Analysis by Region - Europe - France

Analysis by Region - Europe - France

We have slashed our 2023 France growth forecast as eurozone recession risks mount, with higher-for-longer inflation, possible gas rationing in the winter, and monetary tightening all having a faster and greater impact than initially anticipated. We now see economic growth of 2.3% in 2022, 0.3ppts lower than last month, and only 1.1% in 2023, 1pt down from last month. We've also raised our inflation forecast to 5.3% this year and 2% in 2023. Moreover, risks to growth are tilted to the downside.


France: Cutting 2023 growth amidst rising recessionary risks
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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