Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea

Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea



We kept our 2024 GDP growth forecast for South Korea at 2.4%, as we think the domestic demand contraction in Q2 was temporary. We expect sequential growth to pick up in the following quarters, underpinned by the stocking process in the technology sector. We cut our forecast for 2025 GDP growth by 0.2ppts to 2.2% to reflect the impact on exports of slower growth in South Korea's major trade partners.


South Korea: Fading export boom to weaken 2025 GDP outlook
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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