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IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2019 Predictions

IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Developer and DevOps 2019 Predictions

This IDC study presents IDC's developer- and DevOps-related top 10 predictions for 2019. "Never before have there been more changes to tools, processes, and deployment environments happening in parallel. If the shift from on-premises to off-premises computing was not enough, few existing applications will become digital-native applications without dramatic updates," said Al Gillen, group vice president, Software Development and Open Source at IDC. "We will end up leaving some venerable applications behind, but we can also expect a broad range of exciting new applications — some of them bordering on scary smart — in the next five years."

Please Note: Extended description available upon request.


IDC FutureScape Figure
Executive Summary
IDC FutureScape Predictions
Summary of External Drivers
Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers
Prediction 1: By 2024, 60% of Firms Will Have Adopted ML/AI Analytics for DevOps, Accelerating Software Delivery and Improving Quality, Security, and Compliance via Data Integration, Auto Triggers, and Predictive ALM
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 2: By 2024, a New Class of Developers That Build Applications Without Writing Code Will Account for 20% of all Developers. These Developers Will Accelerate DX
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 3: By 2024, DevSecOps Will Be Automated to the Extent That 60% of New Applications Will Have Comprehensive Security and Compliance Assessment Included in the Continuous Delivery Pipeline
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 4: By 2022, Over Half of the Code in 75% of New Apps Will Be from External Sources. The Need to Improve Developer Productivity Is Driving the Use of Open Source and Commercial Code Repositories
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 5: By 2023, 25% of Firms Will Use AI in 40% of Development — as well as in CI, Code Reviews, Testing, Provisioning, and Management — and AI Guidance Will Be Part of Architecture Design and Data Strategy
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 6: By 2020, Tool Innovation Will Have Improved Visually Guided Functionality, Using Widgets or Visual Frameworks, and Traditional Developers Will Use Modeling in 60% of the Apps They Develop
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 7: By 2024, Quantum Computing Advances Will Have Enabled Simulation, Modeling, and Analytics That Are Too Complex for Classic Computers and Will Have Overtaken and Displaced 20% of Classic AI/ML Tools
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 8: By 2022, the Acceleration of Legacy App Modernization and Net-New Development Will Lead to 35% of Production Apps Being Cloud Native — Utilizing Microservices, Containers, and Dynamic Orchestration
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 9: By 2021, the Key Consideration for 75% of Enterprises Deploying Custom Solutions Will Shift from Cloud Platform Choice to an Optimization of Cost, Performance, Best Compute Option, and Best Location
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Prediction 10: By 2022, the Top 4 Clouds Will Host 80% of PaaS/IaaS Deployments, While Firms Will Work to Avoid Lock-In on 60% of Their Apps via Multicloud, Least Common Denominator, OSS, and Cloud-Native Strategies
Associated Drivers
IT Impact
Guidance
Advice for Technology Buyers
Timing: The Sooner the Better
Embrace New Technologies
It's Not Just Tools: Process and People Are Key, Too
Nontraditional Developers' Day Is Coming
Remain Vigilant and Watch for Potential Lock-In
External Drivers: Detail
The Race to Innovate: Speed of Change, Delivery, and Operations Separates Thrivers and Survivors
Legacy Inertia: Retrofit the Old into the DX World
Platforms, Platforms, Platforms: Industry Competes for Innovation at Scale
Skills Gap: Fast-Changing Technology Opens Up a Substantial Shortage of Technical Expertise, Particularly in Some Regional Areas
New Nature of Risk: Innovation Requires New Thinking in Security and Risk Management
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