Country Economic Forecasts - India
We maintain our 2017 and 2018 growth forecasts at 6.2% and 7.5% respectively. Real GDP growth is estimated to have picked up to 6.8% y/y in Q4 2017 (from 6.3% in Q3), aided by robust consumption and higher government spending. And we expect a supportive domestic macro policy environment and a positive global backdrop to spur growth further this year.
- India:
- The following represents a general Table of Contents outline for the Country Economic Forecast.
- The actual report may cover any or all of the topics listed below.
- - Highlights and Key Issues
- - four/five paragraphs of analysis covering the main economic and political issues contained in the subsequent Economic Overview
- - Forecast Table showing % changes for the country
- - with 2 years of historical data and 4 years of forecast data for the following:
- - Domestic demand
- - Private consumption
- - Fixed investment
- - Stockbuilding (% of GDP)
- - Government consumption
- - Exports of goods and services
- - Imports of goods and services
- - Unemployment
- - Consumer prices
- - Current account balance (US$ and % of GDP)
- - Government budget (% of GDP)
- - Short-term interest rates (%)
- - Long-term interest rates (%)
- - Exchange rate (vs. US dollar)
- - Exchange rate (vs. euro)
- - Economic Overview
- - two pages of events-driven analysis highlighting the most recent economic activity and, where relevant, political developments of the country, detailing significant changes to Oxford Economics' forecasts
- - Charts and Tables
- - covering a full range of economic developments relevant to the time period covered.
- These could include such topics as:
- - Contributions to GDP growth
- - Monthly industrial output
- - Business and consumer confidence
- - Unemployment rate
- - Retail sales
- - Prices and earnings
- - Consumption and investment
- - Government balance and debt
- - GDP and industrial production
- - Monetary policy and bond yields
- - Background Information on the country
- - One or two pages of text covering the main historical political and economic factors that determine the country's current position
- - Key Facts on the country
- - Map of the country
- - Key political facts
- - Long-term economic and social development
- - changes since 1980
- - Structure of GDP by output
- - latest year
- - Long-term sovereign credit ratings and outlook
- - Corruption perceptions index
- - latest year
- - Structural economic indicators
- - changes since 1990
- - Destination of goods' exports -prior years
- - latest year
- - Composition of goods & services exports
- - latest year
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