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France Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2017 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

France Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2017 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Summary

France has a developed market-based economy, in which both the private and public sectors have a strong role. Power generation, public transport, and defense are dominated by government-owned companies, while some sectors, such as aviation and telecom, are led by private players. The country derives a major share of its income from tourism, and ranks third, worldwide, in terms of revenue from tourism. Although it has a capitalist economy, the government tries to maintain social parity through laws, tax policies, and social spending aimed at reducing income inequality and the side effects of a free-market economy.

France’s power sector outlook remains stable, with no drastic structural change set to emerge in the future. The current discernible trend suggests gradual growth in the share of renewable power and a corresponding decline in the share of nuclear power. The power mix is dominated by nuclear power, of which the installed capacity in 2016 accounted for 48.1% of cumulative capacity. Hydropower accounted for a 19.4% share; followed by thermal power, comprising gas and oil, with 16.6%; and non-hydro renewable power, comprising wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), biopower, and geothermal, with 15.8%. Onshore wind accounted for 8.9% of installed capacity in 2016.

Renewables are the fastest-growing energy source in France, accounting for 0.5% of the power mix in 2000 and rising to 15.8% in 2016, at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 24.8%. GlobalData expects the growth rate to be considerably slower between 2016 and 2030, at 9.3%. Nevertheless, the share is expected to increase to slightly more than 40% during this period. Correspondingly, the share of nuclear power is expected to fall to 35.3%, supported by the government’s current emphasis on reducing its share, alongside that of thermal power, which will also decline drastically in the future. Thermal capacity, which amounted to 22.6 gigawatts (GW) in 2015, declined to 21.8 GW in 2016.

France has well-developed wind, solar, and biomass markets, in comparison with other European countries, and substantial investment in renewable technology is expected to characterize the power sector due to the government’s intention to increase its renewable installed capacity. On the other hand, policy uncertainty has led to slow growth, which was not aided by the presence of a strong pro-nuclear lobby. The promulgation of the Energy Transition for Green Growth Act, in August 2015, and the confirmation by the new French environment minister in May 2017 that the policy will be adhered to, is expected to further promote the growth of renewable energy sources in France in the forecast period.

The report France Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2017 - Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape France's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030.

In particular, this report provides the following -

  • Provides a snapshot of the key parameters that affect the power sector, as well as key points about the power market..
  • Provides analysis of the power market.
  • Details the regulatory control of the power market and the inward foreign investment scenario.
  • Provides information on cumulative installed capacity and annual generation trends, by individual generation source.
  • Describes the power transmission and distribution (T&D) infrastructure and provides information on interconnectors with neighboring countries.
Companies mentioned in this report: Electricite de France S.A., Compagnie Nationale du Rhone SA, E.ON SE.

Scope
  • Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters - macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.
  • Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2016, forecast for the next 14 years to 2030.
  • Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear
  • Data on leading current and upcoming projects.
  • Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports.
  • Policy and regulatory framework governing the market.
  • Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.
Reasons to buy
  • Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
  • Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
  • Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
  • Identify key partners and business development avenues
  • Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
  • Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.


1 Table of Contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 4
1.2 List of Figures 5
2 Executive Summary 6
2.1 France, Power Sector Outlook 6
3 Introduction 9
3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 10
4 France, Power Market, Snapshot 11
4.1 Macroeconomic Factors 11
4.2 Supply Security 12
4.3 Opportunities 13
4.4 Challenges 13
5 France, Power Market, Market Analysis 14
5.1 France, Power Market, Market Structure 14
5.2 France, Power Market, Key Market Players 14
5.3 France, Power Market, Financial Deals 15
5.3.1 Deal Value and Volume Analysis, 2004-May 2017 15
5.3.2 Deals by Type, 2016 17
5.4 France, Power Market, Demand Structure 18
5.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2016 20
6 France, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 21
6.1 France, Power Market, Regulatory Framework 21
6.2 France, Power Market, Nuclear Energy Development 21
6.3 France, Power Market, Renewable Energy Policies 22
6.3.1 Energy Transition Act 22
6.3.2 Feed-in Tariff and Feed-in Premium 22
6.3.3 Calls for Tenders 25
6.3.4 Tenders for 100-250 kW systems 25
6.3.5 Tenders for systems over 250 kW 25
6.3.6 Tenders for PV plants with storage 25
7 France Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 27
7.1 France, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000-2030 27
7.1.1 Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2016 27
7.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000-2030 28
7.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000-2030 30
7.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000-2030 33
7.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Generation, 2000-2030 36
7.2.4 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000-2030 39
8 France, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 43
8.1 France, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview 43
8.2 France, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview 43
8.3 France, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 44
8.3.1 Upcoming Interconnections 45
8.4 France, Power Import and Export Scenario 45
8.5 France, Power Market, Electricity Trading 47
9 France, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Companies 48
9.1 Key Company in France Power Market: Electricite de France S.A. 48
9.1.1 Company Overview 48
9.1.2 Business Description 48
9.1.3 SWOT Overview 49
9.2 Key Company in the France Power Market: Compagnie Nationale du Rhone SA 51
9.2.1 Company Overview 51
9.3 Key Company in France Power Market: E.ON SE 51
9.3.1 Company Overview 51
9.3.2 Business Description 52
9.3.3 SWOT Overview 52
10 Appendix 55
10.1 Market Definitions 55
10.1.1 Power 55
10.1.2 Installed Capacity 55
10.1.3 Electricity Generation 55
10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 55
10.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 55
10.1.6 Hydropower Plant 55
10.1.7 Nuclear Power 55
10.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 55
10.2 Abbreviations 56
10.3 Bibliography 57
10.4 Methodology 57
10.5 Coverage 57
10.5.1 Secondary Research 57
10.5.2 Primary Research 58
10.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 58
10.6 Contact Us 59
10.7 Disclaimer 59
1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Power Market, France, Gross Domestic Product (EUR and $tn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2022 12
Table 2: Power Market, France, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2016 14
Table 3: Power Market, France, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-May 2017 16
Table 4: Power Market, France, Deals by Type (%), 2016 17
Table 5: Power Market, France, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 19
Table 6: Power Market, France, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2016 20
Table 7: Power Market, France, Renewable Energy, Feed-in Tariffs (€/kWh), 2017 24
Table 8: Power Market, France, Renewable Energy, Tenders for PV systems 2016-2019 26
Table 9: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2016 27
Table 10: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 29
Table 11: Power Market, France, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2017 30
Table 12: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 32
Table 13: Power Market, France, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2017 33
Table 14: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 35
Table 15: Power Market, France, Active Nuclear Power Reactors, 2017 36
Table 16: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 38
Table 17: Power Market, France, Leading Non-hydro Renewable Power Plants (MW), 2017 40
Table 18: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 42
Table 19: Power Market, France, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2006-2025 43
Table 20: Power Market, France, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2006-2025 44
Table 21: Power Market, France, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2016 46
Table 22: Power Market, France, Electricite de France S.A., SWOT Profile, 2017 49
Table 23: Power Market, France, E.ON SE, SWOT Profile, 2017 52
Table 24: Abbreviations 56
1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2016 6
Figure 2: Power Market, France, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000-2016 8
Figure 3: Power Market, France, Gross Domestic Product ($tn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2022 11
Figure 4: Power Market, France, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2016 14
Figure 5: Power Market, France, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2004-May 2017 15
Figure 6: Power Market, France, Deals by Type (%), 2016 17
Figure 7: Power Market, France, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000-2030 18
Figure 8: Power Market, France, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2016 20
Figure 9: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2016 27
Figure 10: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 28
Figure 11: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 31
Figure 12: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 34
Figure 13: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (MW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (GWh), 2000-2030 37
Figure 14: Power Market, France, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000-2030 41
Figure 15: Power Market, France, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000-2016 46

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