EpiCast Report: Venous Thromboembolism - Epidemiology Forecast to 2026
Venous thromboembolism (VTE), which is composed of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), is a blood clot (thrombosis) of the circulatory system that leads to impeded blood flow, which can have serious consequences in the affected individual (Heit, 2015). In VTE, a DVT is a clot that occurs only in the veins; generally, they occur in the deep veins of the legs and pelvis, but may also occur in the veins of the upper body (AHA, 2017; Cohen et al., 2007; Heit, 2015). The clot may break off from its original location and travel throughout the circulatory system, and if the clot ends up in the lung, it is known as a PE (AHA, 2017).
Our epidemiologists forecast an increase in the diagnosed incident cases of VTE in the 7MM, from 896,377 cases in 2016 to 1,071,438 in 2026, at an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 1.95%.The number of VTE attacks is forecast to grow from 1,020,991 in 2016 to 1,224,696 in 2026 in the 7MM.
Our epidemiologists also forecast the number of medically ill patients at risk for VTE to increase in the 7MM from 23,021,689 in 2016 to 26,349,713 in 2026. In addition, epidemiologists forecast the number of total knee replacement and revision procedures to grow from 1,464,513 in 2016 to 1,743,614 in 2026. Furthermore, the number of hip replacements is forecast to grow 1,096,580 in 2016 to 1,313,439 in 2026. GlobalData epidemiologists have identified the predominant drivers of this market to be changes in country-specific incidence and procedure rates, as well as in the underlying demographic trends.
In 2016, the 7MM had 276,732 diagnosed incident cases of PE. This is expected to increase to 327,416 diagnosed incident cases of PE by 2026, at an Annual Growth Rate (AGR) of 1.83%. The US had 98,271 diagnosed incident cases of PE in 2016, which is expected to grow at an AGR of 2.55% to 123,299 cases in 2026. The 5EU had 169,711 cases in 2016 and is expected to grow to 194,881 cases by 2026. Of the 7MM, Spain is expected to have the largest AGR at 3.47%, with the number of diagnosed incident cases of PE increasing from 20,998 in 2016 to 28,283 cases by 2026.
Japan is expected to see the smallest increase in the number of cases, with an AGR of 0.56% from 2016-2026. In Spain, the change in diagnosed incidence of PE is driven by applying trending in the diagnosed PE incidence. In all other markets, the rates were held constant, and growth is a result of underlying demographic changes.
The report EpiCast Report: Venous Thromboembolism - Epidemiology Forecast to 2026 provides an overview of the risk factors, comorbidities, and the global and historical trends for VTE in the seven major markets (7MM: US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan). It includes a 10-year epidemiological forecast for the diagnosed incident cases of PE, DVT, and VTE, as well as the number of VTE attacks, the number of medically ill discharges that are at risk for VTE, the number of primary total knee replacements and revisions, and the number of hip replacements, each of which are segmented by sex and age. Additionally, it includes a forecast for the number of recurrent VTE cases at one and 10 years after the incident event, and the number of diagnosed VTE cases with cancer as comorbidity.
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