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Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: September 2018

Worldwide Smartphone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: September 2018
This IDC study presents the updated five-year forecast for smartphone shipments worldwide by device vendors. The worldwide smartphone market will reach a total of 1.45 billion units shipped in 2018, down 0.7% from the 1.47 billion units shipped in 2017. From there, shipments will reach 1.65 billion units in 2022, the final year of our forecast period, resulting in a CAGR of 2.4%."The combination of increased prices and longer upgrade cycles has hindered the overall growth of smartphone shipments in 2018," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "Although 2018 will bring a decline to the market, we expect single-digit growth across both iOS and Apple, thanks to the arrival of new bigger, brighter displays, artificial intelligence, and improved imaging capabilities. Moreover, the arrival of 5G could be the big motivator to drive upgrades in 2020 when we expect a bulk of new 5G-enabled devices to hit the market."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.

IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
High-End Growth Continues in Developed Markets
Small Displays to Fade
Market Forecast
Worldwide Smartphone Forecast by Operating System
Windows Phone
Forecast Comparison: Smartphones Versus Feature Phones
Feature Phones
Worldwide Smartphone Forecast by Region
Worldwide Smartphone ASP Forecast
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
5G Handsets
Larger Screen Sizes
Replacement Rates
Exchange Rates
Significant Market Developments
The New iPhone XR
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
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