Japan: The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic Forecast.
The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
Highlights and Key Issues
four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
Forecast Table showing % changes for the country
with 2 years of historical data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
Exports of goods and services
Imports of goods and services
Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
Government budget (% of GDP)
Short-term interest rates (%)
Long-term interest rates (%)
Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
Exchange rate (vs. euro)
two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
Charts and Tables
covering a full range of economic developments relevant to the time period covered.
These could include such topics as:
Contributions to GDP growth
Monthly industrial output
Business and consumer confidence
Prices and earnings
Consumption and investment
Government balance and debt
GDP and industrial production
Monetary policy and bond yields
Background Information on the country
One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors that determine the country's current position
Business sentiment remains healthy, suggesting a positive outlook for investment. But given the less favourable external background than we had anticipated a few months ago, we now expect GDP to grow 1.4% in 2018. And growth will slow to 0.9% in 2019, as the impacts of the expected slowdown in construction and the planned consumption tax hike feed through. Moreover, there are downside risks to the forecast – if protectionist tensions were to escalate, it would depress business sentiment and exports.