universe
Grocery Retail Sales by Channel
Modern vs. Traditional Trade
Chapter 5: LEADING GROCERY RETAILERS
Grocery Retail Competitive Landscape
Domestic Grocery Retailers
International Grocery Retailers
Chapter 6: GROCERY RETAIL MARKET ATTRACTIVENESS
Grocery Market Attractiveness
Chapter 7: GROCERY RETAIL MARKET FORECASTS
Grocery Sales Forecast
Grocery Retail Sales Per Capita Forecast
HOW TO CONTACT US
Table of Figures
Figure 1: Country Profile - Uganda, 2017
Figure 2: Map and Major Cities - Uganda
Figure 3: Population - Uganda (thousands of inhabitants), 2016-2021f
Figure 4: GDP - Uganda (current, $M), 2016-2021f)
Figure 5: Trendtype Living Standards Score - Uganda, 2015-2016
Figure 6: Trendtype Living Standards Score Heat Map - East Africa, 2015-2016
Figure 7: Country Risk Index - Uganda, Q2 2017
Figure 8: Country Risk Heat Map - East Africa, Q2 2017
Figure 9: Business Environment Index - Uganda, 2017
Figure 10: Ease of Doing Business - Africa, 2017
Figure 11: Logistics Performance Index - Africa, 2017
Figure 12: Competitiveness Index- Africa, 2017
Figure 13: Grocery Retail Market Development Model
Figure 14: Grocery Retail Sales - Uganda (current, $M), 2012-2016
Figure 15: Grocery Retail Sales - Uganda (current, ‎Ush) 2012-2016
Figure 16: Grocery Retail Sales per capita - Uganda (current, $M), 2012-2016
Figure 17: Grocery Retail Sales per capita Heat Map - East Africa, 2016
Figure 18: Traditional Channels Definitions
Figure 19: Modern Channels Definitions
Figure 20: Grocery Outlet Universe by Channel - Uganda (no. of outlets), 2017f
Figure 21: Grocery Retail Sales by Channel - Uganda (% sales by value), 2017f
Figure 22: Grocery Retail Sales by Channel - Uganda (current, $m), 2017f
Figure 23: Grocery Retail Sales by Channel - Uganda and East Africa (% sales by value), 2017f
Figure 24: Modern vs. Traditional Trade - Uganda and East Africa (% sales by value), 2017f
Figure 25: Assessment of Retailer Network Strength and Format Diversification in Uganda
Figure 26: Grocery Retail Investment Outlook for Uganda
Figure 27: Market Opportunity vs. Market Maturity - East Africa, 2017f
Figure 28: Market Opportunity vs. Market Stability - East Africa, 2017f
Figure 29: Market Opportunity vs. Competitive Landscape - East Africa, 2017f
Figure 30: Grocery Retail Sales Forecast - Uganda (current, $m), 2017-2021f
Figure 31: Grocery Retail Sales per capita Forecast - Uganda (current, $m), 2017-2021f
Table of Tables
Table 1: Major Cities and Populations - Uganda
Table 2: Grocery Retail Sales per capita - Uganda (current, ‎Ush) 2012-2016
Table 3: Domestic grocery retailers in Uganda
Table 4: International grocery retailers in Uganda

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