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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Robotics 2018 Predictions

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Robotics 2018 Predictions

This IDC study presents the IDC Worldwide Robotics team's analysis of key drivers relating to robotics, and how these drivers are likely to shape the development of robotics in the planning horizon of 2018 through 2021. The development and deployment of robotics in various industries continue to accelerate in 2017. We have also witnessed the rapid development and convergence of robotics and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, which in turn are accelerating the development of next generation of intelligent robots for industrial, commercial, and consumer applications. To better prepare and support the technology buyer community for the upcoming era of artificial intelligence–enabled robotics (which IDC defined as Robotics 3.0), IDC robotics analysts worldwide, in collaboration with IDC AI and analytics analysts, worked closely on the development of the top 10 robotics predictions, bringing together the collective knowledge of their regions, industrial verticals, and data points of how technology is being deployed across all industries as well as consumers."The advancement of robotics technology has entered into a new era of robotics with embedded and/or cloud-based artificial intelligence. In this new era of Robotics 3.0, intelligent robots are characterized by their ubiquitous sensing and connectivity, cyber-physical fusion, autonomous capabilities (such as cognition, decision making, and learning and adaptation), and more human-friendly multimode interaction. This development will have a profound impact on industrial robots and service robots (both commercial and consumer). Leading robotics technology vendors are already racing to develop and incorporate artificial intelligence capabilities into their product road map in order to stay ahead of the competition," says Dr. Jing Bing Zhang, research director, Worldwide Robotics and IDC Asia/Pacific Manufacturing Insights.

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2019, Robot Adoption Will Have Increased by One-Third, with 60% of G2000 High-Tech Manufacturers Having Deployed Industrial Robots in Manufacturing Operations
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2020, 45% of Newly Installed Industrial Robots Will Be Equipped with at Least One of the Intelligent Features Such as Predictive Analytics, Health Condition Awareness, Self-Diagnosis, Peer Learning, or Autonomous Cognition
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2021, the Emergence of Intelligent Robotic Agents That Supervise and Coordinate Robots Will Have Boosted the Overall Efficiency of Industrial Robots by 30%
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2021, 30% of G2000 Manufacturers Will Have Deployed Cyber-Physical Robotic Systems, Resulting in a 10–20% Improvement in Productivity
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2020, the Worldwide Market for Mobile Security Robots Will Have Grown by Nearly 300%, Augmenting Human Security, with 30% of Mobile Security Robots Being Equipped with Onboard Drones to Deploy as Necessary
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2019, 25% of Mobile Robotic Deployments Will Include the Ability to Add On Modular Components Enabling Multiple Uses on the Same Mobile Platform, Thus Delivering up to 30% Productivity and Efficiency Gains
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: By 2020, 30% of the Top 100 Retailers Will Be Using or Piloting Robots Within the Ship-From-Store Fulfillment Process, Helping Reduce the Cost of Ship-From-Store Orders by up to 20%
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2021, 45% of Mobile Robotic Deployments Will Be by Way of Robot as a Service, Providing Facilities with the Ability to Rapidly Scale Up and Down During Periods of Demand Volatility and Enabling Robotic Deployments to Shift from Capex to Opex
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2020, Spending on Drone Hardware, Software, and Services in Resource Industries Where Drones Are Deployed to Help Map and Plan Infrastructure for Oil, Gas, and Coal Extraction Areas and to Survey and Monitor Thousands of Acres of Crops Will Top $1 Billion
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2021, the Consumer Robot Market Will Have Doubled, and Next-Generation AI-Based Robots Focused Less on Physical Tasks and More on Teaching and Interacting with Family Members Will Have Begun to Enter Homes, Thus Improving Quality of Life
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
Accelerating DX: Technology-Centric Transformation Altering Business and Society
Pace of Change: Technology Capabilities Enable Sustainable Change at the Speed of Digital Business
Human Versus Machine: The Impact of AI and Automation
Sense, Compute, Actuate: The New Data-Centric Paradigm
Platform Disruption: Unleashing Digital Innovation's Power for Scale
Empowering the Material World: Revolutionized Processes Expand Technology Reach
The Future Workforce: Global Demand for Digital Talent
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