OEM Powertrain Strategies for CAFÉ Compliance in North America Towards 2020
Downsizing will pioneer the development of many related systems, including direct injections and advanced combustion strategies. Clean diesel technologies and electrified powertrains will see comparable growth levels.
Total Powertrain Market: Key Takeaways, North America, 2013–2020
For passenger cars, the stringency of fuel economy targets is expected to grow at the rate of % for model years (MYs) 2017–2021 and at % through MYs 2022–2025. For light trucks, the stringency is set to grow at a lower pace, %, for MYs 2017–2021 and will grow at % every year for MYs 2022–2025.
For almost all of the original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), engines up to L (liters) will grow faster than the larger engines. While downsizing could be the first priority for many, some will equally focus on improved combustion strategies, high-pressure injection systems, and energy-efficient turbochargers.
Clean diesel technologies pioneered by European OEMs are likely to gain increased popularity and may grab some market share from expensive electrics in the medium term.
Transmission technologies will have higher role of improving drivability and fuel economy and, consequently, will pave the way to automatics, continuously variable transmissions (CVTs), and dual-clutch transmissions (DCTs) with higher speed ratios.
About this report
This research service discusses the key powertrain technologies that original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will develop and employ towards 2020. It discusses the regulatory environment and the progressive stringency of standards for fuel efficiency that are driving these trends. Furthermore, it shows multiple scenarios of regulatory compliance, and the role of each powertrain technology in taking the fleet fuel-economy numbers forward to meet targets in 2020. The powertrain technologies that are used as part of future OEM strategies are analyzed and the OEMs' growth roadmaps have been plotted. The study also provides forecasts for multiple segments, fuel types, and different technologies.
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