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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: September 2018

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2018–2022: September 2018
This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for worldwide mobile phone shipments by device vendor. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,931.4 million unit shipments in 2018, down 2.34% from the 1,977.6 million units shipped in 2017. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 1,901.1 million units worldwide by 2022, resulting in a CAGR of -0.8% from 2017 to 2022."Although 2018 will be a down year for the total mobile phone market regarding volume, 2019 is set to bring a positive return to growth for the smartphone market, while volumes remain near flat in the mobile phone market," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "The 3.7% smartphone growth in 2019 will bring a healthy demand for bigger-screen devices. With the 6in. to 7in. screen band set to make up 20.3% of all smartphone shipments in 2018 and 30.5% in 2019 (5.6% in 2017), proving bigger is better in the world of smartphones. From there, the popularity of larger screens will continue to grow throughout the forecast period as devices at numerous price points will adopt bigger screens. By 2022, the last year of our forecast, the 6in. to 7in. screen size band will reach 662.8 million units. This represents a CAGR of 51.9% for 2017–2022."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Affordable Handsets Remain Relevant
The Complete Package
Market Forecast
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast, 2017–2022
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Region
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
CDMA
GSM
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
5G
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
Economy
5G Handsets
Larger Screen Sizes
Inhibitors
Exchange Rates
Replacement Rates
Significant Market Developments
ZTE Back in Business
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Related Research

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