Country Economic Forecasts - Rwanda

Country Economic Forecasts - Rwanda

The implementation of strict containment measures has had a profound impact on the economy, the severity of which was reflected in the second-quarter GDP print. Total economic output contracted by 12.4% y-o-y during the three months ended June 2020. The damage inflicted by the pandemic has put strain on salient sectors of the economy: the nascent tourism industry has been dealt a devastating blow this year, while the disruption to the manufacturing industry implies lower income generation in 2020. The severe drop in activity during H1 coupled with the ebullient quarterly growth rates recorded in H2 2019 prompted a downward revision in our overall real GDP growth forecast this year – we believe an economic contraction is more likely than not. Having said that, we still envision a strong rebound in H2 2020.


Rwanda:
The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic Forecast.
The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
Highlights and Key Issues
four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
Forecast Table showing % changes for the country
with 2 years of historical data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
Domestic demand
Private consumption
Fixed investment
Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
Government consumption
Exports of goods and services
Imports of goods and services
Unemployment
Consumer prices
Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
Government budget (% of GDP)
Short-term interest rates (%)
Long-term interest rates (%)
Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
Exchange rate (vs. euro)
Economic Overview
two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
Charts and Tables
covering a full range of economic developments relevant to the time period covered.
These could include such topics as:
Contributions to GDP growth
Monthly industrial output
Business and consumer confidence
Unemployment rate
Retail sales
Prices and earnings
Consumption and investment
Government balance and debt
GDP and industrial production
Monetary policy and bond yields
Background Information on the country
One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors that determine the country's current position
Key Facts on the country
Map of the country
Key political facts
Long-term economic and social development
changes since 1980
Structure of GDP by output
latest year
Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
Corruption perceptions index- latest year
Structural economic indicators
changes since 1990
Destination of goods' exports -prior years
latest year
Composition of goods & services exports
latest year ​

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