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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2020 Predictions

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2020 Predictions

This IDC study presents IDC's developer- and DevOps-related top 10 predictions for 2020."The pressure on organizations to innovate and fundamentally rethink how they operate internally and what technologies they embrace has ramped up over the past year. Today, organizations not moving to implement — including embracing open source software (OSS); using DevOps tooling, AI, and ML; and collecting KPIs — will find themselves at a competitive disadvantage in the future," said Al Gillen, group vice president, Software Development and Open Source, IDC. "Those organizations that hesitate will face an uncertain future in tomorrow's competitive world."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2023, 66% of Firms Will Be Beyond Piloting AI/ML as Part of Application Development, with Nearly 10% Optimizing AI/ML Across Development, Design, Quality, Security, and Deployment
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2024, 80% of All New Applications Developed Using a Programming Language Will Be Deployed in Containers to Gain the Benefits of Deployment Speed, Application Consistency, and Portability
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: The Number of Part-Time Developers Such as Business Analysts, Data Analysts, and Data Scientists Worldwide Will Double From 6.8 Million in 2019 to 13.6 Million in 2025, Reflecting a 12.3% CAGR
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2023, the Number of Organizations That Release Code to Production Daily for Select Applications Will Rise to 40% from 3% in 2019
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2022, the Acceleration of Legacy App Modernization and Net-New Development Will Lead to 35% of Production Apps Being Cloud Native — Utilizing Microservices, Containers, and Dynamic Orchestration
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2022, 50% of DevOps Teams Will Invest in Tools to Focus on Business KPIs (Cost, Revenue, etc.), and Operations Will Play a Larger Role in End-to-End App Performance and Business Impact
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: Growing Reliance on Open Source Components in Apps Drives a Sharp Increase in Software Component Analysis Tools and Related Utilities, and the Use Will Grow from a Minority of Organizations to >65% by 2023
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2023, 60% of the G2000 Enterprises Will Have Created Their Own Software Ecosystem, While 90% Will Use Publicly Accessible Community Repositories to Access Reusable Code Components
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2023, Use of Open Source Software from Public Repositories Used to Build Enterprise Apps Will Double to 40%; the Remaining 60% of Code Is Custom for an Organization's Business Model or Use Case
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2025, Less than 50% of Apps Will Be Fully DevOps Enabled; Enterprises Have Determined That Not All Apps Benefit from Operational Complexity Associated with CI/CD Across Development and Production
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
External Drivers: Detail
Skills Gap: Fast-Changing Technology That Opens Up a Substantial Shortage of Technical Expertise, Particularly in Some Regional Areas
Description
Context
Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications
Description
Context
Technical Complexity: Today's Rapid Evolution of Software Raising, Not Lowering, Technical Debt
Description
Context
The Future of Work: Agile, Augmented, Borderless, and Reconfigurable
Description
Context
Legacy Obsolescence: Old Systems That Represent Technical Debt and a Drag on Innovation
Description
Context
The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise
Description
Context
Accelerated Disruption: Navigating Business Challenges as Volatility Intensifies
Description
Context
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