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Montenegro - Telecoms IP Networks Digital Media and Forecasts

Montenegro - Telecoms IP Networks Digital Media and Forecasts

DTTV gaining momentum and a greater market share of TV viewing

Montenegro has made steady progress in its ambition to join the EU, with negotiations on two of 12 areas having been concluded by late 2014. As part of the EU pre-accession process, the country has received financial aid to build public institutions and improve cross-border co-operation under EU funding mechanism Instrument for Pre-Accession Assistance. The telecom sector has also been aligned with norms, which has opened up the market to competition and guided the development of elements such as access and tariff structures. Montenegro's liberalised telecom sector has been guided by legislation which adopts a range of regulatory principles found in the EU's regulatory framework for communications. This was updated in 2010 with the revised regulatory framework.

Closer integration with the EU coincided with a period of strong economic growth, with foreign direct investment focused on the construction and finance sectors. However, the ongoing regional financial crisis has significantly impacted Montenegro due to the contraction in the real estate sector and lower demand for exports. Real GDP contracted in 2009 by 5.7%, and though it recovered to show 2.5% growth in both 2010 and 2011 continuing difficulties affecting some of its main trading partners resulted in negative growth of 2.5% for 2012. Nevertheless, the economy recovered swiftly, with GDP growth of 3.4% in 2013 and an anticipated 2.8% for 2014.

Fixed broadband services are available via a variety of technology platforms including DSL, cable, leased line, fibre and wireless. The fibre sector has shown particularly strong growth since 2010 as the incumbent has invested in infrastructure upgrades, albeit mainly to serve apartment blocks in the main towns. DSL is also strong given the legacy reach of the incumbent's copper network, coupled with its existing market presence and range of service offerings that include broadband TV.

Mobile penetration is among the highest in Europe, though this is partly due to the significant number of tourists visiting the country seasonally, as also the preponderance of popular prepaid cards Networks based on WCDMA/HSPA and LTE technologies have been launched. This has formed the basis for new and expanding mobile broadband services.

Montenegro Key telecom parameters 2014
Sector | Penetration
Broadband | 25%
SIM penetration (population) | 163%
Fixed-line telephony | 22%
(Source: BuddeComm based on industry data)

Market highlights:

The Agency for Electronic Media (AEM) awarded three FTA licences to broadcasters on the MUX 1, which provides 85% population coverage. The MUX has remaining capacity for an additional six TV channels.

T-Mobile Montenegro has invested in network infrastructure, expanding LTE coverage to about two-thirds of the population by early 2015.

The regulator in late 2014 ordered Crnogorski Telekom to reduce internet charges by 35%, and has since contemplated setting up its own ISP in a bid to offer cheaper internet access.

The telecom regulators of Montenegro and Albania have signed agreements to coordinate the use of frequencies in the 880MHz-915MHz, 925MHz-960MHz, 1710MHz-1785MHz and 1805MHz-1880MHz bands. The arrangement will facilitate the functional operation of mobile networks without interference from network operators in neighbouring countries.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year.

This report provides a comprehensive overview of trends and developments in Montenegro's telecommunications market. The report analyses the mobile, internet, broadband, digital TV and converging media sectors.

Subjects include:

Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
Facts, figures and statistics;
Industry and regulatory issues;
Major players, revenues, subscribers, ARPU, MoU;
Internet, VoIP, IPTV;
Mobile voice and data markets;
Broadband (FttH, DSL, cable TV, wireless);
Convergence and digital media;
3G subscriber and mobile ARPU forecasts to 2015;
Broadband market forecasts for selective years to 2020.

Key developments:

LTE network coverage reaches two-thirds of the population, DTTV expands with additional licences to commercial FTA channels; tax introduced on SIM cards, cable TV and IPTV services; report update includes telcos' operating and financial data to Q3 2014; regulator's market data to December 2014; recent market developments.

Companies covered in this report include:

Crnogorski Telekom, M:tel, Telenor.

This report is essential reading for those needing high level strategic information and objective analysis on the telecom sector in Montenegro.

It provides further information on:

Market liberalisation and regulatory issues;
The impact of the global economic crisis;
Telecoms operators privatisation, acquisitions, new licences;
Mobile data market developments in coming years in light of spectrum auctions and new license awards;
3G developments, regulatory issues and technologies including HSPA and LTE;
Broadband migration to an FttH architecture;
Historical and current subscriber statistics and forecasts;
ARPU statistics and forecasts.

1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
3. Telecommunications market
3.1 Overview of Montenegro's telecom market
3.2 Telecom tax
4. Regulatory environment
4.1 Background
4.2 Regulatory authority
4.2.1 Agency for Electronic Communications and Postal Services (EKIP)
4.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Montenegro
4.4 Privatisation of Telekom Montenegro
4.5 Interconnect
4.6 Carrier selection/Carrier preselection
4.7 Number Portability (NP)
4.8 Access
5. Fixed network operators in Montenegro
5.1 Overview of operators
5.2 Crnogorski Telekom (Telekom Montenegro)
6. Telecommunications infrastructure
6.1 National telecom network
7. Internet market
7.1 Overview
7.2 Internet statistics
8. Fixed broadband market
8.1 Overview
8.2 Broadband statistics
8.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
8.4 Cable broadband
8.5 FttX
8.6 Fixed Wireless broadband
8.7 Mobile broadband
9. Digital media
9.1 Overview of broadcasting market
9.2 Digital TV
9.2.1 Broadband TV (IPTV)
9.2.2 Cable TV
9.2.3 Satellite-based digital pay TV developments
9.2.4 Digital Terrestrial TV (DTTV)
10. Mobile communications
10.1 Overview of Montenegro's mobile market
10.2 Mobile statistics
10.3 Regulatory issues
10.3.1 Third generation (3G) mobile licences awarded
10.3.2 Tender for fourth mobile licence
10.3.3 Roaming
10.4 Mobile technologies
10.4.1 Digital
10.4.2 Third generation (3G) mobile
10.5 Major mobile operators
10.5.1 Telenor
10.5.2 T-Mobile Montenegro
10.5.3 M:tel
10.6 Mobile voice services
10.6.1 Prepaid
10.7 Mobile data services
10.7.1 Short Message Service (SMS)/Multimedia Messaging Service (MMS)
10.7.2 General Packet Radio Service (GPRS)
10.7.3 Enhanced Data for GSM Evolution (EDGE)
10.7.4 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
10.7.5 Mobile broadband
10.8 Mobile content and applications
10.9 Forecasts fixed broadband subscribers 2013; 2015; 2020
10.9.1 Scenario 1 higher broadband subscriber growth
10.9.2 Scenario 2 lower broadband subscriber growth
10.10 Notes on scenario forecasts
11. Related reports
Table 1 Country statistics Montenegro 2014 (e)
Table 2 Telephone network statistics 2014
Table 3 Internet user statistics 2014 (Jun)
Table 4 Broadband statistics 2014
Table 5 Mobile statistics 2014
Table 6 National telecommunications authority
Table 7 Penetration of devices by household 2012 - 2014
Table 8 Fixed-lines by operator 2010 - 2014
Table 9 Crnogorski Telekom fixed-line voice customers 2005 - 2014
Table 10 Crnogorski Telekom financial data 2006 - 2014
Table 11 Crnogorski Telekom revenue by sector 2009 - 2014
Table 12 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 2004 - 2015
Table 13 Internet users and penetration rate 2001 - 2015
Table 14 Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rate 2010 - 2015
Table 15 Broadband market share by platform 2010 - 2014
Table 16 Dial-up internet subscribers 2010 - 2015
Table 17 DSL subscribers (regulator data) 2005 - 2015
Table 18 T-Com ADSL and leased line subscribers 2005 - 2014
Table 19 Cable broadband subscribers 2012 - 2015
Table 20 FttX subscribers 2011 - 2014
Table 21 Installed FttX connections 2011 - 2014
Table 22 Proportion of FttX subscribers by type 2011 - 2014
Table 23 WiMAX subscribers 2007 - 2014
Table 24 Mobile broadband subscribers 2010 - 2014
Table 25 Digital TV subscribers by platform 2008 - 2014
Table 26 Digital TV market share by platform 2010 - 2014
Table 27 Telekom Montenegro IPTV subscribers 2007 - 2014
Table 28 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2004 - 2015
Table 29 Mobile market share by subscribers 2004 - 2014
Table 30 European roaming charges 2007 - 2014
Table 31 Telenor subscribers 2004 - 2014
Table 32 Telenor financial data 2005 - 2014
Table 33 Telenor ARPU 2004 - 2014
Table 34 Telenor monthly traffic 2004 - 2012
Table 35 T-Mobile subscribers 2005 - 2014
Table 36 T-Mobile MOU and ARPU 2005 - 2014
Table 37 T-Mobile mobile revenue 2005 - 2014
Table 38 M:tel mobile subscribers (regulator data) 2008 - 2012
Table 39 M:tel mobile subscribers by type (company data) 2008 - 2014
Table 40 M:tel financial data (historic) 2008 - 2011
Table 41 Prepaid and contract mobile subscribers 2004 - 2014
Table 42 Proportion of prepaid and contract subscribers 2004 - 2014
Table 43 Annual SMS messages sent 2001 - 2008
Table 44 MMS messages sent 2004 - 2011
Table 45 Total mobile broadband capable subscribers 2007 - 2012
Table 46 Forecast fixed broadband subscribers higher growth scenario 2013; 2015; 2020
Table 47 Forecast fixed broadband subscribers higher growth scenario 2013; 2015; 2020
Chart 1 Crnogorski Telekom financial data 2006 2014
Chart 2 Crnogorski Telekom revenue by sector 2009 2014
Chart 3 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 2004 2015
Chart 4 Broadband market share by platform 2010 2014
Chart 5 Digital TV subscribers by platform 2008 2014
Chart 6 Digital TV market share by platform 2010 2014
Chart 7 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 2004 2015
Chart 8 Mobile market share by subscribers 2004 2014
Chart 9 Telenor financial data 2005 2014
Chart 10 Telenor ARPU 2004 2014
Chart 11 Prepaid and contract mobile subscribers 2004 2014
Exhibit 1 Cable TV licences awarded by concession area and licence type 2007

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