Market Research Logo

Country Economic Forecasts - New Zealand

Country Economic Forecasts - New Zealand

New Zealand’s economy rallied in Q1, posting 2.9% y/y GDP growth, exceeding expectations. This positive start to the year has prompted us to raise our forecast for 2019 as a whole to 2.6%, from 2.4% previously. The Q1 surge came from stronger than expected exports of goods and a surprising rebound in private sector investment. However, headwinds from weak international demand and slowdown in domestic activity persist. Despite a strongly performing labour market, consumption is starting to slow. Meanwhile, investment may hold up for the better part of 2019 but decelerate from Q4 onwards, prompted by deteriorating global conditions, high cost pressures and slowing domestic activity, resulting in growth of 3.1% in 2019 and 1.5% in 2020.

New Zealand: The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic Forecast.
The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
Highlights and Key Issues
four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
Forecast Table showing % changes for the country
with 2 years of historical data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
Domestic demand
Private consumption
Fixed investment
Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
Government consumption
Exports of goods and services
Imports of goods and services
Consumer prices
Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
Government budget (% of GDP)
Short-term interest rates (%)
Long-term interest rates (%)
Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
Exchange rate (vs. euro)
Economic Overview
two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
Charts and Tables
covering a full range of economic developments relevant to the time period covered.
Contributions to GDP growth
Monthly industrial output
Business and consumer confidence
Unemployment rate
Retail sales
Prices and earnings
Consumption and investment
Government balance and debt
GDP and industrial production
Monetary policy and bond yields
Background Information on the country
One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors that determine the country's current position
Key Facts on the country
Map of the country
Key political facts
Long-term economic and social development
changes since 1980
Structure of GDP by output
latest year
Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
Corruption perceptions index- latest year
Structural economic indicators
changes since 1990
Destination of goods' exports -prior years
latest year
Composition of goods & services exports
latest year ​

Download our eBook: How to Succeed Using Market Research

Learn how to effectively navigate the market research process to help guide your organization on the journey to success.

Download eBook

Share this report