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Global Risk Report Quarterly Update: Q3 2017

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update: Q3 2017

Summary

The fourth update version of GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) Q3 2017 ranks Singapore at the top followed by Sweden and Switzerland. 31 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 34 countries in the low risk zone, 37 countries under manageable risk, 27 countries under high risk and seven countries in the very high risk zone in GCRI Q3 2017.

Scope

  • Asia-Pacific ranks second in terms of regional risk after the Europe. India and Indonesia registered improvements in their risk profiles. Despite this, downside risk remains in the form of geopolitical tensions, tapering by central banks, sudden capital outflows, and Chinese debt. The region is the fastest growing in the world and remained the main driver of the growth in 2017.
  • While economic indicators in Europe remain strong and an expected recovery is imminent, the region is plagued by political risk and uncertainties stemming from events such as Brexit, independence referendums, and rise in nationalism. It is the lowest risk region in the world.
  • Americas is the third highest risk region according to the GCRI 2017 Q3 update, with a regional risk score of 42.61 out of 100. While risk has been reduced and economic growth revived, figures remain skewed. North America continues to perform well whereas Latin America and the Caribbean is weak. Commodity exporters are suffering economically and this has manifested itself in social unrest and political turmoil in some countries.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) was the highest risk region according to the GCRI 2017 Q3 update, with a regional risk score of 47.12 out of 100. The region continues to be plagued by social conflicts, geopolitical turmoil, and weak economic performance.
Reasons to buy
  • Global Risk Report is based on GlobalData Country Risk Index (GCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
  • The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from GlobalData Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, GlobalData analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.


  • Flashback 2017
    • Table Figure 1: Flashback 2017
  • Key Events in 2018
    • Table Figure 2: Key Events to look forward in 2018
  • Global Overview - Summary
    • Growth and lower levels of risk to pave the way for 2018
      • Table Figure 3: Global Growth and Inflation
      • Table Figure 4: Risk Movement 2017
    • Global Overview- Key Highlights
  • GCRI - Country Ranking
    • Table Figure 5: GCRI - Global Risk Heat Map
    • Table Figure 6: Overall Risk Summary - Q3 2017
  • GCRI: Global Landscape 2017
    • Table Figure 7: Global Risk - At a Glance
  • Regional Analysis
    • Asia Pacific Region
      • Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
        • Table Figure 8: Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
      • Asia Pacific Region- Risk Highlights
        • Table Figure 9: Regional GDP Growth Rates: 2017
        • Table Figure 10: Regional Risk Scores: 2017
        • Table Asia Pacific Region- Risk Highlights
      • Political Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region
        • Table Figure 11: Nations with Lowest Political Risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 12: Nations with Highest Political Risk in Asia-Pacific
      • Economic Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region
        • Table Figure 13: Nations with Lowest Economic Risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 14: Nations with Highest Economic Risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Key Economic variables - Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 15: Real GDP Growth Rate - Key Asian Nations
        • Table Figure 16: Key Regional Indices
        • Table Figure 17: China's Debt Reached 258% of GDP
      • Social Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region
        • Table Figure 18: Nations with Lowest Social Risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 19: Nations with Highest Social Risk in Asia-Pacific
      • Technology Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region
        • Table Figure 20: Nations with Lowest Technological Risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 21: Nations with Highest Technological Risk in Asia-Pacific
      • Legal Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region
        • Table Figure 22: Nations with lowest legal risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 23: Nations with highest legal risk in Asia-Pacific
      • Environment Outlook: Asia-Pacific Region
        • Table Figure 24: Nations with Lowest Environmental Risk in Asia-Pacific
        • Table Figure 25: Nations with Highest Environmental Risk in Asia-Pacific
    • Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Europe Region
      • Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
        • Table Figure 26: Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
      • Europe - Risk Highlights
        • Table Figure 27: Regional GDP Growth Rates: 2017
        • Table Figure 28: Regional Risk Scores: 2017
        • Table Europe - Risk Highlights
      • Political Outlook: Europe Region
        • Table Figure 29: Nations with Lowest Political Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 30: Nations with Highest Political Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 31: Euro Sentiments Rises Across The EU
      • Economic Outlook: Europe
        • Table Figure 32: Nations with Lowest Economic Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 33: Nations with Highest Economic Risk in Europe
        • Table Key Economic variables - Europe Region
        • Table Figure 34: Market Sentiments in Euro Area
        • Table Figure 35: Real GDP Growth Rate -Key European Nations
        • Table Figure 36: Key Regional Indices
      • Social Outlook: Europe
        • Table Figure 37: Nations with Lowest Social Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 38: Nations with Highest Social Risk in Europe
      • Technology Outlook: Europe Region
        • Table Figure 39: Nations with Lowest Technological Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 40: Nations with Highest Technological Risk in Europe
      • Legal Outlook: Europe
        • Table Figure 41: Nations with Lowest Legal Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 42: Nations with Highest Legal Risk in Europe
      • Environment Outlook: Europe Region
        • Table Figure 43: Nations with Lowest Environmental Risk in Europe
        • Table Figure 44: Nations with Highest Environmental Risk in Europe
    • Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Americas
      • Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
        • Table Figure 45: Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
      • Americas - Risk Highlights
        • Table Figure 46: Regional GDP Growth Rates: 2017
        • Table Figure 47: Regional Risk Scores: 2017
        • Table Americas - Risk Highlights
      • Political Outlook: Americas
        • Table Figure 48: Nations with Lowest Political Risk in Americas
        • Table Figure 49: Nations with Highest Political Risk in Americas
      • Economic Outlook: Americas
        • Table Figure 50: Nations with Lowest Economic Risk in Americas
        • Table Figure 51: Nations with Highest Economic Risk in Americas
        • Table Key Economic variables - Americas
        • Table Figure 52: Real GDP Growth Rate - Key American Nations
        • Table Figure 53: Key Regional Indices
      • Social Outlook: Americas
        • Table Figure 54: Nations with Lowest Social Risk in Americas
        • Table Figure 55: Nations with Highest Social Risk in Americas
      • Technological Outlook: Americas
        • Table Figure 56: Nations with Lowest Technological Risk in Americas
        • Table Figure 57: Nations with Highest Technological Risk in Americas
      • Legal Outlook: Americas
        • Table Figure 58: Nations with Lowest Legal Risk in Americas
        • Table Figure 59: Nations with Highest Legal Risk in Americas
      • Environment Outlook: Americas
        • Table Figure 60: Nations with Lowest Environmental Risk in Americas
        • Table Figure 61: Nations with Highest Environmental Risk in Americas
    • Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Middle East and Africa
      • Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
        • Table Figure 62: Regional Risks in Terms of Likelihood
      • Middle East and Africa - Key Highlights
        • Table Figure 63: Regional GDP Growth Rates: 2017
        • Table Figure 64: Regional Risk Scores: 2017
        • Table Middle East and Africa - Key Highlights
      • Political Outlook: Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 65: Nations with Lowest Political Risk in MEA
        • Table Figure 66: Nations with Highest Political Risk in MEA
      • Economic Outlook: Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 67: Nations with Lowest Economic Risk in MEA
        • Table Figure 68: Nations with Highest Economic Risk in MEA
        • Table Key Economic variables
        • Table Figure 69: Real Gdp Growth Rate - Key Nations in MEA
      • Social Outlook: Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 70: Nations with Lowest Social Risk in MEA
        • Table Figure 71: Nations with Highest Social Risk in MEA
      • Technological Outlook: Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 72: Nations with Lowest Technological Risk in MEA
        • Table Figure 73: Nations with Highest Technological Risk in MEA
      • Legal Outlook: Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 74: Nations with Lowest Legal Risk in MEA
        • Table Figure 75: Nations with Highest Legal Risk in MEA
      • Environment Outlook: Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 76: Nations with Lowest Environmental Risk in MEA
        • Table Figure 77: Nations with Highest Environmental Risk in MEA
    • Countries with Improved Ranks in Q3 2017
    • Countries with Deteriorated Ranks in Q3 2017
  • Methodology and Appendix
    • Country Ranking and Scores
      • Europe
        • Table Figure 78: Country Ranking and Scores, Europe
      • Americas
        • Table Figure 79: Country Ranking and Scores, Americas
      • Asia Pacific
        • Table Figure 80: Country Ranking and Scores, Asia Pacific
      • Middle East and Africa
        • Table Figure 81: Country Ranking and Scores, Middle East and Africa
    • GCRI - Methodology and Sources
      • Snapshot of Methodology:
        • Table Figure 82: Broad Categories and Weights Behind the Index
      • Secondary sources
        • Table GCRI - Methodology and Sources
    • Contact Us
    • Disclaimer

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