Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland



We still expect GDP growth for Switzerland of 1.5% this year (or 1.2% when adjusted for major sporting events). But for next year, we've cut our GDP forecast by 0.2ppts to 1.3% (or 1.6% if adjusted for sporting events). This downgrade mainly reflects that the cyclical upswing in the manufacturing sector in H2 2024 and H1 2025 will be smaller than we assumed previously.


Switzerland: Softer manufacturing upswing cuts 2025 GDP call
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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