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U.S. 5G Connections Forecast, 2018–2022

U.S. 5G Connections Forecast, 2018–2022

This IDC study looks at key market trends impacting early stage 5G commercialization efforts and expected 5G adoption/upgrade trends among U.S. consumers and businesses. It also outlines the competitive landscape for 5G commercial services among U.S. mobile network operators as they ramp up 5G network launches and seek to enhance 5G-related revenue. Forecasts for total subscribers include 5G-enabled mobile handsets, tablets, PCs, and MiFi devices and 5G IoT connections. Subscribers of 5G-fixed wireless access services are not covered by this forecast."2018 represents a transition point for 5G, shifting from the hype of 5G's technological potential to real-world deployment, with the 3GPP's non-standalone New Radio (NSA-NR) specification released in December 2017 allowing mobile network operators and equipment providers to kick off commercial launches in the United States in late part of the year," says Jason Leigh, senior research analyst, Mobility at IDC. "The real opportunity for 5G lies in the scope of as-yet-unimagined use cases beyond basic connectivity that it enables. While 5G is not a replacement for 4G, it creates an environment that will allow mobile network operators to broaden ways they can impact consumers' lives and influence business operations."

IDC Market Forecast Figure
Executive Summary
Advice for Technology Suppliers
Market Forecast
Market Context
Drivers and Inhibitors
Unlimited Data Plans
Network Capacity and Density
New Use Cases
Lack of 5G Consumer Value Proposition
5G Network Availability
Significant Market Developments
Mobile Network Operator Commercial Launch Plans
5G Device Availability and Pricing
Regulatory Relief for Small Cell Deployment
Upcoming Spectrum Auctions
5G Subscription Pricing Taking Shape
Changes from Prior Forecast
Market Definition
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