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Wire & Cable Report Ed 4 2018

Copper price impacts wire and cable sales revenue

 

Sales forecasts – Production tonnage of cable and $ sales revenue are plotted from 2000 to 2017, against the cable price and the copper price in $/tonne . The correlations established enable reliable prediction of the value of future sales of wire and cable.

 

The StatPlan Wire & Cable Report Ed 4 2018 sizes sales demand for energy and telecoms wire and cable for 2017 and forecasts it from 2018 to 2022, globally, for the regions and for major countries.

Product groups – Insulated Copper Power Cable, Insulated Aluminium Power Cable, Low Voltage Cable, Uninsulated Conductors, Metallic Telecoms Cable, Fibre Optic Cable, Winding Wire  Charted by country and region, from 2000 to 2017, forecast to 2022.

 

Factors driving prices of cable analysed in detail – Commodity Prices, Production Capacity, Demand, Learning Rate.

Copper substitution is reported, price ratio of copper/aluminium plotted over time, with com-mentary on hollow prices trends.

End user segments with shares -.Infrastructure and utilities, Generation, T&D, Industry OEM/Automotive/Renewables/Elevators/Telecoms/Construction/OGP/SURF.

The most profitable product groups are identified with long-term growth prospects.

The report identifies several hundred cable manufacturers, with profiles and market shares within product segments for eleven global leaders (European) –  Prysmian, Nexans, Leoni, NKT Cable  (USA) – General Cable, Southwire, Belden Cable, Coleman Cable (Asian) – Fu-jikura, Furukawa, Hitachi Cable.

Extensive analysis of the manufacturing sector, with overall vendor shares for Top 50 and competitive analysis within energy, communications and subsea sectors regions and major countries.

Insulated land cables and bare conductors are not the most profitable category of cable but they are stable long-term earners. The incidence of underground cabling is charted by country.

Market drivers within end user segments.

A brief section deals with mechanical wire rope with market size and shares.

Subsea tree awards are charted and projected to 2020, the indicators of subsea cable demand.

A section outlines the progress of superconductors, potentially one of the most important developments for the electrical sector in the future, now being commercialised, with a review of the major companies and developers and research & industry bodies.

 

The markets of cable products and their applications:
• Insulated land cables, HV, MV and LV, underground land cables.
• Electricity transmission and distribution – insulated cables and ACSR bare conductors.
• Marine market – offshore wind power, oil & gas (OGP) with key country markets.
• Submarine cables; demand, manufacturers, development.
• SURF (Subsea Umbilicals, Risers and Flowlines), pre-salt/post-salt reserves.
• Industrial applications – OEM, transport harnesses, automotive, mining, electric railways & HSR by region, light railways.

 


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Tonnage of production
Consumption of metallic wire and cable and fibre optic cable
Regional market shares
End users
Manufacturers
Land-based cable
Subsea cable
Superconductors
Copper and aluminium prices and volume used in cable production
1.ALL CABLE - ELECTRICAL CONDUCTORS AND MECHANICAL ROPE
2.GLOBAL MARKET SIZE & PRICE INDEX - CONDUCTORS AND TELECOMS CABLES
Metallic wire & cable - production and consumption
Price and consumption of metallic cable
Optical fibre cable - production and consumption
Price and consumption of optical fibre cable
3.REGIONAL AND PRODUCT ANALYSIS OF THE WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
All wire and cables consumption – value $ millions
Bare conductor, insulated energy cable and all other cable
Global production by region
End-user sectors
International trade
4.THE EUROPEAN WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
Market size
Wire and cable market east/west European distribution
Product groups by value
FRANCE
Market by product group
French wire and cable manufacturers
GERMANY
Market by product group
German wire and cable manufacturers
ITALY
Market by product group
Italian wire and cable manufacturers
SPAIN
Market by product group
Spanish wire and cable manufacturers
UNITED KINGDOM
Market by product group
UK wire and cable manufacturers
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA
BULGARIA
CROATIA
GREECE
MACEDONIA
ROMANIA
SERBIA
SLOVENIA
5.THE CIS WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
RUSSIA
Demand
Russian wire and cable manufacturers
6.THE CHINESE WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
Demand
Market by product group
International trade
Certification
Market gaps
End users
Power sector
Nuclear Power
Wind power
Solar power
Telecoms Industry
Construction
Automotive Industry
Chinese wire and cable manufacturers
Capacity utilisation
Key Manufacturers
Two tier market
Counterfeit cables
7.THE ASIA PACIFIC (EXCLUDING CHINA) WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
JAPAN
Demand
Production
Japanese wire and cable manufacturers
KOREA
Demand
Korean wire and cable manufacturers
TAIWAN
Demand
Taiwanese wire and cable manufacturers
INDIA
Demand
End users
Power cable
Telecom sector
External copper telecom cable
Automotive Sector
Indian wire and cable manufacturers
Informal sector
Counterfeit cables
Standards
Foreign investors
8.MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
MIDDLE EAST & TURKEY
Demand
Middle Eastern wire and cable manufacturers
AFRICA
Demand,
African wire and cable manufacturers
NORTH AFRICA
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
9.NORTH AMERICAN WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
UNITED STATES
Demand
Product groups
LV wire & cable markets
Electricity Distribution
Construction
Automotive wire and cable
Automotive cable products
Outlook
HV and MV power cable
Electricity transmission and distribution,
Telecoms technology and market size
American wire and cable manufacturers
10.LATIN AMERICAN WIRE AND CABLE MARKET
Demand
BRAZIL
Demand
MEXICO
Demand
11.GLOBAL WIRE AND CABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION
12.COPPER SUBSTITUTION IN METALLIC CABLE
Aluminium has a narrower price range than copper
Some main characteristics and advantages
Hollow prices show little movement
13.THE TECHNOLOGY OF SINGLE AND MULTI MODE FIBRE OPTIC
The composition of a fibre optic cable
Single-mode fibre optic cable
Multimode fibre optic cable
The difference between multi-mode and single-mode fibre
The choice between single- and multi-mode fibre
14.WIRE ROPE
Production
Applications of wire rope
Manufacturers
Wire rope manufacturers
15.LONG TERM PROSPECTS AND PROFITABILITY OF CONDUCTORS
Subsea cable
SURF
Fibre optical cable
Land extra high voltage cable
16.ENERGY AND COMMUNICATIONS CABLE MANUFACTURERS
17.WIRE AND CABLE MARKET DRIVERS
Transmission and distribution in the electrical supply industry
Electrification
Transmission network development
Railways
Telecoms
Regional versus intercontinental traffic
Automotive
Construction
18.PRICE TRENDS AND FACTORS DRIVING PRICES
1.Commodity prices
2.Demand for cable
3i.Production capacity for metallic cable
China
India
United States
Europe
MENA
3ii.Production capacity for fibre optic cable
4.The effect of the learning rate on the prices of new technology
19.INSULATED LAND CABLES – HV, MV & LV
Underground cabling in the utility sector
Regional analysis
Drivers for underground cables
High costs
Impact of urbanisation
Insulated land cable in the industrial sector
20.THE MARINE MARKET- OFFSHORE WIND POWER, OIL & GAS
Oil and gas offshore market
Topside cables
Transmission
The difference between offshore dry tree and subsea wet tree
Subsea market
SURF (subsea, umbilicals, risers and pipes)
Pre-salt & post-salt reserves
Offshore wind power
Electrical systems of offshore wind installations
Collection system
Floating foundations
Transmission system
HVAC/HVDC
Key country markets for offshore wind
German offshore wind power
UK offshore wind power
Floating wind turbines
United States offshore wind power
Technology for subsea cables
21.SUBSEA COMMUNICATIONS CABLE NETWORKS
Subsea cable laying
Legal considerations
Hazards to subsea cables
22.INDUSTRIAL MARKETS
Transport - cable, wires and wiring harnesses
Aircraft
Shipping
Automobiles
Mining
Construction
On-shore wind power
Manufacturing and process industry
23.ELECTRIFIED RAILWAYS
History and development
Power delivery
Electrified railway lengths by country
The scale of the challenge for rail transport
24.SUBSEA CABLE MANUFACTURERS
25.ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY, SUPERCONDUCTORS
Zero Resistance
Perfect Conductor of Electricity
Critical Temperature
HTS vs LTS
Conditions required for a material to exhibit superconducting behaviour
Current state of development of the SC market
AMSC customers
The discovery of superconductivity – Technical development
Advantages of superconductor cable
Higher current-carrying capacity
Lower life-costs for the system
Challenges to be overcome
High initial cost
Cryogenic Refrigeration System (CRS)
Promoters
Future market for HTS superconductors in utilities
26.METAL THEFT
27.CABLE PROPERTIES
Tensile strength
Flexibility or flex ratio
Conductivity
Weight
Cost
METHODOLOGY
Figures
Figure 1: Categories of rope, cable and conductor
Figure 2: Metallic wire and cable production excluding fibre optic, tonnes, 2000-2022
Figure 3: Cable consumption including insulated and uninsulated metallic cable, fibre optical cable
and winding wire, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 4: Indices of total consumption of metallic wire and cable in tonnage and value and $ per ton,
compared with the copper price 2000.
Figure 5: Fibre optical cable consumption, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 6: Fibre optic cable deployment in km from 1998
Figure 7: Fibre optical cable consumption, km and price per km, 2000-2022
Figure 8: Copper and aluminium price index, 2002 to 2015
Figure 9: All wire and cable consumption by type, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 10: The split between bare conductors, insulated energy cable, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 11: Wire and cable consumption by region, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 12: Wire and cable production by region, thousand tonnes, 2000-2020
Figure 13: Global consumption of wire and cable by end-user sector, 2017
Figure 14: Geographical distribution of imports and exports
Figure 15: European consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 16: The European market split between Western Europe, Eastern Europe, 2000 to 2022
Figure 17: The European market for wire and cable by country, shares in value 2000 and 2016
Figure 18: Western Europe consumption by country, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 19: Eastern Europe consumption by country, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 20: European consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 21: French consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 22: French consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 23: German consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 24: German consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 25: Italian consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 26: Italian consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 27: Spanish consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 28: Spanish consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 29: United Kingdom consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 30: United Kingdom consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 31: Russian consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 32: Russian consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 33: Market shares of cable accessory suppliers in Russia
Figure 34: Chinese consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 35: Chinese consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 36: Japanese consumption of wire and cable by value 2000-2022
Figure 37: Japanese consumption of wire and cable by product segment, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 38: Korean consumption of wire and cable by value 2000-2022
Figure 39: Korean consumption of wire and cable by product segment, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 40: Taiwanese consumption of wire and cable by value 2000-2022
Figure 41: Taiwanese consumption of wire and cable by product segment, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 42: Indian consumption of wire and cable by value 2000-2022
Figure 43: Indian consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 44: % market share of principal wire and cable producers in India, 2014
Figure 45: Middle Eastern consumption (includig Turkey) of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 46: Middle Eastern consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 47: African consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2021
Figure 48: African consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 49: US consumption of wire and cable by value 2000-2022
Figure 50: US consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 51: Wire and cable production in the USA, $ million, 2011
Figure 52: Latin American consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 53: The Latin American market for wire and cable in value, Brazil, Mexico, LAC, 2000-2022
Figure 54: Brazilian consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 55: Brazilian consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 56: Mexican consumption of wire and cable in value 2000-2022
Figure 57: Mexican consumption by product group, $ million, 2000-2022
Figure 58: Copper price trends
Figure 59: Aluminium price trends
Figure 60: Copper prices vary more than those of aluminium
Figure 61: Copper price to aluminium price ratio
Figure 62: The composition of a fibre cable
Figure 63: Single mode fibre optic cable
Figure 64: Multi-mode fibre optic cable
Figure 65: A comparison between single-mode and multi-mode fibre optic
Figure 66: Market shares of principal wirerope manufacturers
Figure 67: Long term growth and profitability
Figure 68: The top cable manufacturers by share (54% of global production), 2017
Figure 69: Electrification of the world
Figure 70: FTTX variants
Figure 71: Cost of manufacture of cable
Figure 72: Metallic wire and cable production excluding fibre optic, tonnes, 2000-2022
Figure 73: Indices of total consumption of metallic wire and cable in tonnage and value and $ per ton, compared with the copper
price 2000-2017
Figure 74: Prices of copper and aluminium from 1960 to 2017 and forecast to 2020
Figure 75 : Chinese centrally planned balancing procedure for electricity
Figure 76: Fibre optical cable consumption, km and price per km, 2000-2022
Figure 77: Underground cable as a percent of the total network in European countries
Figure 78: Underground cable as a percent of the total network in CIS countries
Figure 79: Underground cable as a percent of the total network in MENA countries
Figure 80: Underground cable as a percent of the total network in Asia Pacific countries
Figure 81: Underground cable as a percent of the total network in Pacific countries
Figure 82: Market shares of different offshore segments
Figure 83: Wet tree, or subsea complex
Figure 84: Subsea tree awards
Figure 85: SURF
Figure 86: Subsea cable connections for the London Array
Figure 87: Anchored and floating foundations
Figure 88: Undersea communications cables linking the world
Figure 89: An onshore wind turbine installation
Figure 90: Overhead line for rail traction
Figure 91: The differences in behaviour between LTS and HTS materials
Tables
Table 1: Types and end users of wire, cable and rope
Table 2: French cable manufacturers
Table 3: German cable manufacturers
Table 4: Italian cable manufacturers
Table 5: Spanish cable manufacturers
Table 6: UK cable manufacturers
Table 7: Wire and cable manufacturers in South Eastern Europe
Table 8: Chinese cable manufacturers
Table 9: Japanese cable manufacturers
Table 10: Korean cable manufacturers
Table 11: Taiwanese cable manufacturers
Table 12: Middle Eastern cable manufacturers
Table 13: African cable manufacturers
Table 14: Company shares of market segments, United States, 2015
Table 15: Summary of wire and cable production forecasts 2016 – 2022,
Table 16: Summary of wire and cable consumption forecasts 2016 - 2022,
Table 17: The top cable manufacturers by country
Table 18: The top global cable manufacturers by industry
Table 19: Global mobile connections by region, 2010 to 2020
Table 20: Electrified railways throughout the world, 2014
Table 21: Manufacturers of subsea power cable and communications cable
Table 22: Installed superconductors
Table 23: Superconductor manufacturers
Table 24: Some AMSC customers
Table 25: Tensile strength of selected materials
Table 26: Average conductivity of metals

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