Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India

We have lowered our 2022 India GDP growth forecast to 6.9% from 7.3% and the 2023 forecast to 5.5% from 5.8%. The downgrades reflect the impact from higher inflationary pressures, less accommodative monetary conditions, and the significant deterioration in China's economic outlook. In addition to worsening global stagflationary stresses, China's lockdowns will likely have a direct negative impact on India's manufacturing given that several industries rely mainly on China for intermediate inputs.


India: growth outlook downgraded again
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our Short-term Forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to Key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of The economy
Balance of payments and Structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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