Mobile Market - Overview, Statistics and Forecasts - Egypt

Egypt - Mobile Market - Overview, Statistics and Forecasts

Egypt became one of the first countries in Africa to launch third generation (3G) mobile services in 2007, following the award of the country's third mobile licence the previous year. The record price that was paid for the licence indicated the potential that is seen in the Egyptian mobile market, and the SIM card penetration rate has indeed multiplied since then to reach 118% in early 2014. However, the continued political crisis and civil unrest in the country are currently affecting the sector. The strongest growth is currently seen in mobile broadband services, which offers the network operators new revenue streams in an environment of falling average revenue per user (ARPU). LTE licences are planned for 2016.

The country's telecom regulator is preparing to issue Mobile Virtual Network Operator (MVNO) licences, with fixed-line operator Telecom Egypt (TE) standing ready to enter the market. In return, the mobile network operators will gain access to TE's fixed-line infrastructure under a unified licensing regime.

This report outlines the major developments in the market, with relevant statistics and profiles of the companies involved, including 3G mobile broadband growth and ARPU trends for the major mobile operators. It also contains an in-depth analysis of the third mobile licence valuation and market forecasts to 2015 and 2018.

Key developments:

Political crisis affects the telecom sector;
MVNO licences to be issued as part of new unified licensing regime;
LTE spectrum auction planned for 2016.

Companies covered in this report:

Mobinil (ECMS - France Telecom/Orange, Orascom); Vodafone Egypt; Etisalat Misr; Telecom Egypt; Thuraya; Iridium; Inmarsat; Alkan Communications; EgyptSat; MobiServe; Ericsson; Nokia-Siemens, Alcatel-Lucent; Huawei Technologies.

1. Synopsis
2. Overview of Egypt's mobile market
2.1 Mobile statistics
3. Regulatory issues
3.1 Third mobile licence
3.2 Fourth mobile licence
3.3 MVNO licences
3.4 International gateways
3.5 Mobile termination rates (MTR)
3.6 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
3.7 SIM card registration
3.8 GPS ban
3.9 Foreign ownership
3.10 Infrastructure sharing
4. Major mobile operators
4.1 Mobinil (ECMS)
4.1.1 Shareholder structure and dispute
4.1.2 Company statistics
4.1.3 Network development
4.1.4 Services
4.1.5 ARPU and usage
4.2 Vodafone Egypt
4.2.1 Shareholder structure
4.2.2 Subscriber statistics
4.2.3 Services
4.2.4 ARPU and usage
4.3 Etisalat Misr
5. Mobile voice services
5.1 Prepaid services
5.2 Satellite mobile
5.3 Mobile VoIP
6. Mobile data services
6.1 SMS
6.2 MMS
6.3 WAP
6.4 GPRS and EDGE
7. 3G mobile broadband
7.1 4G/LTE
8. Mobile content and applications
8.1 Mobile TV
8.2 Mobile banking
9. Forecasts mobile subscribers 2015; 2018
9.1 Notes on scenario forecasts
10. Related reports
Table 1 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate in Egypt 2000 - 2014
Table 2 Mobile termination rates (MTR) in Egypt 2013
Table 3 Mobinil subscribers 2000 - 2013
Table 4 Mobinil financial results 2002 - 2013
Table 5 Mobinil blended monthly ARPU 2002 - 2013
Table 6 Vodafone Egypt subscribers 2000 - 2014
Table 7 Vodafone Egypt blended monthly ARPU 2003 - 2014
Table 8 Forecast mobile subscribers in Egypt 2015; 2018
Chart 1 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate in Egypt 2002 - 2014
Exhibit 1 Telecom Egypt's mobile business: In and out and in again
Exhibit 2 An analysis of Egypt's third mobile licence valuation
Exhibit 3 Vodafone Egypt's public listing and delisting

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