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New Zealand - Telecoms - Market Forecasts 2015, 2020


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

The New Zealand telecommunications market has had considerable regulatory changes over the years particularly from 2008 onwards with the structural separation of the incumbent operator. These changes have allowed the market to expand through the ongoing competitive nature of the markets.

The next five or so years, initially to 2016 and then beyond, will see a fibre backbone network developed under the government funded Ultra-fast broadband network and the Rural Broadband Initiative.

The fibre-backbone network will become the predominant infrastructure and it will provide its services to the other market sectors including energy, manufacturing, healthcare, education, as well as the rural sector through wireless access. With all these sectors involved we will see the telco businesses morph from the traditional telephony access provider to content service providers. Telcos, ISPs and the other service providers will have an opportunity to become the ICT providers to these market sectors.

The larger sectors, in particular, will create a large demand for value-added infrastructure services. All of this will assist the industry to double its size to more than $14 billion by 2020. In this report we provide scenario-based forecast for the mobile sector as well as some market forecasts and background information on the other markets in the economy.

More extensive details on the companies mentioned in this report are covered in separate reports.

Key developments:

Subscribers, market share, mobile voice, mobile data, ISPs MoIP, 4G, RSPs, LTE.

Companies covered in this report include:

Crown Fibre Holdings, Chorus, Vodafone, Telecom.


1. Synopsis
2. Market overview of the industry of the future
2.1 Media market
2.2 Total overhaul of the telecoms industry
2.3 Infrastructure market
2.4 The retail market
2.5 The trans-sector market
3. The fixed broadband market
3.1 Setting the scene
3.2 Fixed broadband market forecasts
4. The mobile market
4.1 Overview of changes
4.2 Mobile market scenarios
5. Forecasting notes
6. Related reports
Table 1 – Size of fixed trans-sector market – 2020
Table 2 – Size of mobile trans-sector market – 2020
Table 3 – Telecommunications services revenue by market – 2010; 2015; 2020
Table 4 – Telecommunications services revenue share by market – 2010; 2015; 2020
Table 5 – Forecast fixed-broadband subscribers – 2012 - 2013; 2015; 2020
Table 6 – Forecast mobile voice subscribers – 2012 - 2013; 2015; 2020

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