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Japan - Broadband Market - Overview, Statistics and Forecasts


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

By mid 2012, Japan had over 40 million broadband lines in place, making it the third largest broadband country in the world after the US and China. Much of the success of broadband in Japan is owed to the stunning growth surge that occurred back in 2003 on the back of DSL broadband technology. Since then Japan has established the second largest FttX market at around 30% of the world market after China which represents about 40% of the world market. These infrastructure deployments and the move to Next Generation Network architecture have driven VoIP subscriptions to over 25 million with Softbank and NTT taking the market lead. Japan has also been an early adopter of triple-play models which provide TV, broadband internet and voice telephony as packaged services from a single provider. This report provides an overview of the broadband market and the available access methods – including cable modem, DSL, FttX and wireless broadband. BuddeComm forecasts on broadband and FttH are included up to 2017.

Key Developments:

Continued decline in DSL subscriptions which comprise 15% of the total broadband market; FttX subscriptions reach over 22 million comprising 60% of the total market; implementation of strong government policies over a decade results in 90% of households having access to FttX; plans by major service providers to lower the prices for FttX broadband services by up to nearly 40% into 2012; strong growth in WiMAX over the 3 million subscriber mark and a start in field trial for WiMAX-2; continued rise in VoIP usage as traditional fixed-line services decline

Companies covered in this report include:

NTT; KDDI; Softbank; eAccess; J:COM; USEN; KDDI; UQ Communications; Hulu; K-Opticom; Tepco


1. Synopsis
2. Broadband market
2.1 Background
2.2 Overview
2.3 Broadband statistics
2.3.1 Aggregate broadband subscribers
2.3.2 Broadband subscribers by access type
2.4 Forecast broadband subscribers: 2012-2013; 2017
2.5 Electric power utilities
3. Broadband policy
3.1 Overview
3.2 Regulatory framework
3.3 U-Japan
3.4 New IT reform strategy
3.5 Next Generation Broadband strategy FY 2010
3.6 Japan’s New Generation Network
4. Broadband Technologies
4.1 Overview
4.2 Broadband charges into 2012
4.3 Cable modems
4.4 Digital Subscriber Line (DSL)
4.4.1 Background
4.4.2 Statistics
4.5 Fibre-to-the-Home (FttH)
4.5.1 Background
4.5.2 Statistics
4.6 Forecast FttX subscribers: 2012-2013; 2017
4.6.1 Forecasting methodology
4.7 World Interoperability for Microwave Access (WiMAX)
4.7.1 WiMAX auction
4.7.2 UQ Communications
4.7.3 WiMAX 2
4.7.4 Willcom
4.8 Broadband Internet via satellite
5. Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)
5.1 Background
5.2 Statistics
6. Internet Protocol TV (IPTV)
6.1 Hulu
6.2 Softbank acquisitions
7. Broadband Survey results
7.1 2008
7.2 2009
7.3 2010
8. Related reports
Table 1 – Broadband subscribers and households – September 2012
Table 2 – Broadband subscribers and market share by access type – September 2012
Table 3 – Broadband subscribers by access type – 1998 – 2013
Table 4 – Broadband subscriber annual change and market share by access type – 2001 - 2012
Table 5 – Broadband internet access from the home by technology type – 1998 – 2013
Table 6 – Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration – lower band: 2012-2013; 2017
Table 7 – Forecast broadband subscribers and penetration – higher band: 2012-2013; 2017
Table 8 – Broadband household connectivity and service availability – 2006 - 2008; 2011
Table 9 – Tariffs for broadband services – 2008
Table 10 – DSL subscribers and market share by operator – June 2012
Table 11 – FttH subscribers and market share by operator – June 2012
Table 12 – Change in ARPU from FttH – 2005 - 2010
Table 13 – Forecast FttX subscribers and penetration - lower band: 2012-2013; 2017
Table 14 – Forecast FttX subscribers and penetration - higher band: 2012-2012; 2017
Table 15 – WiMAX subscribers (BWA) - UQ Communications: 2009 - 2012
Table 16 – VoIP subscribers and annual change – 2004 - 2012
Table 17 – VoIP subscribers and market share by operator – June 2012
Table 18 – NTT services and charges – 2009
Chart 1 – Japan broadband subscribers and population penetration – 2000 - 2013
Chart 2 – Japan cable modem subscribers and population penetration – 1998 - 2013
Chart 3 – Japan DSL subscribers and population penetration – 1999 - 2013
Chart 4 – Japan FttX subscribers and population penetration – 2002 - 2013
Exhibit 1 – Differences between NXGN and NWGN
Exhibit 2 – Representative charges per service in Tokyo – 2008
Exhibit 3 – NTT IPTV services and features – 2009 - 2010

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