Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States



The Federal Reserve’s plan to cut interest rates this year is being delayed because of the underlying strength of the US economy and inflation data that has not instilled confidence within the central bank that inflation is sustainably moving toward its 2% objective. The hard economic data remains solid, with few fissures in the core of the economy. Trend real GDP growth is running above our estimate of the economy's short-term potential of 2%.


US: Sticky inflation delays first interest rate cut by the Fed
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term Forecast
Key drivers of our Short-term Forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to Key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Policy
politics

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