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U.S. Mobile Phone 2015–2019 Forecast and Analysis

U.S. Mobile Phone 2015–2019 Forecast and Analysis

This IDC study presents the five-year forecast for U.S. mobile phone shipments by device vendors. It is part of IDC's continuing research with respect to mobile devices. Findings in this document are based on information gathered from primary and secondary sources during the past three months.

The U.S. mobile phone market will reach a total of 191.2 million units shipped in 2015, up 3.7% from the 184.4 million units shipped in 2014. From there, total volumes will decline before reaching 185.4 million units in 2019, the final year of our forecast period, at a CAGR of 0.1%.

"Having reached market saturation, the U.S. mobile phone market will still see terrific volumes moving forward but will still see slow decline," says Ramon T. Llamas, research manager for IDC's Mobile Phones team. "Clearly, the focus will still be on the rising smartphone market, which will account for close to 100% of all smartphone shipments by 2019. Feature phone volumes, meanwhile, will slowly decline but not disappear altogether. What will also merit close observation is how mobile phone average selling prices change. We expect slow increase due to the rising popularity of smartphones, but open markets and carrier strategies around subsidies could change all that."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC Opinion
In This Study
Methodology
Primary Data Sources
Secondary Sources
IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker
Situation Overview
Future Outlook
Forecast and Assumptions
Assumptions
U.S. Mobile Phone Forecast, 2015–2019
U.S. Mobile Phone Forecast by Air Interface Group, 2015–2019
CDMA
GSM
UMTS/WCDMA
4G
U.S. Mobile Phone Forecast by Device Type, 2015–2019
Feature Phones and Smartphones
Mobile Phone ASP Forecast
Market Context
Essential Guidance
Closer Segmentation of the Market Is Warranted
Open Market and Full Pricing Merits Close Observation
Learn More
Related Research
Synopsis
Table: Top 3 Assumptions for the U.S. Mobile Phone Market, 2015–2019
Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the U.S. Mobile Phone Market, 2015–2019
Table: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments by Air Interface and Generation, 2014–2019 (M)
Table: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019 (M)
Table: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments by Device Type, 2014–2019 (M)
Table: U.S. Feature Phone Shipments by Air Interface and Generation, 2014–2019 (M)
Table: U.S. Feature Phone Shipments by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019 (M)
Table: U.S. Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface and Generation, 2014–2019 (M)
Table: U.S. Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Table: U.S. Feature Phone and Smartphone Average Selling Price, 2014–2019 ($)
Table: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments by Device Type, 2010–2019: Comparison of October 2014 and June 2015 Forecasts (M)
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipment Share by Top 5 Vendors, 2013 and 2014
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipment Share by Air Interface Group, 2013 and 2014
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipment Share by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments by Device Type, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipment Share by Device Type, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Feature Phone Shipments, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Feature Phone Shipments by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Feature Phone Shipment Share by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Smartphone Shipments, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Smartphone Shipments by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Smartphone Shipment Share by Air Interface Group, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Feature Phone and Smartphone Average Selling Price, 2014–2019
Figure: U.S. Mobile Phone Shipments, 2010–2019: Comparison of October 2014 and June 2015 Forecasts

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