South Africa Baby Food, 2021

South Africa Baby Food, 2021

Summary

“South Africa Baby Food, 2021” is an analytical report by GlobalData which provides extensive and highly detailed current and future market trends in the South Africa market.

The number of live births has generally been falling over the past decade, but the period 2017-2020 saw small increases, providing a limited boost to the sector at a time of economic difficulty.Retail sales stood at R5.3 billion (US$320 million) in 2020, up 33% on 2014. The sector remained vibrant up to 2016, despite a poor economic climate, but has recently been adversely affected by the increasingly severe economic downturn. However, the sector has expanded marginally in real terms over this period, despite the significant drop in sales in 2020 due to the outbreak of COVID-19. The sector is expected to have contracted by at least 4% in value and 3% in volume in 2020, due to the pandemic. While sales should begin to grow again in 2021, they are not likely to reach 2019 levels again until 2022.Baby food is distributed through a variety of outlets in South Africa and there are no restrictions on its sale. Supermarkets are the main source of supply, accounting for over half of value sales, while hypermarkets are growing in importance

What else does this report offer?

  • Consumption data based upon a unique combination of industry research, fieldwork, market sizing work and our in-house expertise to offer extensive data about the trends and dynamics affecting the industry.
  • Detailed profile of the companies operating and new companies considering entry in the industry along with their key focus product sectors.
  • Market profile of the various product sectors with the key features & developments, segmentation, per capita trends and the various manufacturers & brands.
  • Overview of baby food retailing with a mention of the major retailers in the country along with the distribution channel.
  • Future projections considering various trends which are likely to affect the industry.
Scope
  • The annual number of live births has been around one million since 2015
  • The baby milks category is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.7% by value during 2020-2026
  • The rising popularity of later-stage milks has reduced the share held by first-stage milks, but these still make up nearly 40% of value
  • The vast majority of imports of milks and cereals now originate from Germany, the Netherlands, and France, in terms of value
Reasons to Buy
  • Evaluate important changes in consumer behavior and identify profitable markets and areas for product innovation.
  • Analyse current and forecast behavior trends in each category to identify the best opportunities to exploit.
  • Detailed understanding of consumption by individual product categories in order to align your sales and marketing efforts with the latest trends in the market.
  • Investigates which categories are performing the best and how this is changing market dynamics.


  • Introduction
    • Executive Summary
  • Market Environment
    • Value and Volume Growth Analysis by Region
    • Growth Analysis of South Africa Compared to Other Leading Countries in the Middle East & Africa Market
    • PCC and PCE of South Africa Compared to Global and Middle East & Africa Markets
  • Background
    • Births - Live Birth Rates
      • Table Birth & population trends, 2009-2020
    • Births - Live Births by Region
      • Table Live births by province, 2012-2018
    • The Consumer
      • Table Socio-economic classes, 2008-2017
      • Table Ownership of household goods, 2011-2018
      • Table Annual average household expenditure on food, beverages & tobacco by population group, 2014/15
    • Socio-Demographic Trends
      • Table Number of women of childbearing age by age group, 2012, 2018 & 2020
    • Socio-Demographic Trends
      • Table Current birth registrations by age of mother, 2014-2018
      • Table Estimated total fertility rates, 1996-2016
    • Working Women
      • Table Female employment trends, 2010-2020
      • Table Employment situation by population group, 2020
    • Breastfeeding Trends
      • Table Breastfeeding status by age, 2003/04 and 2016
      • Table Breastfeeding rates by socio-demographic characteristics, 1998, 2003 & 2016
      • Table Breastfeeding status by age, 2016
      • Table Consumption of liquids and solids, by age, 2016
      • Table Mean & median duration of breastfeeding by socio-demographic characteristics, 2016
    • Regulations
  • Overview
    • South African Baby Food Sector Snapshot
    • Market Size Analysis
    • Manufacturer Shares
      • Table Baby food: manufacturer shares, value & volume, %, 2013-2020
      • Table Baby food: manufacturer shares by category, %, 2020
  • Category Analysis
    • Baby Milks
      • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Milks
      • Milks Category Trends
      • Milks Per Capita Trends
      • Milks Segmentation
        • Table Baby milks: price positioning, 2020
      • Leading Companies Value and Volume Share
      • Milks Manufacturer Shares
        • Table Baby milks: manufacturer shares, % value, 2014-2020
        • Table Baby milks: manufacturer shares, % volume, 2014-2020
      • Milks Brands
    • Baby Cereals
      • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Cereals
      • Baby Cereals Category Trends
      • Baby Cereals Per Capita Trends
      • Baby Cereals Segmentation
        • Table Baby cereals: price positioning, 2020
        • Table Finger foods: price positioning, 2020
      • Leading Companies Value and Volume Share
      • Baby Cereals Manufacturers
        • Table Baby cereals: manufacturer shares, trends, %, 2013-2020
      • Baby Cereals Brands
    • Meals
      • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Meals
      • Baby Meals Category Trends
      • Baby Meals Per Capita Trends
      • Baby Meals Segmentation
        • Table Wet meals: price positioning, 2020
      • Leading Companies Value and Volume Share
      • Baby Meals Manufacturers & Brands
        • Table Wet baby meals: manufacturer shares, %, 2013-2020
    • Baby Drinks
      • Market Size Analysis - Category: Baby Drinks
      • Baby Drinks Per Capita Trends
      • Baby Drinks Segmentation
        • Table Baby drinks: price positioning, 2020
      • Leading Companies Value and Volume Share
      • Baby Drinks Manufacturer & Brand Shares
        • Table Baby drinks: manufacturer shares, %, 2013-2020
  • Production and Trade
    • Production
    • Imports
      • Table Baby milks & cereals: trends in imports, 2013-2019
      • Table Imports of baby milks & cereals by country of origin, 2017-2019
    • Trends in Imports
      • Table Other baby food: trends in imports, 2013-2019
    • Imports
      • Table Imports of other baby food by country of origin, 2017-2019
    • Exports
      • Table Baby milks & cereals: trends in exports, 2013-2019
      • Table Exports of baby milks & cereals by country of destination, 2017-2019
    • Trends in Exports
      • Table Other baby food: trends in imports, 2013-2019
    • Exports
      • Table Exports of other baby food by country of destination, 2017-2019
  • Distribution
    • Channel Share Analysis
    • Baby Food Retailing
      • Table Baby food: sales by store type, 2013-2019
      • Table Baby food: sales by category & store type, 2019
  • Economic Background
    • GDP Growth and Inflation
    • South Africa - Macroeconomic Analysis
  • Prospects and Forecasts
    • Population Growth
    • Birth and Population Projections
      • Table Birth & population projections, 2014-2026
    • South African Baby Food Sector Forecast Snapshot
    • Impact of COVID-19
    • Future Trends
  • Definitions
    • Definitions - Category
    • Definitions - Terminology
  • Appendix
    • Appendix - The Baby Population: The baby population is expected to fall from 2022 onward and dip below three million by 2025
      • Table Baby population, number of babies '000, 2011-2026
    • Appendix - Sector Value: Sales increased annually from 2014 to 2019, but fell to R5,275.3 million (US$319.7 million) in 2020
      • Table Baby food: market value, current prices, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Sector Value: In real terms, sales increased by 1% during 2014-2020
      • Table Baby food: market value, constant prices, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Sector Value: In 2020, the market stood at US$319.7 million, of which milks accounted for US$216.9 million
      • Table Baby food: market value, US$ million, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Sector Volume: Total volume decreased by 1.7% over the 2014-2020 period to 36.9 million kg
      • Table Baby food: market volume, million kg, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Per Capita Expenditure*: Expenditure per baby rose by 50% from 2014 to 2020
      • Table Baby food: per capita expenditure, current prices, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Per Capita Expenditure*: Growth in real terms increased by 14% from 2014 to 2020
      • Table Baby food: per capita expenditure, constant prices, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Per Capita Expenditure: In 2020, expenditure per baby 0-36 months stood at US$104
      • Table Baby food: per capita expenditure, US$, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Per Capita Consumption*: Intake per baby aged 0-3 stood at 12kg in 2020, up by 11% since 2014
      • Table Baby food: per capita consumption, grams, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Category Trends: Baby milks make up the largest category in the baby food sector, with sales amounting to R3,578.4 million (US$216.9 million) in 2020
      • Table Baby milks: category trends, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Milks: Growing-up milks have increased their share of value since 2014
      • Table Baby milks: category segmentation, value & volume, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Milks: Abbott has a presence in all segments of the milks category
      • Table Baby milks - powder: brand price analysis, 2020
    • Appendix - Milks: The most expensive milks on the market were found to be Holle and Hipp's organic milks
      • Table Baby milks - powder: brand price analysis, 2020
    • Appendix - Milks: The majority of milks are sold in 800-900g packs
      • Table Baby milks - powder: brand price analysis, 2020
    • Appendix - Milks: The Novalac range has a presence in all segments of the milks category
      • Table Baby milks: brand price analysis, 2020
    • Appendix - Cereals: In 2020, sales reached R644.7 million (US$39.1 million), representing a value share of 12.2%
      • Table Baby cereals: category trends, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Meals: From 2014 to 2020, retail sales of baby meals increased by 62.9%
      • Table Baby meals: category trends, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Drinks: In 2020, sales fell to R17.7 million (US$1.1 million)
      • Table Baby drinks: category trends, 2014-2020
    • Appendix - Value Forecasts: The total value of the sector is expected to increase by 41% from 2020 to 2026
      • Table Baby food: market value forecasts, current prices, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Value Forecasts: From 2020 to 2026, total growth at constant 2020 prices is forecast at 11.3%
      • Table Baby food: market value forecasts, constant prices, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Value Forecasts: By 2026, the sector is forecast to be worth US$451 million
      • Table Baby food: market value forecasts, US$ million, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Volume Forecasts: From 2020 to 2026, consumption of baby food is forecast to rise by 9.5% to 40.4 million kg
      • Table Baby food: market volume forecasts, million kg, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Per Capita Forecasts: Per capita expenditure is expected to increase by 46.1% from 2020 to 2026
      • Table Baby food: per capita expenditure, current prices, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Per Capita Forecasts: In constant price terms, per capita expenditure is expected to rise by 15.3% by 2026, led by wet meals
      • Table Baby food: per capita expenditure, constant prices, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Per Capita Forecasts: By 2026, per capita expenditure is forecast to stand at US$152, up 46.1% on 2020
      • Table Baby food: per capita expenditure, US$, 2020-2026
    • Appendix - Per Capita Consumption: Intake per baby aged 0-3 stood is expected to rise to 13.6kg by 2026
      • Table Baby food: per capita consumption, grams, 2020-2026
    • Summary Methodology

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