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Worldwide Automated Software Quality Forecast, 2016–2020

Worldwide Automated Software Quality Forecast, 2016–2020

This IDC study provides worldwide automated software quality (ASQ) market forecast for 2016–2020. It discusses IDC's ASQ assessment for a market that continued with better single-digit growth of 2.4% to $2.49 billion in 2015 compared with growth of 1.7% to $2.43 billion in 2014. As organizations continued to reinvest in ASQ solutions to address increased complexity across a variety of vectors (including business, technology, software sourcing, and diverse platform deployment with mobile, social business, and cloud), most major-share ASQ solution providers experienced some revenue increases, though at lower levels typically compared with last year due to a volatile economy. Others experienced losses largely due to evolving product releases, shifts to cloud delivery models, and some encroachment by open source tools. The market forecast for ASQ is impacted significantly by strategies of key enterprise vendors such as HPE, IBM, Microsoft, Synopsys, CA Technologies, Dynatrace, and Compuware and the dynamic evolution of innovative smaller providers such as SOASTA, Sauce Labs, Worksoft, Tricentis, Zephyr, SmartBear, Parasoft, Perfecto Mobile, SiteSpect, and Skytap as well as other vendors and key open source solutions (such as Selenium and Cucumber). Midsize innovative vendors in emerging technology areas like mobile, software quality analysis and measurement (SQAM), and cloud testing contributed to enable improved ASQ growth in 2015. We are beginning to observe the impact also of OSS usage and integration by vendors (such as Selenium and Cucumber). We also saw acquisitions moving into 2016, indicating leverage of quality analysis vendor Coverity in the embedded space, with Synopsys augmenting its 2014 Coverity acquisition with follow-on acquisitions of security-related and other products (e.g., Protecode). Consolidation in the ASQ arena also included the acquisition of Klocwork by Rogue Wave (1Q14), the acquisition of Keynote by Dynatrace (3Q15), and CA Technologies' acquisition of Grid-Tools (2Q15) to augment the company's prior ITKO acquisition (2011). Longer term and moving into 2016–2018, the ASQ market is slated for an overall trajectory of growth. IDC expects ongoing acquisitions in the 2016–2018 time frame as enterprise providers seek to broaden their ASQ portfolios. "In a global economy that remained somewhat volatile in 2015 and with ongoing, dramatically increased complexity for multimodal software development and deployment and service virtualization with constrained resources, we saw ongoing investment and demand for ASQ solutions and some growth. Market and product evolution will occur as larger vendors deliver more complete quality and life-cycle management solutions and consolidation continues," says Melinda Ballou, program director for Application Life-Cycle Management and Executive Strategies at IDC. "As a result of the earlier disruption and ongoing software quality challenges, we saw some continuing ASQ investment. Smaller vendors continue to play a crucial role for market innovation as we see from cloud testing, quality measurement with static and dynamic analyses and security leverage, and agile and mobile solutions; these areas are dominated by small and medium-sized companies. We expect additional acquisitions and solid ASQ growth in this space in the 2016–2018 time frame."


IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Advice for Those Targeting ASQ Technology
Market Forecast
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Drivers
Global Competitive Pressures and Velocity
Complex Sourcing
Agile ALM Demand and Need for Governance and Security
Global Competitive Pressures and Multimodal Deployment Demands
Inhibitor
Open Source Software Adoption and Impact
Significant Market Developments
Acquisitions Across the ASQ Spectrum
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
Methodology
Historical Market Values and Exchange Rates
Forecast Market Values and Exchange Rates
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