Analysis by Region - North America - US

Analysis by Region - North America - US

Recent inflation and other economic data reinforce our view that rates have peaked, and the Fed's tightening cycle is done. We think expectations for rate cuts in 2024 are overly optimistic, though, and a moderation in the markets' rate cut pricing is likely to nudge yields higher from current levels over the near-term, with the 10-year yield rising back above 4.5%.

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