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Telecommunications Infrastructure and Forecasts - India

India - Telecommunications Infrastructure and Forecasts

India has a huge national telecommunications network. With fixed-line penetration falling below 3%, the country has nevertheless achieved a remarkable coverage, 99% of the population having some form of access to a telephone. Despite the heavy investment in telecoms infrastructure over the last decade, servicing the huge population has presented major difficulties. Even the booming mobile phone market had around 76% penetration by early 2013. As well as its huge national network, India's investment in telecommunications infrastructure over the last decade has extended to a heavy involvement in the international market. Under the leadership of international operator VSNL/Tata Indicom the country has been assembling an extensive infrastructure of gateways, satellite earth stations and fibre optic submarine cables. Billions of rupees continue to be invested in a combination of submarine cables and microwave systems to satisfy India's demand for international bandwidth and high-quality connectivity. Most significantly, VSNL/Tata Indicom has become a serious international player on the back of a series of acquisitions and good strategic moves.

Investment in infrastructure has to a significant extent depended on India attracting foreign investment into the sector. The attractiveness of India to foreign telecom operators took a nosedive in 2012 when the so-called 2G scandal resulted in a Supreme Court ruling that saw 122 mobile licences cancelled. The subsequent regulatory uncertainty could only be described as chaotic; however, by 2013 the situation was starting to settle down as disputes were gradually resolved.

This report provides an update on telecoms infrastructure in India as the government and the operators push forward on a number of fronts to speed up the roll-out of services to the wider population. It also provides an overview of the submarine and satellite systems that have been put in place in recent times as the country addresses its international bandwidth needs.

Key developments:

India's mobile market continues to receive the bulk of the local capital expenditure as the operators continue to build out their infrastructure;
a national optical fibre network project has been launched;
the shakeout from the so-called 2G scandal continued to bring uncertainty to the telecom market, impacting to some extent on investment and infrastructure development;
fixed-line subscriber numbers continue to decline falling to 28 million by mid-2014;
the total number of connected villages' in India has passed 99%;
ISRO communications satellite GSAT-10 launched in September 2012;
the government was moving to further boost mobile coverage in rural India with a INR30 billion (US$490 million) allocation from the USOF in 2013;
new mobile player Reliance Jio Infocomm was busy signing many tower sharing agreements in order to provide extensive network coverage at launch in late 2014.

Companies covered in this report include:

Bharti Airtel, Idea/Spice, Reliance Communications, Tata Teleservices, Vodafone Essar, Bharti Telenet, Reliance Infocomm, Tata Teleservices, Tulip Telecom, Videsh Sanchar Nigam Ltd (VSNL), Tata Indicom, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd (BSNL), Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd (MTNL), Quippo Telecom.

1. Synopsis
2. National infrastructure
2.1 Overview
2.2 Statistics
2.3 Forecasts - fixed-line services 2015; 2020
2.4 Background to network development
2.5 Infrastructure sharing
2.6 Rural and regional networks
2.6.1 Universal Service Obligation Fund (USOF)
2.6.2 Infrastructure sharing in rural areas
2.6.3 Village Public Telephones (VPTs)
2.6.4 Public Call Offices (PCOs)
2.7 Fibre optic cable projects
2.8 National optical fibre network
2.9 Wireless Local Loop (WLL) - background
3. Infrastructure developments
3.1 IP networks
3.2 Next Generation Networks (NGN)
4. International infrastructure
4.1 Background
4.2 Interconnect agreements
4.3 India-Pakistan
4.4 International service disruption
4.5 Submarine cable networks
4.5.1 FLAG
4.5.2 Network i2i
4.5.3 Tata-Indicom cable
4.5.4 SEA-ME-WE 4
4.5.5 Bharat Lanka cable
4.5.6 India, Middle East, Western Europe (I-ME-WE) cable
4.5.7 Europe India Gateway (EIG) cable
4.5.8 Southeast Asia Japan Cable System (SJC)
4.5.9 Submarine cable developments
4.6 Satellite communications
4.6.1 INSAT
4.6.2 Intelsat
4.6.3 Thaicom (formerly ShinSat)
5. Notes on forecasting
6. Related reports
Table 1 Fixed-line subscribers and teledensity 2005 - 2014
Table 2 Fixed-line subscribers and teledensity (historical) 1995 - 2005
Table 3 Fixed-line subscribers and market share by operator 2013
Table 4 Forecast fixed line subscribers and penetration rates 2015; 2020
Table 5 Growth of VPT scheme 2001 - 2013
Table 6 PCOs in operation 2003 2004; 2007 - 2013
Table 7 PCOs in operation and market share by operator 2013
Table 8 Fixed WLL subscribers (historical) 2004 - 2006
Chart 1 - Fixed-line subscribers and teledensity 2005 - 2014
Chart 2 - Fixed-line subscribers and teledensity (historical) 1995 - 2005
Chart 3 - PCOs in operation and market share by operator - 2013
Exhibit 1 International submarine cable systems with landing points in India - 2012
Exhibit 2 ISRO satellite network September 2012

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