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Sweden Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2017 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Sweden Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2017 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Summary

Sweden has a mixed economic system. Private enterprises dominate the economy, and there is an extensive social welfare system in place. As with many developed economies, the services sector is the largest, accounting for an estimated 64.1% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2016. The industrial sector accounted for an estimated 34.2%, of which the engineering sector accounts for around 50%. Agriculture, which is completely mechanized and practiced commercially, accounted for 1.7% of the GDP (CIA, 2017). The economic base is characterized by an abundance of hydropower resources, timber, and iron ore.

Sweden’s power consumption trend ran almost parallel to its economic growth over the 2000-2016 period. This is due to the industrial sector’s contribution, which is one of the largest among the economic sectors. When the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) dipped by 5.2% in 2009, consumption also declined by 3.9%.

Between 2000 and 2016, annual power consumption declined at a negative Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 0.3%, from 135.5 Terawatt hours (TWh), to 129 TWh. Conversely, annual power generation increased at a CAGR of 0.4%, from 141.8 TWh, to 151 TWh - owing to a steady increase in demand from the industrial, residential, and services sectors. Generation, on the other hand, was affected by drought, as Sweden generates much of its electricity from hydropower.

In 2016, hydropower was the single largest source of electricity, accounting for 38.9% of installed capacity. Nuclear power accounted for 21.9%, renewable capacity accounted for 28.8%, and thermal capacity accounted for the remaining 10.5%. The government is currently focusing on developing renewable energy plants, in order to reduce emissions. The share of thermal power in installed capacity is, therefore, expected to fall below 10% by 2020, and around 6% by 2030.

The report Sweden Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2017 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape, elaborates Sweden's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for generation, capacity and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the Sweden power market’s regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape, and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided.

In particular, this report provides the following analysis -

  • Provides a snapshot of the key parameters that affect the power sector, as well as key points about the power market.
  • Provides analysis of the power market.
  • Details the regulatory control of the power market and the inward foreign investment scenario.
  • Provides information on cumulative installed capacity and annual generation trends, by individual generation source.
  • Describes the power Transmission and Distribution (T&D) infrastructure and provides information on interconnectors with neighboring countries. The section also covers upcoming grid-related projects.
Companies mentioned in this report: Vattenfall AB, Fortum Corporation.

Scope
  • Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters - macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.
  • Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2016, forecast for the next 14 years to 2030.
  • Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear
  • Data on leading current and upcoming projects.
  • Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports.
  • Policy and regulatory framework governing the market.
  • Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.
Reasons to buy
  • Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
  • Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
  • Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
  • Identify key partners and business development avenues
  • Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
  • Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.


1 Table of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 5
1.2 List of Figures 6
2 Executive Summary 7
2.1 Sweden, Power Sector Outlook 7
3 Introduction 10
3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 11
4 Sweden, Power Market, Snapshot 12
4.1 Macroeconomic Factors 12
4.2 Supply Security 14
4.3 Opportunities 15
4.4 Challenges 15
5 Sweden, Power Market, Market Analysis 16
5.1 Sweden, Power Market, Market Structure 16
5.2 Sweden, Power Market, Key Market Players 16
5.3 Sweden, Power Market, Financial Deals 17
5.3.1 Deal Value and Volume Analysis, 2004-March 2017 17
5.3.2 Deals by Type, 2016 18
5.4 Sweden, Power Market, Demand Structure 19
5.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2016 21
6 Sweden, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 22
6.1 Sweden, Power Market, Regulatory Framework 22
6.2 National Renewable Energy Action Plan 22
6.3 Green Certificate Scheme 23
6.3.1 Quota Obligation 23
6.4 Subsidy for Photovoltaic Installations 25
6.5 Tax Regulation Mechanism I 25
6.6 Tax Regulation Mechanism II 25
6.7 Tax Regulation Mechanism III 26
6.8 Vehicle fleet independent of fossil fuel by 2030 26
6.9 Energy, Carbon and Sulfur Taxation 26
7 Sweden Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 28
7.1 Sweden, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 28
7.1.1 Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2016 28
7.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030 29
7.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 31
7.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 34
7.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Generation, 2000-2030 37
7.2.4 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 40
8 Sweden, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 44
8.1 Sweden, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview 44
8.2 Sweden, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview 45
8.3 Sweden, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 45
8.4 Sweden, Power Market, Smart Grid Development 46
8.5 Sweden, Power Import and Export Scenario 47
8.6 Sweden, Power Market, Electricity Trading 48
9 Sweden, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Companies 49
9.1 Key Company in Sweden Power Market: Vattenfall AB 49
9.1.1 Company Overview 49
9.1.2 Business Description 49
9.1.3 SWOT Overview 49
9.2 Key Company in Sweden Power Market: Fortum Corporation 52
9.2.1 Company Overview 52
9.2.2 Business Description 52
9.2.3 SWOT Overview 53
10 Appendix 56
10.1 Market Definitions 56
10.1.1 Power 56
10.1.2 Installed Capacity 56
10.1.3 Electricity Generation 56
10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 56
10.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 56
10.1.6 Hydropower Plant 56
10.1.7 Nuclear Power 56
10.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 56
10.2 Abbreviations 57
10.3 Bibliography 58
10.4 Methodology 58
10.5 Coverage 58
10.5.1 Secondary Research 58
10.5.2 Primary Research 59
10.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 59
10.6 Contact Us 60
10.7 Disclaimer 60
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Power Market, Sweden, Gross Domestic Product (TWD and $bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2021 14
Table 2: Power Market, Sweden, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2016 16
Table 3: Power Market, Sweden, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-March 2017 18
Table 4: Power Market, Sweden, Deals by Type (%), 2016 19
Table 5: Power Market, Sweden, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 20
Table 6: Power Market, Sweden, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2016 21
Table 7: Power Market, Sweden, Quota Obligation per MWh, 2016-2035 24
Table 8: Power Market, Sweden, Energy Tax, 2017 26
Table 9: Power Market, Sweden, Energy and CO2 Tax, 2017 27
Table 10: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2016 28
Table 11: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 30
Table 12: Power Market, Sweden, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2017 31
Table 13: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 33
Table 14: Power Market, Sweden, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2017 34
Table 15: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 36
Table 16: Power Market, Sweden, Active Nuclear Power Reactors, 2017 37
Table 17: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 39
Table 18: Power Market, Sweden, Leading Non-hydro Renewable Power Plants (MW), 2017 41
Table 19: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 43
Table 20: Power Market, Sweden, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2006-2025 44
Table 21: Power Market, Sweden, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2006-2025 45
Table 22: Power Market, Sweden, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2016 48
Table 23: Power Market, Sweden, Vattenfall AB, SWOT Profile, 2017 50
Table 24: Power Market, Sweden, Fortum Corporation, SWOT Profile, 2017 53
Table 25: Abbreviations 57
1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: Power Market, Sweden, Gross Domestic Product ($bn) and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2016 7
Figure 2: Power Market, Sweden, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000-2016 8
Figure 3: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2016 9
Figure 4: Power Market, Sweden, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2021 13
Figure 5: Power Market, Sweden, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2016 16
Figure 6: Power Market, Sweden, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-March 2017 17
Figure 7: Power Market, Sweden, Deals by Type (%), 2016 18
Figure 8: Power Market, Sweden, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 19
Figure 9: Power Market, Sweden, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2016 21
Figure 10: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2016 28
Figure 11: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 29
Figure 12: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 32
Figure 13: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 35
Figure 14: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (MW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 38
Figure 15: Power Market, Sweden, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 42
Figure 16: Power Market, Sweden, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2016 47

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