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Australia - Telecoms Industry - Statistics and Forecasts

Australia - Telecoms Industry - Statistics and Forecasts

Mobile broadband and Fibre-to-the Node (FttN) are driving the Australian telco market

While fixed-line telephony traffic and revenue are declining, the mobile broadband market is growing steadily. Fixed-line broadband on the copper network is also declining as fibre and fixed-wireless broadband services become more widely available, through the NBN’s multi-technology architecture, with its emphasis on VDSL with Fibre-to-the Node (FttN). In time, much of the voice traffic will be data packet via technologies such as Voice over Long-term Evolution (VoLTE).

The release of spectrum for LTE mobile broadband use, as well as increased uptake by consumers and businesses, is helping to offset the decline in revenue from fixed-line services, although as user uptake increases so will the amount of bandwidth consumed.

Other sources of revenue for the major telcos include broadband, data and IP access, business services and applications, cloud computing and other telco services. New revenue streams from fibre and cloud computing in particular are assisting the telcos to compensate for losses from revenues from traditional revenue streams.

Revenue for mobile operators in recent years has been characterised by the continuing take up of services based on LTE technology, and to the rising proportion of mobile data to overall revenue.

By 2018, competition among operators is having a braking effect on ARPU however ARPU growth from mobile data services going forward is offsetting declines in voice ARPU. Pricing competition and market saturation is eroding voice revenue, while the continued substitution of cheaper OTT services for mobile SMS messages and the SMS is also eroding SMS revenue.

For all operators, price competition combined with a focus on managing their mobile businesses as they adapt to new technologies being brought into play, have led to considerable pressure in recent years.

The second-tier market continues to grow strongly although this has eased off to some degree during 2018. Developments in this market have been dominated by industry consolidation a process that is set to continue over coming years, in particular from Vocus and TPG, both of which continue to grow through increased scale via mergers and acquisitions.

This report provides statistics on revenue and market forecasts as well as analyses for the Australian telecommunications market by major providers and according to telecommunications service. The telecoms service market is segmented according to the major providers Telstra, Optus, Vodafone, as well by second-tier market providers including Vocus- M2, TPG and Macquarie Telecom.

Key Developments

The mobile broadband market is predicted to grow steadily over the next five years to 2023.
Fixed-line DSL broadband is declining as fibre and fixed-wireless broadband services become more widely available.
The second-tier market continues to grow strongly although eased off to some degree during 2018.
Competition among operators is having a braking effect on ARPU.
Very slow mobile subscriber growth is predicted over the next five years to 2023.
All three Australian mobile operators are now investing billions of dollars in their networks annually.

Key companies mentioned in this report:

Vodafone, 3, VHA, Optus, Telstra, iiNet, TPG, Vocus, Macquarie Telecom


  • EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • OVERALL TELECOMS INDUSTRY
    • TOTAL TELCO MARKET BY MAJOR SERVICE
      • Market analysis
      • Revenue statistics and market forecast
        • Table Total telecoms market, retail revenue and forecast - 2007 - 2023
        • Table Total telecoms market - retail revenue by service - 2007 - 2020
        • Table Total telecoms market - annual growth by service - 2008 - 2020
        • Table Total telecoms market - market share by service - 2007 - 2020
        • Table Historic - Total telecoms market - retail revenue by service - 2001 - 2015
        • Table Historic - Total telecoms market - annual retail growth by service - 2001 - 2015
        • Table Historic - Total telecoms market - retail market share by service - 2000 - 2015
    • TOTAL TELCO MARKET BY MAJOR PROVIDER
      • Market analysis
      • Revenue statistics and market forecast by major provider
        • Table Total telecoms revenue by major provider / category - 2014 - 2020
        • Table Total telecoms revenue annual growth by major provider / category - 2015 - 2020
        • Table Total telecoms revenue market share by major provider / category - 2014 - 2020
        • Table Historic - Total telecoms revenues by major providers - 2000 - 2013
        • Table Historic - Total telecoms revenues by smaller operators, and total - 2005 - 2013
    • 2ND-TIER TELCOS
      • Market analysis
      • Revenues statistics and market forecast 2nd Tier Telcos
        • Table Second-tier telcos - total revenue and annual change - 2010 - 2020
        • Table Second-tier telcos - revenue ($million) by major provider - 2014 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Second-tier telcos - revenue by provider - 2010 - 2014
        • Table Second-tier telcos - Revenue and market share by major provider - 2018
        • Table Historic - Second-tier telcos - revenue by major provider - annual change - 2010 - 2014
        • Table Historic - Second-tier telcos - revenue by major provider - relative market shares - 2010 - 2014
        • Table Historic - Second-tier telcos - revenue by provider (historic) - 2004 - 2007
        • Table Historic - Second-tier telcos - revenue by major provider - relative market shares - 2004 - 2007
    • FIXED LINE STATISTICS
      • Table Fixed-line telephone services in operation (retail) (millions) - 2013 - 2018
      • Table Percentage of Australians with a fixed-line telephone service at home - 2013 - 2017
  • MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS, REVENUES AND FORECASTS
    • MOBILE SUBSCRIBER STATISTICS
      • Total mobile subscribers and market forecast
        • Table Mobile subscribers, penetration and annual change (with forecast) - 2000 - 2023
      • Mobile operator - subscriber market shares and growth
        • Table Mobile subscribers (millions) by MNO (with forecast) - 2009 - 2020
        • Table Annual change of mobile subscribers by MNO - 2010 - 2020
        • Table Market share of mobile subscribers by MNO (with forecast) - 2010 - 2020
        • Table Historic - Annual change of mobile subscribers by carrier - 1995; 1997; 2000 - 2009
        • Table Historic - Retail mobile subscriber market share by MNO and MVNO - 2015 - 2016
      • Prepaid and postpaid subscribers by operator
        • Table MNO prepaid subscribers (millions) by operator - 2009 - 2018
        • Table MNO market share of prepaid subscribers - 2009 - 2018
        • Table MNO postpaid subscribers (millions) by operator - 2009 - 2018
        • Table MNO market share of postpaid subscribers - 2009 - 2018
        • Table MNO total market of prepaid and postpaid subscribers (millions) - 2009 - 2018
        • Table MNO total market proportion of prepaid and postpaid subscribers - 2009 - 2018
        • Table Prepaid as % of Total Subscribers by operator - 2009 - 2018
        • Table Postpaid as % of Total Subscribers by operator - 2009 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Share of postpaid subscribers by MNO and MVNO - 2014 - 2015
        • Table Historic Share of prepaid subscribers by MNO and MVNO - 2014 - 2015
      • 2G, 3G and 4G subscribers
        • Table Historic - 3G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2003 - 2011
        • Table Historic - Annual change of 3G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2007 - 2011
        • Table Historic - Proportion of 3G mobile subscribers versus total subscribers by carrier - 2006 - 2011
        • Table Historic - 2G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2006 - 2011
        • Table Historic - Annual change of 2G mobile subscribers by carrier - 2006 - 2011
      • Wholesale market
        • Table Telstra wholesale subscribers - 2007 - 2018
        • Table Vodafone wholesale (MVNO) subscribers - 2014 - 2016
      • International comparisons
    • MOBILE SERVICES REVENUES, FORECAST AND MARKET ANALYSIS
      • Table Total mobile services market revenue and annual change (with forecast) - 2005 - 2020
      • Table Historic - Total mobile services market revenue and annual change - 1993 - 2009
    • OPERATOR REVENUE STATISTICS OVERVIEW
      • Revenue by major operator
        • Table Mobile market revenue per major operator - 2009 - 2018
        • Table Mobile market revenue market share per major operator - 2009 - 2018
        • Table Annual change of mobile market revenue per major operator - 2005 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Mobile market revenue per major operator - 1993 - 2004
        • Table Historic - Annual change of mobile market revenue per major operator - 1994; 1997; 2000 - 2004
        • Table Total telecoms revenues by major providers - 2005 - 2014
      • Revenue market share and trends by operator
        • Table Mobile market share in revenue per major operator - 2000 - 2018
      • Revenue trends by service
        • Table Telstra mobile broadband revenue - 2009 - 2018
    • AVERAGE REVENUE PER USER (ARPU)
      • Overview of ARPU
      • Blended ARPU
        • Table Blended monthly ARPU by MNO - 2000 - 2017
      • Prepaid and postpaid ARPU
        • Table Telstra mobile ARPU - prepaid, postpaid, mobile broadband - 2004 - 2018
        • Table Optus mobile subscriber - Monthly ARPU - 2009 - 2018
        • Table VHA Monthly ARPU - 2015- 2018
  • MOBILE BROADBAND
    • MOBILE BROADBAND STATISTICS
      • Table Wireless broadband subscribers by access type - 2009 - 2018
      • Table Mobile broadband subscribers by mobile network operator - 2007 - 2018
      • Table Estimated mobile broadband data downloaded in Petabytes - 2009 - 2018
  • SMARTPHONES, TABLETS AND HANDSET MARKET
    • SMARTPHONE USAGE STATISTICS
      • Table Internet connections via mobile handsets - 2011 - 2018
      • Table Use of mobile phones and ownership of smartphones - 2013 - 2017
      • Table Percentage of Australians mobile-only / no fixed-line telephone at home 2013 - 2017
    • SMARTPHONE AND TABLET SHIPMENTS
      • Table Historic - Australian handset shipments (historic) - 2004 - 2016
    • HANDSET SUPPLIER MARKET SHARES
      • Table Australian handset platform market share - 2018
      • Table Historic - Australian handset brand market share - major suppliers - 2010 - 2014
    • TABLETS
      • Table Historic - Estimated tablet users - 2010 - 2012; 2015 - 2016
      • Table Historic - Tablet market share by manufacturer - 2014 - 2015
    • DEVICE STATISTICS
  • FIXED BROADBAND MARKET
    • FIXED BROADBAND - SUBSCRIBER STATISTICS AND FORECASTS
      • Total market statistics
        • Table Total broadband subscribers - Fixed vs Wireless - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Total broadband subscribers - Fixed vs Wireless, annual growth - 2012 - 2018
        • Table Total broadband subscribers - Fixed vs Wireless, market share - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Total broadband subscribers and annual change - 2000 - 2011
      • Market share statistics by platform
        • Table Total broadband subscribers by access type - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Total broadband subscribers by access type, annual growth - 2012 - 2018
        • Table Total broadband subscribers by access type, market share - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Fixed broadband subscribers - DSL, Cable, Fibre - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Broadband market share by technology - 2008 - 2015
      • Market share statistics by provider
        • Table Fixed broadband retail subscribers (thousands) by major provider - 2010 - 2018
        • Table Fixed broadband retail subscriber annual growth by major provider - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Fixed broadband retail subscribers market share by major provider - 2014 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Total business and residential broadband subscribers - 2006 - 2014
        • Table Telstra broadband subscribers by retail / wholesale - 2007 - 2018
      • Internet usage trends
        • Table Accessing the Internet by Service, Usage Patterns - 2013; 2017
      • Household usage survey - 2018
      • Fixed broadband subscriber Forecast
        • Table Fixed broadband Subscribers (with Forecast) - 2010 - 2023
    • OTHER BROADBAND STATISTICS
      • Broadband speeds
        • Table Subscribers' average broadband speed - 2010 - 2017
        • Table Average SVoD streaming speed by broadband service provider (Mb/s) - 2015 - 2017
        • Table Internet subscribers by download speed - 2016 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Proportion of internet subscribers by download speed - 2009 - 2015
        • Table Historic - Internet subscribers by download speed - 2008 - 2015
      • Broadband traffic
        • Table Volume of data downloaded (Terrabytes) by access connection - 2013 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Terabytes of data downloaded by access technology - 2008 - 2016
        • Table Historic - Annual change in data downloaded by access technology - 2011 - 2016
        • Table Historic - Average data downloaded per subscriber (fixed-line and mobile) - 2013 - 2016
    • AUSTRALIAN BUSINESS BROADBAND MARKET
    • DSL INFRASTRUCTURE
      • Table DSL broadband subscribers - 2008 - 2018
  • NATIONAL BROADBAND NETWORK
    • NBN MARKET STATISTICS
      • Revenue statistics
        • Table NBN revenue ($million) statistics - 2013 - 2018
        • Table NBN ARPU - 2013 - 2018
        • Table NBN capital expenditure - 2013 - 2018
        • Table Cost per premises - 2014 -2017
        • Table Historic - Property, plant, equipment and intangible Assets
      • Subscriptions
        • Table NBN premises activated, Ready for Service (thousands) - 2011 - 2018
        • Table Cumulative End User subscriptions by technology - 2013 - 2018
        • Table Market Share - subscriptions - 2013 - 2018
        • Table Cumulative Premises Ready for Service - 2016 - 2017
        • Table Historic - Market Share Premises Ready for Service - 2016 - 2017
        • Table Fixed Line Speed Tier Mix - 2016 - 2017
        • Table Fixed Wireless Speed Tier Mix - 2016 - 2017
        • Table Sky Muster Satellite Service Speed Tier Mix - 2016 - 2017
        • Table NBN premises activated by platform - 2016 - 2017
        • Table NBN premises serviceable by platform - 2016 - 2017
        • Table Historic - NBN premises activated by platform - 2014 - 2016
        • Table Historic - NBN fibre premises serviceable by type - 2012 - 2016
        • Table Historic - NBN fibre premises activated - 2011 - 2016
      • Broadband market share by provider
        • Table FTTP - Market Share - by Provider - June 2018
        • Table FTTB -- Market Share - by Provider - June 2018
        • Table FTTN- Market Share - by Provider - June 2018
        • Table HFC - Market Share - by Provider - June 2018
        • Table Wireless - Market Share - by Provider - June 2018
        • Table Satellite - Market Share - by Provider - June 2018
      • FTTP Statistics
        • Table NBN revenue statistics FTTP / FTTP- FY 2013 - 2017
        • Table FTTP subscriber statistics - 2013 - 2018
        • Table Annual FTTP / FTTP capital expenditure - FY 2013 - 2017
        • Table FTTP Cost per premise - FY 2014-2016
        • Table FTTP Greenfields rollouts 2014 - 2016
  • PAY TV AND FREE-TO-AIR TV
    • PAY TV
      • Subscriber statistics
        • Table Pay TV subscribers, Foxtel, others and total - 2008 - 2018
        • Table Historic - Pay TV subscribers - annual change by major operator- 1997 - 2014
        • Table Historic - AUSTAR pay TV subscribers - 2008 - 2011
      • Consumer penetration statistics
        • Table Pay TV household penetration rates - 2005 - 2019
        • Table Historic - Pay TV household penetration rates - 1997 - 2004
      • Usage statistics
      • Revenue statistics
        • Table Pay TV revenue by major operator - 2005 - 2017
        • Table Historic - Pay TV revenue by major operator - 1997 - 2004
        • Table Historic - Percentage change of pay TV revenue by major operator - 1998 - 2004
        • Table Percentage change of pay TV revenue by major operator - 2005 - 2017
      • Advertising revenue
        • Table Subscription TV advertising revenue and annual change - 2000 - 2017
      • ARPU and churn statistics
        • Table ARPU levels per operator AUSTAR versus FOXTEL - 2003 - 2017
        • Table Pay TV industry annual churn rates - 1996 - 2017
    • FREE-TO-AIR USAGE STATISTICS - 2017 - 2018
  • VIDEO STREAMING
    • 2018 STATISTICS
      • Table SVOD Subscribers by Category - 2017 - 2018

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