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2015 Outlook of the Global Automotive Aftermarket

2015 Outlook of the Global Automotive Aftermarket

This automotive aftermarket includes independent parts and service suppliers (IAM) as well as automakers’ dealership networks (OES).

Vehicle scope includes passenger cars and light trucks only, unless otherwise noted.

Geographic scope includes North America, Latin America, Europe, and Asia.

Revenue includes parts only and excludes service, unless otherwise noted.

Revenue is measured at the manufacturer level and expressed in US dollars, unless otherwise noted.

About this report

Global vehicles in operation will increase sharply over the 2015–2020 period, driving new opportunities for light vehicle parts and service providers. This research compiles findings from various deliverables published over the past two years. It covers growth prospects for the global automotive aftermarket in North America, Europe, China, India, and Latin America. The research includes vehicles in operation analysis, revenue forecasts, and top parts and service providers by region. It also includes an analysis of Mega Trends impacting the global automotive aftermarket, with a specific focus on electronic parts retailing. Conclusions and future outlook are presented for each region.


  • Executive Summary
    • Executive Summary-Key Highlights of 2014
    • Top 6 Predictions of 2015
  • Research Scope and Definitions
    • Definitions
    • Research Aims and Objectives
    • Key Questions This Study Will Answer
    • Research Background
    • Research Methodology
    • Key OEM/Participant Groups Compared in This Study
    • Vehicle Classification
  • Global Aftermarket Overview
    • Global Light Vehicles in Operation
    • Market Size Potential
      • Table Total Automotive Aftermarket: Manufacturer-level Replacement Parts Revenue by Category, Global, 2014-2020
    • Global Hot Spots
    • Distribution Channel Analysis by Region
      • Table Total Automotive Aftermarket: Percent of Revenue by Distribution Channel, Global, 2015
  • Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
    • Global Overall Online Retail Sales Outlook
    • Shifting from Service Model to Solutions Model
    • Top Transformational Shifts Expected to Shape the Future of Retailing
    • Future of Parts and Service Retailing: Connected Store Realized
    • OBD II Subscriber Base Forecast
  • North American Automotive Aftermarket
    • United States-Vehicles in Operation Forecast by Model Year
    • United States-Vehicles in Operation by Brand
    • North America-Average Vehicle Age
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Average Vehicle Age, North America, 2010-2020
    • North America-Compound Annual Growth Rates by Category
    • United States-Forecast for Service Centers by Type
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Service Centers by Type, US, 2011-2021
    • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • European Automotive Aftermarket
    • Europe-Vehicles in Operation Forecast
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Vehicle in Operation (VIO) Forecast by Country, Europe*, 2010-2020
    • Europe-Vehicles in Operation by Brand
    • Europe-Revenue Forecast by Top Categories
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Manufacturer-level Replacement Parts Revenue by Category, Europe, 2014-2020
    • Europe-Percent of Revenue by Distribution Channel and Country
    • Europe-Online Parts vs. Total Aftermarket Parts Revenue
    • European TPMS Aftermarket-Revenue Forecast
      • Table TPMS Aftermarket: Revenue Forecast, Europe, 2010-2020
    • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • Chinese Automotive Aftermarket
    • China-Vehicle in Operation (VIO) by Type
    • China-Vehicle in Operation (VIO) by Brand
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Percent Share of VIO by Brand, China, 2013-2021
    • China-Vehicle in Operation (VIO) by Age
    • China-Manufacturer-level Market Size
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Manufacturer-level Replacement Parts Revenue by Category, China, 2015 and 2021
    • China-Main Service Channels
    • China-Conclusions
  • Latin American Automotive Aftermarket
    • Latin America-Vehicle in Operation Forecast by Country
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Vehicle in Operation Forecast by Country, Latin America, 2010-2020
    • Latin America-Drivers and Restraints
    • Latin America-Revenue Forecast by Top Categories
      • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Manufacturer-level Replacement Parts Revenue by Category, Latin America, 2014-2020
    • Latin America-Percent of Revenue by Country
    • Mexico-Tires Aftermarket
      • Table Tire Aftermarket: Revenue and Unit Forecast, Mexico, 2008-2019
    • Latin America-Distribution Structure
    • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • Rest of World
    • India, Turkey and GCC
      • India-Manufacturer-level Replacement Parts Revenue
        • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Manufacturer-level Replacement Part Revenue by Category, India, 2014-2021
      • India-Market Share by Channel and Repair Service Providers
      • Turkey-Vehicles in Operation by Type
        • Table Automotive Aftermarket: Vehicles in Operation by Type, Turkey, 2011-2021
      • Turkey-Top Suppliers
      • Gulf Cooperation Council-Total Market Revenue Snapshot
      • Gulf Cooperation Council-Auto Parts Imports
      • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
  • Conclusions and Future Outlook
    • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
    • The Last Word-Three Big Predictions
  • Appendix
    • Table of Acronyms Used
    • Planned 2015 Research
    • Market Engineering Methodology

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