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Global Broadband - Demand for Fibre Networks Grows

  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • THE GROWING DEMAND FOR FIBRE
    • INTRODUCTION -MARKET-LED DEMAND FOR FTTP IS PICKING UP
    • BROADBAND INFRASTRUCTURE - THE NEED FOR NEW FINANCE MODELS
      • Creative thinking required to address the issues
      • Fixed infrastructure
        • Table Global - Internet users and annual change - 2009 - 2014
        • Table Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change - 2005 - 2014
        • Table Global - ICT spending - 2012 - 2015
        • Table Global - telecoms expenditure as a percentage of GDP - 1990; 2006; 2009; 2012
      • Next: Mobile networks
        • Table Global - mobile subscriptions and annual change - 2009 - 2014
  • NATIONAL BROADBAND NETWORKS (NBN)
    • INTRODUCTION TO NATIONAL BROADBAND NETWORKS
      • National broadband; leadership required
      • National Broadband Network Company
      • Open network
      • Technology critical consideration
      • Wireless broadband
      • Other quick-win areas
      • Trans-sector government
      • Using electricity infrastructure to roll out broadband
      • Broadband case studies
        • Table Denmark - fibre broadband subscribers - 2005 - 2014
    • THE BROADBAND COMMISSION FOR DEVELOPMENT
      • Broadband Targets for 2015
      • Transformative Solutions for 2015 and Beyond
      • Positive global stats - moving on to Sustainable Development Goals
      • Shared and integrated ICT essential to achieve the UN Sustainable Development Goals
      • Broadband and Gender
      • The connected society
      • A cost-effective platform for progress
      • Trans-sector approach begins to take hold
      • Developments in 2014
      • Developments in 2013
      • Developments in 2012
      • Developments in 2011
      • The final reports
  • GLOBAL BROADBAND STATISTICS AND TRENDS
    • MARKET OVERVIEW
      • The end of HFC and FttN networks is approaching
      • Mobile broadband: killer app for FttP
      • Positive outlook for investments in backbones
      • Global fixed broadband market summary
        • Table Global - Internet users and annual change - 2009 - 2014
        • Table Regional - market share of broadband subscribers - Q2 2012; Q1 2013
        • Table Global - fixed broadband subscribers and annual change - 2005 - 2014
        • Table Top ten broadband countries by subscribers - Q2 2012; Q1 2013
        • Table Top ten broadband countries by penetration -2012
        • Table Global - broadband market share by access technology - Mid 2010; Mid 2012; Q1 2013
        • Table Global - broadband subscribers by access technology - 2013
        • Table Average broadband price per month - selected countries - Q1 2013
        • Table OECD - top 5 countries with most expensive and cheapest broadband price per Mb/s - March 2012
        • Table Global - average entry level monthly broadband price by technology - Q4 2010 - 2012
        • Table Regional - average entry level monthly broadband price by technology - Q2 2012
        • Table Average broadband connection speed - top 10 countries -Q4 2011; Q4 2012; Q4 2013
        • Table Global - average overall fixed broadband and upload speeds - 2008 - 2012
        • Table Global - total broadband services revenue - 2011; 2012
        • Table Global average monthly fixed broadband ARPU - 2011; 2012
        • Table Selected country examples of average monthly fixed broadband ARPU - 2011; 2012
        • Table Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers - 2013
      • International IP wholesale market
      • Countries with broadband policies
        • Table Countries with existing national broadband policies - 2013
      • Global submarine cable overview
  • REGIONAL OVERVIEWS
    • NORTH AMERICA
      • USA
        • Table USA - FttP homes passed and connected - 2001 - 2013
      • Canada
        • Table Canada - Broadband availability through Economic Action Plan - 2010 - 2012
    • LATIN AMERICA
      • Brazil
        • Table Brazil - Telefónica/Vivo FttP homes passed and connected - 2008 - 2014
      • Other markets
    • EUROPE
      • Table Europe - FttX subscriptions and penetration - 2011 - 2014
      • Table Europe - proportion of broadband connections by speed - 2007 - 2014
      • Table Europe - proportion of ultra-fast broadband connections by speed - 2010 - 2014
      • Alternatives to fibre
      • France
        • Table France - High-speed broadband lines, by data rate - 2008 - 2013
        • Table France - FttP equipped and passed buildings - 2008 - 2013
        • Table France - Orange fibre subscribers - 2006 - 2014
      • Sweden
        • Table Sweden Fibre subscribers - 2002 - 2014
      • Lithuania
    • AFRICA
    • MIDDLE EAST
      • Bahrain
        • Table Bahrain - fixed broadband subscriptions - 2010 - 2013
        • Table Bahrain - broadband market revenue - 2009 - 2012
      • Iran
        • Table Iran - fixed broadband subscribers - 2000 - 2014
      • Iraq
        • Table Iraq - fixed broadband subscribers - 2006 - 2014
      • Israel
        • Table Israel - fixed broadband subscribers - 2001 - 2014
      • Jordan
        • Table Jordan - internet subscribers by access method - 2009 - Q2 2013
      • Kuwait
        • Table Kuwait - fixed Broadband subscribers - 2014
      • Lebanon
        • Table Lebanon - fixed broadband subscribers and penetration - 2002 - 2014
      • Oman
        • Table Oman - fixed broadband subscribers - 2004 - 2013
      • Qatar
        • Table Qatar - fixed broadband subscribers - 2002 - 2014
      • Saudi Arabia
        • Table Saudi Arabia - fixed broadband subscribers - 2001 - 2013
      • Syria
        • Table Syria - fixed Internet subscribers and penetration rate - 1999 - 2014
      • Turkey
        • Table Turkey - broadband subscribers and penetration - 2001 - 2013
        • Table Turkey - broadband subscribers by access technology - 2004 - 2013
      • United Arab Emirates
        • Table UAE - fixed Internet subscribers and penetration - 2000 - 2013
      • Yemen
        • Table Yemen - fixed broadband subscribers - 2005 - 2014
    • ASIA
      • Table FttX subscribers - Asia v. global - 2003 - 2013
      • Taiwan
        • Table Taiwan - Fixed-line broadband subscribers, penetration and proportion of internet subscribers - 2000 - 2014
        • Table Taiwan - Fixed broadband subscribers and households - March 2013
        • Table Taiwan - Broadband subscribers and annual change by access - December 2012
        • Table Taiwan - Fixed-line and wireless broadband subscribers by technology - 2003 - 2013
        • Table Taiwan - FttX subscribers - 2007 - 2014
        • Table Taiwan - Chunghwa Telecom broadband subscribers by technology and market share - 2001 - 2013
      • Japan
        • Table Japan - Broadband household connectivity and service availability - 2006 - 2008; 2011
        • Table Japan - Broadband subscribers and households - 2013
        • Table Japan - Broadband subscribers and market share by access type - 2013
        • Table Japan - Fixed broadband subscribers by access type - 1998 - 2013
        • Table Japan - Fixed broadband subscriber annual change / market share by access type - 2001 - 2013
        • Table Japan - Broadband internet access from the home by technology type - 1998 - 2012
        • Table Japan - FttH subscribers and market share by operator - March 2013
        • Table Japan FttH subscribers and penetration - 2002 - 2014
      • South Korea
        • Table South Korea - UBcN implementation goals in households/subscribers - 2009 - 2013
        • Table South Korea - Fixed broadband internet subscriber growth and penetration rate - 1998 - 2014
        • Table South Korea - Broadband subscribers and households - July 2013
        • Table South Koriea - Broadband internet subscriber numbers by system - 1998 - 2013
        • Table South Korea - Broadband market share by operator - July 2013
      • Singapore
        • Table Singapore - Broadband subscribers - 1999 - 2013
        • Table Singapore - Overview of broadband/household subscribers - July 2013
        • Table Singapore - Broadband subscribers by sector - July 2013
        • Table Singapore - Broadband market share - by major access types - July 2013
        • Table Singapore - Total optical fibre broadband subscribers - 2011 - 2014
      • China
        • Table China - Broadband subscribers, annual change and penetration - 2000 - 2014
        • Table China - Broadband subscribers and households - June 2013
        • Table China Telecom broadband subscribers and annual change - 2003 - 2012
        • Table China Unicom broadband subscribers and annual change - 2003 - 2012
        • Table China - Broadband subscribers and growth by access type - June 2013
        • Table China - FttX subscribers - 2006 - 2013
    • PACIFIC REGION
      • Australia
      • New Zealand

Global Broadband - Demand for Fibre Networks Grows

Global broadband market heading in the right direction

The global broadband market is heading in the right direction with both average broadband speeds going up - and broadband pricing, on the whole, coming down. This combined with the growing demand for fibre network infrastructure creates an environment that is full steam ahead for fixed broadband.

With more than 100 countries now involved in the rollout of FttP; there is increased evidence that commercial demand exists for this infrastructure. In developed economies; FttP demand will, over the next 5 years, grow to between 30%-50% of the population. Competition aimed at the top end of this market will trigger a broader rollout.

Looking at previous developments in the internet/broadband market; it is safe to say that from now on demand for FttX connections will – around the globe – only increase. Countries are increasingly viewing the developments in broadband infrastructure as a utility, similar to models used for gas, electricity and water, and such a model is the key to universally affordable broadband access.

Attracting infrastructure funds to the telecoms industry remains one of the largest obstacles in developing national fibre infrastructure. However, there is one exception where we do see investors being active in the market and that is in backbone infrastructure. Pressured by competition from the wholesale providers using their copper networks as well as from increased competition from the mobile operators; national telcos are forced to invest more and faster in fibre networks in order to stay competitive.

With hundreds of countries adopting broadband policies; national broadband networks are now the accepted best practice for deploying broadband infrastructure. None of these countries’ policies are identical; they are all different – they reflect the political, social, economical, financial and geographical conditions that prevail in each case. However all agree that a broadband infrastructure is needed to face the economic and social challenges that each country is facing, and the broadband infrastructure is perceived by all to be critical for the development of the digital economy, healthcare, education, e-government and so on. We also see that all the resource-rich countries have embarked on large-scale FttP projects in order to diversify their economies.

BuddeComm’s new report, Global Broadband – The Demand for Fibre Networks Grows, provides important insights into the global fixed broadband market and includes trends, analyses, statistics and case studies. It provides analyses on the progress of broadband and fibre networks around the world and the key considerations when developing National Broadband Networks. In addition the report includes valuable regional overviews written by BuddeComm’s Senior Analysts.

Examples of key insights:

In 2014 there are still large price differences around the world for fixed broadband services, however overall the prices of broadband have dropped making it increasingly more affordable.

BuddeComm predicts that, in the longer term, wholesale will remain one of the key growth markets in telecommunications, as it is essential for services such as e-health, tele-education, smart grids, etc. International IP bandwidth prices continue to decline around the world; albeit at a slower pace when compared to recent years.

There is evidence that the Dark Fibre segment is in a growth phase again; however unlike the 1990s when fibre cables were built with the expectation that demand would catch-up with the infrastructure - today there is usually an established reason to build fibre networks to meet actual demand.

In terms of future broadband subscriber growth; Asia in particular remains a key market, due partly to the interest in upgrading to broadband for online TV purposes. China, India and Indonesia especially are predicted for future growth, while the more developed markets of Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore are less so.

Eastern Europe and Latin America are also expected to grow significantly, while the markets of Western Europe and North America will experience slower growth.

The Gulf State countries are rolling out FttP at great speed.

Companies covered in this report include:

Alcatel-Lucent; AT&T; Belgacom; Bell Aliant; Bell Canada; Chunghwa Telecom; Chorus; China Telecom; China Unicom; Free; Google Fiber; GVT; KDDI; Mälarenergi Stadsnät; Mauritius Telecom; NBN Co; Network company (NetCo); NTT; Numéricable; Operating company (OpCo); Orange; SFR; SingTel; Telebras; TEO; Verizon; Top 10 major fixed-line parent carriers worldwide by subscribers 2013.

Data in this report is the latest available at the time of preparation and may not be for the current year


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