The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Eurozone Weekly Economic Briefing.
The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
Eurozone Weekly Economic Briefings
Lead Article: Two to five page briefing headed by a synopsis of events-driven analysis for the week, which highlights most recent data releases, and political and economic developments.
Historical, forecast, and analytical charts and graphs support the lead article.
Country specific and/or Eurozone charts include the most relevant indicators and exemplify any changes in the outlook.
The historical charts typically offer a 10 to 15 year time series and cover headline and other relevant indicators including GDP, employment, inflation, exchange rate changes, consumer and business confidence, developments in the capital markets, the composition of sovereign debt including amortization schedules and changes in yields, economic outlook by sector, etc.
The forecast charts typically look out to four years ahead.
In addition, analytical graphics clearly present empirical evidence supporting the text.
Latest Data in Detail: One to two pages of summary analysis and associated graphics that offer a 10 to 15 year snapshot of the week’s data releases.
The Week Ahead: A chart of scheduled data releases including the last release and consensus forecast.
Key Indicators: Eurozone table showing monthly percentage changes for the past year for the following: Industrial production; unemployment; CPI; business and consumer confidence; and trade.
Financial Indicators: Eurozone table showing monthly percentage changes for the past year for interest and exchange rates, money supply, share price indices and net foreign direct investment.
A light week in terms of data releases for the eurozone means our short-term outlook remains unchanged. Available survey data continues to suggest a stabilisation in economic conditions in Q2, and we think the economy will regain some of its lost momentum. But external threats are rising, and the eurozone is set to encounter a more difficult path going forward. As a result, we are marginally lowering our 2019 GDP growth forecast to 1.7% from 1.8%. An unexpected 180-degree turn in Italian politics means that a coalition government between the Five-Star Movement and the Lega is now very likely. Although both parties seem to have softened their most radical rhetoric about euro membership, a populist government of this kind would create unprecedented uncertainty in one of the largest economies in the eurozone.