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Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2017–2021: December 2017

Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast Update, 2017–2021: December 2017

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for mobile phone shipments worldwide by device vendors. The worldwide mobile phone market will reach a total of 1,994 million unit shipments in 2017, up 0.6% from the 1,982.9 million units shipped in 2016. From there, total mobile phone shipments will reach 2,001.3 million units worldwide by 2021, resulting in a CAGR of 0.2% from 2016 to 2021."Although total market growth in 2017 is expected to be less than 1%, the average selling price for a mobile phone will climb a staggering 9% from 2016," says Anthony Scarsella, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "In an age where consumers expect technology to become more affordable as it ages, the high end of the spectrum for smartphones continues to flourish. New devices such as the iPhone X, Note 8, and Pixel 2 XL have reached the $1,000+ threshold in many markets, and we expect other vendors to join the party. By 2021, the last year of our forecast period, the average selling price for a mobile phone will jump to $273.01, resulting in a CAGR of 4.9% from 2016 to 2021."


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Balance Your Portfolio
Affordable Handsets Thrive in Emerging Markets
5G Is Upon Us
Market Forecast
Feature Phones
Smartphones
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface and Air Interface Group
CDMA
GSM
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
5G
Worldwide Mobile Phone Forecast by ASP
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
Screen Sizes
Component Cost
5G Handsets
Inhibitors
Exchange Rates
Economy
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Feature Phone
Smartphone
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
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