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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Government 2017 Predictions

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Government 2017 Predictions

Governments are confronted with a complex context driving them to come up with new policies, service delivery models, and operational excellence practices. Digital transformation will be the force underpinning the ability to seize the opportunities and manage the risks in this environment. "IT executives who want to be seen as innovation partners by program leaders should embrace technology disruption," said Shawn McCarthy, research director, and Massimiliano Claps, associate vice president, IDC Government Insights. "Purchasing yet another legacy enterprise solution no longer fits into this mold. They should understand that cybersecurity will generate a significant shift in diplomacy and conflict, and start experimenting with cognitive computing."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
The Expected Impact of the 2016 U.S. Presidential Elections
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: In 2017, 40% of Government CIO Offices Will Have the Capabilities to Adopt a Leading in 3D Model
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: In 2017, 20% of Government Agencies Will Retire at Least One Piece of Enterprise Software, Moving Toward Platforms Capable of Integrating Multivendor Software Modules
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2018, Only 20% of Government Services Will be Designed and Implemented Through Agile Processes that Incorporate Human-Centered Design Thinking
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2020, 25% of Government Organizations Will Roll Out Cognitive Solutions Impacting Network Performance Particularly When Deployed on Cloud
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2019, 15% of Government Transactions (Such as Tax Collection, Welfare Disbursement, and Immigration Control) Will Have Embedded Analytics
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2018, 10% of Government Digital Services Will Use Bots to Personalize Workflows and/or Channels Through Which Citizens and Businesses Access Services
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: By 2020, 60% of Nation-States Will Have a Stated Cybersecurity Policy and at Least 30% Will Have Cabinet-Level Positions Focused Solely on Cybersecurity
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2019, Countries with 50% of their Midsize to Large Cities in the Repeatable Stage or Higher of Smart City Maturity Will be More Successful in Country Digitization Efforts
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: Government Blockchain Penetration Will Only be Measureable in Pilot Programs for 2017, But 30% of Government Agencies Will Have at Least a Test Project in Place by the End of the Year
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2020, Nation-States Will Employ Cognitive Technologies to Automate Both Defensive and Offensive Cyber Operations, with 35% or More of Low-Level Cyber Activities to be Handled by a Cognitive System
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
Vision
Process
People
Technology
External Drivers: Detail
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