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Broadband Market Insights, Analysis and Forecasts - Russia

Broadband Market Insights, Analysis and Forecasts - Russia

Growth in the fixed-line broadband sector began to stall in 2013 in response to higher penetration. Nevertheless, incumbent and alternative telcos continue to upgrade infrastructure as part of a general trend for bundled services. Much of the copper network is of poor quality, while there remains considerable need to invest in infrastructure covering a large number of regional towns which still lack mobile or internet services. A range of platforms have been deployed for broadband, including xDSL, cable and FttP/FttB. Wireless solutions such as WiFi and WiMAX garnered much interest initially, though one of the main players, Scartel (operating under the Yota brand) abandoned WiMAX in favour of an Long-term Evolution (LTE) solution.

Broadband diffusion is providing the basis on which a promising internet society is emerging, with much potential for future commercial, government and social services. This report offers a concise overview of Russia's rapidly maturing broadband market, providing an overview of major players, technology platforms, statistics and broadband subscriber forecasts for 2010-2013 and 2020.

Key developments:

Moscow City Telephone Network reports having 700,000 on its GPON network; MTS and VimpelCom invest RUB2 billion on 4,500km fibre infrastructure; MegaFon collaborates with utility EuroSibEnergo, using power lines for fibre-optic network in Siberia; Moscow Metro tenders for WiFi contract across its network; Aeroflot extends in-flight WiFi service; fibre representing 40% of Rostelecom's total broadband subscriber base; regulator announces regional WiMAX licensees; government approves RUB3.1 billion investment for satellite broadband in remote areas; mobile internet subscriber base reaches 63.5 million; STV and Tricolor TV withdraw from broadband market; regulator's market data to March 2014; telcos' financial and operating data to Q1 2014; market developments to mid-2014.

Companies covered in this report include:

Synterra Telecom, Comstar, Volga Telecom, VimpelCom, Summa Telecom, MetroMAX, Comstar, Yota, Virgin Connect, Enforta, Golden Telecom.

1. Synopsis
2. Russia's emerging internet society
3. Regulatory developments
4. Fixed broadband market
4.1 Overview
4.2 Fixed broadband statistics
4.3 Asymmetrical digital subscriber line (ADSL)
4.3.1 Rostelecom
4.3.2 MTS
4.3.3 VimpelCom
4.3.4 Other providers
4.4 Cable modems
4.5 Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks
4.5.1 Golden Telecom
4.5.2 MTS
4.5.3 Other operators
4.6 Broadband powerline (BPL)
4.7 Wireless broadband
4.7.1 WiFi
4.7.2 WiMAX
4.7.3 Internet via satellite
4.7.4 Mobile broadband
4.7.5 Cloud computing
4.7.6 eHealth developments
5. Forecasts Fixed broadband market 2010-2013; 2020
5.1 Scenario 1 higher fixed broadband subscriber growth
5.2 Scenario 2 lower fixed broadband subscriber growth
5.3 Notes on scenario forecasts
6. Related reports
Table 1 Historic - Internet users and penetration rate 1999 - 2004
Table 2 Internet users and penetration rate 2005 - 2014
Table 3 Fixed broadband subscribers 2003 2014
Table 4 Fixed broadband penetration 2003 - 2014
Table 5 Fixed broadband subscribers by ISP in Russia 2010 - 2013
Table 6 Moscow fixed broadband subscribes by ISP 2010 - 2013
Table 7 Fixed broadband market share by operator (Russia) 2010 - 2013
Table 8 Rostelecom fixed broadband subscribers 2008 2014
Table 9 Rostelecom annualised broadband ARPU 2008 2014
Table 10 MTS fixed broadband subscribers 2009 - 2012
Table 11 VimpelCom fixed broadband subscribers 2008 - 2014
Table 12 ER-Telecom subscribers by sector 2011
Table 13 ER-Telecom broadband subscribers 2010 - 2012
Table 14 ER-Telecom revenue by sector 2011
Table 15 VimpelCom FttB subscribers 2010 2014
Table 16 VimpelCom FttB revenue 2010 2014
Table 17 Rostelecom FttX subscribers 2011 2014
Table 18 Forecast fixed broadband subscribers higher growth scenario 2010 - 2013; 2020
Table 19 Forecast fixed broadband penetration higher growth scenario 2010 - 2013; 2020
Table 20 Forecast fixed broadband subscribers lower growth scenario 2010 - 2013; 2020
Table 21 Forecast fixed broadband penetration lower growth scenario 2010 - 2013; 2020
Chart 1 Internet users and penetration rate 2005 - 2014
Chart 2 Fixed broadband subscribers and annual change 2003 - 2014

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