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Ecuador - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

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Ecuador - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Forecasts

Though heavily skewed towards mobility, the fixed-mobile ratio has stabilised in Ecuador

With GDP growth averaging 5.4% in the three years from 2010 to 2012, Ecuador is considered one of the better performing economies in Latin America. Growth, however, is expected to decelerate. The country's GDP per capita is far below the regional average; despite improvements, poverty levels are still high.

Ecuador's fixed-line teledensity lags behind that of neighbouring countries, with significant unsatisfied demand. A large portion of the country has little or no fixed telephone coverage, partly because remote mountainous areas make the cost of laying out copper wire prohibitive.

In line with the global trend, Ecuadorians have turned to mobile handsets in preference to the traditional fixed-line phone. The country's telecom market is heavily skewed towards mobility, with seven mobile phones for every fixed line in service. Nevertheless, the ratio between fixed and mobile accounts has remained stable since 2009.

Although Ecuador has seven fixed-line operators and a large number of Internet Service Providers (ISPs), state-owned incumbent CNT dominates the fixed-line and therefore the ADSL market.

The mobile sector is virtually a duopoly between América Móvil's Conecel (trading as Claro) and Telefónica's Otecel (trading as Movistar), with CNT (previously Telecsa/Alegro) having a small share of the market.The government is keen to advance universalisation and improve teledensity, and we can expect CNT to continue its efforts to expand the country's fixed-line infrastructure. CNT will also continue to capitalise on its ADSL service, which only took off in 2009 and still faces significant unsatisfied demand. A national broadband plan aims to expand and improve internet access for all Ecuadoreans. The fixed broadband market including both ADSL and cable modem services should continue to grow by at least 25% annually. The mobile broadband market is also expected to grow strongly in the coming years.

A new Telecom Law has been the subject of national and international controversy, particularly for its treatment of broadcasting. The most controversial points include the redistribution of spectrum and the creation of a regulatory authority in charge of censorship.

Market highlights:

The regulator has awarded spectrum to CNT for the provision of 4G LTE services, which the operator hopes to launch by end-2013.
Fixed-line operator Etapa has entered the pay TV market, launching DTH satellite TV services in Cuenca.
The Ministry of Electricity and Renewable Resources has approved a smart grid policy for Ecuador that could make the country a regional pioneer in this field.
DirecTV's subscriber base has soared allowing the satellite TV operator to overtake TVCable and become the leading pay TV provider in Ecuador
Supertel has presented a report on MVNOs recommending new legislation whereby prospective MVNOs can request/require operators to share their spectrum and other network resources.
CNT launched LTE services in 2013, extending the reach of broadband services.

Companies covered in this report:

Fixed line operators include CNT, Etapa, TVCable (Suratel), Claro (Ecuadortelecom/Telmex), Linkotel, Etapatelecom, Global Crossing, Grupo Coripar, and Starsat.
Mobile operators include Claro, Movistar, and CNT.
Fixed broadband providers include CNT, TVCable, Claro, PuntoNet, Ecuanet/Megadatos. Easynet, Trans-telco, Empresa Eléctrica Regional Centrosur, Transelectric, and Telconet.
Pay TV providers include DirecTV, TVCable, CNT TV, Claro, and Univisa.

Ecuador's fixed-line, broadband, and mobile statistics 2011 - 2013
Sector | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 (e)
Fixed-lines in service
Teledensity per capita | 15.0% | 15.4% | 15.7%
Penetration per capita | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2%
Mobile telephony subscribers
Penetration per capita | 108% | 114% | 120%
(Source: BuddeComm based on industry data)
Ecuador has excellent growth prospects especially in mobile and fixed broadband services. The report covers trends and developments in the fixed-line, mobile, internet, broadband, and pay TV markets.

Subjects include:

Market and industry analyses, trends and developments;
Facts, figures, and statistics;
Government policies and regulatory issues;
Major players (fixed, mobile, and broadband);0Fixed-line market and infrastructure;
Broadband market (including ADSL, cable modem, BPL, and FttH);
Internet and VoIP;
Convergence and triple play solutions;
Broadcasting (including cable TV and satellite-based TV services);
Mobile market (including 3G/4G, UMTS, LTE, and mobile broadband);
Scenario forecasts for the fixed-line, mobile, and broadband markets for the years 2015 and 2020.

1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
3. Country overview
3.1 Economic background
3.1.1 GDP growth
3.2 Outlook
4. Telecommunications market
4.1 Overview of Ecuador's telecom market
4.2 Market analysis 2013
5. Regulatory environment
5.1 Background
5.2 Regulatory authorities
5.2.1 Overview
5.3 Interconnect
5.4 Number portability
5.5 Anti-Monopoly Law of 2011
5.6 New Telecommunications Law
6. Fixed network operators in Ecuador
6.1 Overview
6.2 CNT
6.3 Etapa
7. Telecommunications infrastructure
7.1 National telecom network
7.1.1 Fixed-line statistics
7.1.2 Public payphones
7.2 Forecasts fixed-line market 2015; 2020
7.2.1 Scenario 1 higher fixed line growth
7.2.2 Scenario 2 lower fixed line growth
7.3 International infrastructure
7.4 Infrastructure developments
7.4.1 IP and Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP)
8. Wholesale
9. Fixed broadband access market
9.1 Overview
9.1.1 Broadband statistics
9.1.2 National broadband plan
9.2 Forecasts fixed broadband market 2015; 2020
9.2.1 Scenario 1 higher broadband growth
9.2.2 Scenario 2 lower broadband growth
9.3 Asymmetric Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
9.3.1 Fast Boy (CNT)
9.4 Cable modems
9.5 Broadband Powerline (BPL) and smart grids
9.6 Fibre-to-the-home (FttH) networks
10. Broadcasting
10.1 Pay TV overview
10.2 Pay TV statistics
10.3 Major pay TV operators
10.3.1 DirecTV
10.3.2 TVCable
10.3.3 CNT TV
10.3.4 Claro (Ecuadortelecom)
10.3.5 Univisa
11. Mobile communications
11.1 Overview of Ecuador's mobile market
11.1.1 Mobile statistics
11.2 Forecasts mobile market 2015; 2020
11.2.1 Scenario 1 higher mobile market growth
11.2.2 Scenario 2 lower mobile market growth
11.3 Regulatory issues
11.3.1 Mobile licence renewals
11.3.2 SIM card registration
11.3.3 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
11.4 Mobile technologies
11.4.1 Overview
11.4.2 Second Generation (2G) mobile GSM/CDMA
11.4.3 Third generation (3G) mobile UMTS/HSPA
11.4.4 Fourth generation (4G) mobile - LTE
11.5 Major mobile operators
11.5.1 Claro (Conecel)
11.5.2 Movistar (Otecel)
11.5.3 CNT
11.6 Mobile voice services
11.6.1 Prepaid
11.7 Mobile broadband
12. Notes on scenario forecasts
13. Related reports
Table 1 Country statistics Ecuador 2013
Table 2 Telephone network statistics 2013
Table 3 Internet user statistics 2013
Table 4 Fixed broadband statistics 2013
Table 5 Mobile statistics 2013
Table 6 National telecommunications authorities
Table 7 Evolution of GDP in Ecuador 2000 - 2014
Table 8 Fixed and mobile market share - 1997 - 2013
Table 9 Fixed lines in service operators' market share 2001 - 2013
Table 10 CNT lines in service 2001 - 2013
Table 11 Etapa lines in service 2001 - 2013
Table 12 Fixed lines in service and teledensity 1997 - 2013
Table 13 Public telephones 2003 - 2013
Table 14 Forecast fixed-line growth higher growth scenario 2015; 2020
Table 15 Forecast fixed-line growth lower growth scenario 2015; 2020
Table 16 Internet users and user penetration rate 1998 - 2013
Table 17 Fixed broadband subscribers and penetration rates - 2001 - 2013
Table 18 Fixed broadband market share major operators - 2008 - 2013
Table 19 Forecast broadband growth higher growth scenario 2015; 2020
Table 20 Forecast broadband growth lower growth scenario 2015; 2020
Table 21 CNT ADSL subscribers 2008 - 2013
Table 22 TVCable cable modem subscribers 2008 - 2013
Table 23 Claro cable modem subscribers 2008 - 2013
Table 24 Pay TV subscribers and penetration 2004 - 2013
Table 25 Pay TV technology market share 2004 - 2013
Table 26 Major pay TV operators' market share May 2013
Table 27 Mobile subscribers by operator and technology March 2013
Table 28 Mobile subscribers and penetration rate 1997 - 2013
Table 29 Evolution of mobile ARPU major operators 2009 - 2012
Table 30 Forecast mobile subscriber growth higher growth scenario 2015; 2020
Table 31 Forecast mobile subscriber growth lower growth scenario 2015; 2020
Table 32 Mobile subscribers by technology 2001 - 2013
Table 33 3G subscribers 2008 - 2013
Table 34 Mobile operators' market share 1997 - 2013
Table 35 Claro mobile subscribers 1997 - 2013
Table 36 Historic - Movistar mobile subscribers 1997 - 2004
Table 37 Movistar mobile subscribers 2005 - 2013
Table 38 CNT mobile subscribers 2003 - 2013
Table 39 Mobile prepaid/postpaid ratio 2002 - 2013
Table 40 Mobile broadband subscribers 2009 - 2013
Chart 1 Fixed and mobile market share at a glance 2000 2013
Chart 2 Fixed broadband market share at a glance 2008 2013
Chart 3 Mobile market evolution at a glance 2002 - 2013
Chart 4 Mobile operators' market share at a glance March 2013
Exhibit 1 Map of Ecuador

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