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2006 Global NGN, IP and VoIP - Volume 1 - Global Overview, Analyses and Stats


Attention: There is an updated edition available for this report.

Next Generation Networks (NGN), VoIP, cheaper calls, new IT applications, voice, data and video convergence, VPN, IP networks.

Report also contains:

Market overview, analyses, statistics and forecasts
NGN infrastructure developments
IP Convergence and applications
The future of voice (fixed, mobile, VoIP)
VoIP analyses, overviews, statistics and forecasts
Outsourcing
Technology overview including: IPv4, IPv6, NAT, QoS, MPLS, streaming media


With a market rapidly changing from traditional voice based products to one that must cater for a wide range of data driven media applications, a totally new operational structure is required. Next Generation Networks (NGNs) are leading this transformation by integrating telecoms with IT. This forms the core of this new environment for digital media. NGNs enable the convergence of multiple applications to run on the same network, including voice, data and video (triple play) - as well as other new media applications.

Incumbent telcos often run hundreds, even thousands, of operational support systems, so this clearly indicates the size of the task ahead. Implementation of NGNs is often over promised and under delivered and full implementation could easily take a decade to accomplish.

Volume 1 of this report examines the future of telecommunications, as NGNs develop into an IP based telco environment. The report includes analysis and statistics, with an emphasis on the first deliverable: VoIP. It includes a historical summary, key trends and developments, statistics, forecasts and extensive technical information. Detailed information on convergence and FttH infrastructure are covered in different reports.

Key highlights:

Traditional voice services are under pressure from VoIP, declining by 10%+ per annum.

Worldwide revenue from Next Generation voice products will reach around $6 billion by 2008.

Internet users will climb to 2 billion in the next 10-12 years.

NGN and broadband allows for the delivery of integrated triple play bundles - the first applications are concentrating on VoIP and IPTV.

BT is leading the incumbent market in NGNs and is the company to watch for benchmarking.

Mobile data will remain a niche market, and will grow into IP-based WiMAX services towards the end of the decade. This in turn will lead to integration with fixed IP based networks, creating FMC (Fixed Mobile Convergence).

Developments such as VPLS allow for layer 2 access, promoting the concept of open networks.

With an increase in data services both in the business and residential sectors, the market for outsourcing, data centres, content hosting, and other forms of external assistance will continue to grow.

VoIP quality (over broadband and NGNs) concerns are diminishing, and wider applications are being introduced, such as corporate VPNs.

There will be around 50 million VoIP subscribers by the end of 2006.

1. NGN - KEY TO SUCCESS IN TELECOMS
1.1 Overview and analysis
1.1.1 Introduction
1.1.2 Telcos and the nextgen revolution - analysis
1.1.3 Internet economy requires NGNs - now
1.1.4 Nextgen investment strategies
1.1.5 Broadband VoIP
1.1.6 Historic overview
1.1.7 Growth of IP-VPN (NGNs)
1.2 NGN infrastructure developments
1.2.1 Next Generation Networks (NGN)
1.2.2 Infrastructure competition
1.2.3 Narrowband services
1.2.4 Mobile infrastruture
1.2.5 Broadband infrastructure
2. IP - CONVERGENCE AND APPLICATIONS
2.1 NGNs: converging networks
2.1.1 Dedicated voice and dedicated data networks
2.1.2 Changes driven by IP
2.1.3 Multi Protocol Label Switching (MPLS)
2.1.4 Next Generation packet Networks (NGN)
2.1.5 IP objectives
2.1.6 Next Generation Network (NGN) standards
2.1.7 IMS forum
2.2 IP=IT
2.2.1 From VoIP to triple play
2.2.2 From basic services to value added applications
2.3 IP - enhanced services
2.4 IP is making data market redundant
2.5 IP is upsetting the telcos
2.6 Technology and communication
3. THE FUTURE OF VOICE (FIXED, MOBILE, VOIP)
3.1 Telephone companies - experts in negative marketing
3.1.1 Don’t use the phone
3.1.2 Don’t use the mobile phone
3.1.3 Don’t use the fixed phone
3.1.4 The IP solution
3.2 The future of voice
3.2.1 Market under pressure
3.2.2 Rearguard skirmishes in the voice market
3.2.3 A neglected market
3.2.4 Fixed-line SMS
3.3 The future of mobile
3.3.1 Voice still the killer app
3.3.2 But data is the future
3.3.3 Rebalancing of the industry
3.3.4 Devices-driven developments
3.3.5 Only option in developing countries
3.3.6 Multimodal services
3.4 VOIP
3.5 Pricing strategies
3.5.1 Telecoms price developments
3.5.2 From bundling to triple play
3.5.3 New ways to measure ARPUs
3.6 Conclusion
4. VOIP
4.1 Analysis
4.1.1 The continuing importance of voice
4.1.2 Give VOIP a chance
4.1.3 VOIP service quality
4.1.4 Industry issues
4.1.5 Don’t over regulate
4.1.6 VOIP needs to be underpinned by NGNS
4.1.7 Corporate markets
4.1.8 VOIP - a case of evolution, rather than revolution
4.1.9 Wireless VoIP
4.2 Market overview
4.2.1 Historic overview
4.2.2 Key trends and developments
4.2.3 VoIP regional market overview
4.3 Statistics and forecasts
4.3.1 IP market statistics and forecasts
4.3.2 VoIP and the business sector
4.3.3 VoIP and consumer awareness
4.3.4 IP Centrex to be popular with SME’s
5. OUTSOURCING
5.1 Managed network services
5.2 Outsourcing
5.2.1 Outsourcing, cosourcing, insourcing, tasksourcing
5.2.2 Outsourcing market statistics for 2006 and beyond
5.2.3 Outsourcing market statistics for 2005
5.2.4 Outsourcing market statistics for 2004
5.2.5 Historical overview
5.3 IP Centrex or VOIP outsourcing - the battle for the SME market
6. TECHNOLOGY
6.1 Limitations of IPv4
6.1.1 IPv4 - the current TCP/IP version
6.1.2 Address space
6.1.3 NAT - Network Address Translation
6.1.4 Addressing difficulties for Mobile Devices
6.1.5 Security
6.1.6 Quality of Service
6.2 IPv6 and Next Generation Networks (NGN)
6.2.1 Introduction
6.2.2 IPv4 and IPv6
6.2.3 The Telcos’ Next Generation Network
6.2.4 MPLS-based telco and corporate ‘NextGen’ networks
6.3 Telephony and Voice over IP
6.3.1 VOIP
6.3.2 Internet telephony
6.3.3 VOIP on private networks
6.3.4 Comparing the Internet and the telephone network
6.4 Streaming media and conferencing
6.4.1 Streaming video and audio
6.4.2 Unidirectional and bidirectional streaming
6.4.3 Video-on-demand and bandwidth restrictions
6.4.4 Open-standard streaming systems
6.4.5 Proprietary streaming systems
6.4.6 File download vs. server streaming
6.4.7 Commercial aspects of proprietary systems
6.5 Video On Demand
6.5.1 VoD History and futures
6.5.2 VoD system functionality
6.5.3 Impact of VoD on media industries
6.5.4 VoD system requirements
6.5.5 QoS and specialised routers/switches
6.5.6 IP multicasting
6.5.7 Triple Play for differing access networks
7. GLOSSARY OF ABBREVIATIONS
Exhibit 1 - Nextgen telecoms
Exhibit 2 - Global outsource market services
Exhibit 3 - What is IMS?
Exhibit 4 - ITU Definition of Next Generation Network
Exhibit 5 - IP based enhanced services
Exhibit 6 - Top ten technologies that will impact communication
Exhibit 7 - Triple play pricing examples
Exhibit 8 - Teen pop singer launches own VoIP service
Exhibit 9 - VoIP issues
Exhibit 10 - Regulator attitudes to VoIP
Exhibit 11 - Comparative advantages of outsourcing and insourcing
Exhibit 12 - Mobile outsourcing agreements - 2005
Exhibit 13 - Contrasts between the telephone network and the Internet
Exhibit 14 - Adoption of digital broadband technologies


Table 1 - Global telecoms investments - 2005, 2010, 2015
Table 2 - Terabit Router Leading Vendors - Market Share - August 2005
Table 3 - Regional residential and SOHO VoIP subscribers - 2006; 2009
Table 4 - Estimated growth of inbound VoIP traffic - Africa, Latin America, Asia-Pacific, Middle East, Eastern Europe - 2005
Table 5 - VoIP subscribers - Skype, Vonage, France Telecom, Time Warner
Table 6 - VoIP access lines in US - 1999 - 2007
Table 7 - Number of global outsourcing deals - first quarters - 2004 - 2006
Table 8 - US jobs going offshore - 2003 - 2008; 2010; 2015

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