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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: December 2018

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: December 2018

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device type. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,897.3 million unit shipments in 2018, down 4.1% from the 1,977.6 million units shipped in 2017. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,828.3 million units worldwide by 2022, resulting in a CAGR of -1.6% from 2017 to 2022."Even though 2018 will bring a larger decrease than previously forecast, we are still optimistic that 2019 will bring nearly 3% growth to the smartphone market at a worldwide level," said Anthony Scarsella, research manager with IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker. "The 2.6% smartphone growth in 2019 will be driven by the appetite for both high-end and affordable large-screened devices, the arrival of 5G, and double-digit growth in a handful of emerging markets such as India, Vietnam, and Nigeria. Smartphones with 6–7in. screens will be the biggest driver as they will grow by 76.4% in 2019 while making up 42.3% of the total volume. By 2022, the last year of our forecast period, the 6–7in. screen size band will reach 920.2 million units, making up 58.5% of all smartphones shipped in 2022."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.

IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
The Messaging Around 5G
Affordable Handsets Are Still Key
Market Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2017–2022
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
Feature Phones
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Larger Screen Sizes
5G Handsets
Exchange Rates
Replacement Rates
Significant Market Developments
The More Cameras the Merrier
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
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