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Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast Update, 2018–2022

Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast Update, 2018–2022

This IDC study presents an update to the Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Forecast, 2018–2022 (IDC #US43766218, May 2018). The worldwide HDD forecast update integrates IDC's current IT hardware and consumer electronics products forecasts through 2022 as well as updated HDD and solid state drive (SSD) technology transition assumptions. This forecast also reflects updated HDD and SSD attach rate assumptions in systems, particularly where the mass storage device is fungible in the system or device.Underpinning the worldwide HDD forecast update are IDC's assumptions regarding HDD technology transitions that will affect the pace of HDD areal density growth (see Worldwide Hard Disk Drive Component Forecast, 2018–2022, IDC #US44220618, August 2018), HDD product transitions, and HDD price-per-gigabyte declines for each HDD product segment."Rapid and unexpected changes in HDD petabyte demand from cloud service provider customers is a dynamic that can affect the enterprise HDD unit and petabyte shipment, and revenue forecast significantly in the short term," according to John Rydning, research vice president for Hard Disk Drives. "In the long term, the trend is clear: the enterprise market will continue to drive HDD petabyte shipment growth and sustain annual HDD industry revenue at or near current levels."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.

IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Market Forecast
Enterprise HDD Market Segment
OEM Server
OEM Storage
ODM Direct (Non-OEM)
Client HDD Market Segment
Portable PCs and Detachable Tablets
Desktop PCs
Personal and Entry-Level Storage
Video Surveillance
Consumer Electronics, Industrial, and Commercial HDD Market Segments
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Digital Transformation and Data Growth
Price Elasticity of Demand for High-Capacity HDD Storage in Enterprise Datacenters
Expanding Use of Video Surveillance and Video Analytics and Longer Video Retention Times
Data Compression and Storage Efficiency Improvements
Substitution of SSDs for HDDs in Systems
Significant Market Developments
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Related Research

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