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Strategic Analysis of the Chinese Powertrain Market

Strategic Analysis of the Chinese Powertrain Market

Executive Summary—Key Findings

Electric powertrain will be the new trend with a strong focus from the Chinese Government.

Total Powertrain Market: Key Findings, China, 2013–2020

China manufactures three types of powertrains—gasoline, diesel, and electric, both Electric Vehicles and Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV). The year 2013 was a record year for the Chinese powertrain market, as 􂀀million units of gasoline passenger vehicles were produced which is a global record. Gasoline powertrain is expected to lead the market till 2020, with approximately 􂀀 million units.

Stable economic growth, rising incomes, recognition of individual esteem, infrastructure development and enhancement, an advanced automotive supply chain, competitive automotive promotional campaigns, new market segments, and Chinese Government plans and subsidies are expected to lead to significant growth of the powertrain market in China.

The C-compact vehicle segment dominates gasoline, diesel, and electric powertrains. This trend will continue till 2020. However, Sport Utility Vehicle (SUV) and Multi-purpose Vehicle (MPV) segments in gasoline, diesel, and electric powertrains are also growing and are likely to continue on the high growth trajectory till 2020.

In terms of transmission, Manual Transmission (MT) accounted for 􂀀% of market. However, the dominance of MT and Automatic Transmission (AT) will decrease by 2020, with the growth of Dual Clutch Transmission (DCT), Continuous Variable Transmission (CVT), and Electric Transmission (ET). Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) are expected to further penetrate into DCT.

Both central and regional governments in China are promoting a new-energy vehicle development concept which aims to limit passenger vehicle ownership in the country and restrict exhaust emissions.

About this report

This research service provides a detailed strategic analysis of the Chinese powertrain market during 2013–2020. It includes an executive summary, research scope, objectives, methodology and background, definitions and segmentation, market overview, Mega Trends and industry convergence implications, total market analysis, external challenges—drivers and restraints, forecasts and trends, powertrain technologies—total market, market share and competitive analysis, gasoline segment breakdown, diesel segment breakdown, hybrid and EV segment breakdown, powertrain market—transmission, OEM profiles, conclusions and future outlook, and an appendix section.


  • Executive Summary
    • Executive Summary—Key Findings
    • Executive Summary—Market Engineering Measurements
    • Executive Summary—Top Level Strategic Fact Sheet, Market Snapshot
    • Executive Summary—Top Level Strategic Fact Sheet/Market Snapshot
    • Executive Summary—Total Unit Production Forecast by Powertrain Mix and OEM
    • Executive Summary—Total Market Unit Production by Vehicle Segment and OEM
    • Executive Summary—Unit Production Forecasts by Transmission Type and OEM
    • Voice of the Public Sector on the Hybrids and EV Segment
    • Voice of the Industry on the Hybrids and EV Segment
    • Executive Summary—OEM Adoption of Gasoline Technologies
    • Executive Summary—Top 10 Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
    • Research Scope
      • Table Powertrain Market: Passenger Vehicle Production Unit Shipments, China, 2013–2020
    • Research Aims and Objectives
    • Key Questions this Study will Answer
    • Research Background
    • Research Methodology
    • Key OEM/Participant Groups Compared in this Study
  • Definitions and Segmentation
    • Product/Technology Segmentation
    • Product/Technology Definitions
    • Vehicle Segmentation
  • Market Overview
    • Key Facts about the Chinese Powertrain Market
    • Legislation and Macro Trends
    • Development of Chinese New-energy Vehicle Concept
    • Entrance of and Collaboration with Automakers from the West
    • The Advantages of Chinese Automotive Manufacturing Production
    • Threats in the Chinese Automotive Manufacturing Industry
    • The Changing Industry and Manufacturing Value Added of Nations
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Industry Value Added, Global, 2010–2013
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Manufacturing Value Added, Global, 2010–2013
    • Automotive Market Attractiveness Across Nations
  • Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
    • Impact of Top Mega Trends on the Powertrain Market
  • External Challenges: Drivers and Restraints—Total Powertrain Market
    • Market Drivers
    • Market Drivers Explained
    • Market Restraints
    • Market Restraints Explained
  • Emission and Fuel-efficiency Standards
    • Global Emissions Standards for Gasoline LDVs
    • Timeline for Global Emissions Standards Implementation for Gasoline Light Duty Vehicle (LDV)
    • Global Emissions Standards Implementation for Diesel LDVs
    • Standardized Comparison of International Fuel Economy and GHG Standards
    • Global Comparison of Fuel Economy and GHG Standards for PVs
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Global Comparison of Fuel Economy, Global, 2013
    • Regulatory Framework—US
    • Emission Regulations Roadmap—USA
    • Emission Regulations Roadmap—EU
    • Euro Emission Standards—Gasoline Engines
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Comparative Analysis of the Euro Emission Limits—Gasoline Engines, Europe, 2013
    • Euro Emission Standards—Diesel Engines
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Comparative Analysis of Euro Emission Limits—Diesel Engines, Europe, 2013
    • Emission Regulations Roadmap—China
    • Emission Standards—China
    • Emission Regulations Roadmap—India
    • Emission Regulations Roadmap—Brazil and Argentina
    • Emission Regulations Roadmap—Japan
      • Table New Short Term Emission Standards
      • Table New Long Term Emission Standards
  • Forecasts and Trends—Total Powertrain Market
    • Market Engineering Measurements
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Market Engineering Measurements, China, 2013
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Production Forecast by Powertrain Mix
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment Forecast by Powertrain Mix
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment Forecast by Vehicle Segment and OEM
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment Forecast by PV Segment
    • Executive Summary—Total Unit Production Forecast by Powertrain Mix and OEM
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Production Forecast by Gasoline Powertrain
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Production Forecast by Diesel Powertrain
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Production Forecast by Electric Powertrain
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment Forecast by Gasoline Powertrain
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment Forecast by Diesel Powertrain
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Unit Shipment Forecast by Electric Powertrain
    • Unit Production Forecast by Powertrain Mix
      • Table Total Powertrain Market: Unit Production Forecast Powertrain Mix, China, 2013–2020
  • Powertrain Technologies—Total Powertrain Market
    • Roadmap of Key Powertrain Technologies
    • Boosting Technologies—Unit Production Scenario Analysis
    • Boosting Technologies—Engine Boost Unit Production Forecast by OEMs
    • Boosting Technologies—Discussion
    • Boosting Technologies—Technologies Ratio and Unit Production
    • Boosting Technologies—Technologies Penetration Rate by Fuel Types
    • Hybrids and EV Market—Unit Shipment Forecast Scenario Breakdown
  • Market Share and Competitive Analysis—Total Powertrain Market
    • Competitive Environment
    • Competitive Analysis—OEM Market Share—Vehicle Production
    • Competitive Analysis—OEM Market Share—Sales
    • Competitive Analysis—Engine Boost Technologies
    • OEM Comparative Analysis
    • Comparative Positioning of Passenger Vehicle Booster Market
  • Gasoline Segment Breakdown
    • OEM Powertrain Packages—Compliance for Passenger Vehicles
    • Gasoline Segment—Unit Production Scenario Analysis
      • Table Gasoline Segment: Unit Production Scenario Analysis, China, 2013–2020
    • Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2020
    • Gasoline Segment—Unit Production Forecast by Vehicle Segment
    • Gasoline Segment—Unit Production Forecast by OEM
    • Gasoline Segment Competitive Analysis—OEM Market Share
  • Diesel Segment Breakdown
    • OEM Powertrain Packages—Compliance for Passenger Vehicles
    • Diesel Segment—Unit Production Scenario Analysis
      • Table Diesel Segment: Unit Production Scenario Analysis, China, 2013–2020
    • Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2020
    • Diesel Segment—Unit Production Forecast by Vehicle Segment
    • Diesel Segment—Unit Production Forecast by OEM
    • Diesel Segment Competitive Analysis—OEM Market Share
  • Hybrids and EV Segment Breakdown
    • Hybrids and EV Segment—Unit Production Scenario Analysis
      • Table Hybrid and EV Segment: Unit Production Scenario Analysis for Hybrids and EV Segment, China, 2013–2020
    • Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2020
    • Hybrids and EV Segment Competitive Analysis—Sales Scenario Breakdown
    • Hybrids and EV Segment—Unit Production Forecast by Vehicle Segment
    • Hybrids and EV Segment—Unit Production Forecast by OEMs
    • Hybrids and EV Segment Competitive Analysis—OEM Market Share
    • EV Purchase Incentives—China
    • Chinese Government Penetration in Electric Vehicle Market
    • Progress and Update of New Energy Vehicle Program
    • The Impact of New Energy Vehicle Development Program
  • Powertrain Market—Transmission
    • Powertrain Market—Unit Production Forecast by Transmission Type
    • Powertrain Market—Transmission Unit Production Forecasts by OEM
    • Powertrain Market—Percent of Sales by Transmission Type
    • Chinese Powertrain Market—Transmission Type Discussion
  • OEM Profiles
    • Volkswagen Group
    • Hyundai Group
    • General Motors Group
    • Renault-Nissan Group
    • Toyota Group
  • Conclusions and Future Outlook
    • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
    • The Last Word—Three Big Predictions
  • Appendix
    • Table of Abbreviations
    • Market Engineering Methodology

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