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Growth Opportunities in Chinese Commercial Truck Market, Forecast to 2025

Growth Opportunities in Chinese Commercial Truck Market, Forecast to 2025

China owns the largest automotive market globally. The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to experience a positive growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.1% during 2016–2025. This is a mature market which is highly concentrated and led by Foton, Dongfeng, JAC, FAW, and CNHTC in China, with a joint market share of 53.7% across light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty truck segments in 2016.

Digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving, connected service, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, and new energy powertrain are the key growth opportunities that will drive demand for trucks during the long term. These new business areas are expected to improve logistics service and fleets’ driving experience in China.

The Chinese commercial truck market is expected to shift to a digitalized platform and modernized logistics performance, achieving seamless connectivity between upstream and downstream of supply chain integration, as well as the communication among commercial truck related enterprises, logistics firms, truck fleets, and truck drivers in China.

Diesel powertrain is expected to continue its dominance in the Chinese commercial truck market during the long term. Nevertheless, emission standard restriction, purchase incentive offered by both central and regional governments, as well as new launch of truck models are motivating the market adoption of new energy powertrain solution during the long term.

Light-duty truck will continue to enhance its largest market share among truck segment, accounting for 62.6% of new truck sales in 2025. Cold chain is targeted to be one of the fastest growing logistics businesses especially in the light-duty segment in China; key involvements are fresh food and take-away catering.

Research Scope
The aim of this study is to research, analyze, and forecast emerging commercial truck platform strategies in the light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial truck market. The study presents a strategic growth opportunity insight into the Chinese commercial truck market and its impact on the growing trends up to 2025.

Research Objectives
• To provide a strategic perspective of the commercial truck market in China, including key macro-economic factors, market drivers and restraints
• To provide market size and sales potential of light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty commercial trucks up to 2025
• To provide competitive analysis on OEMs' market share movement based on several years
• To provide strategic growth opportunity analysis on current scenarios and future outlook
• To present an actionable set of recommendations for stakeholders to grow in the commercial truck market in China

Key Questions this Study will Answer
• What is the business environment of the commercial truck market that is impacted by the government’s plans in China?
• What are the growth opportunities strategies of key Chinese OEMs in developing commercial truck market in China?
• What are the current scenario and future outlook of digital freight brokerage activities in China?
• What are the key freight demands among different commercial truck segments including light-duty, medium-duty, and heavy-duty in China?
• What is the key commercial truck market transformation outlook of adopting global logistics trends attaching with the fulfillment of Chinese government’s plans?

The research discusses market overview, Mega Trends, and industry convergence implications, logistics market in China, digital freight brokerage, autonomous driving technology, connected truck, digital transformation, rise of Chinese trucks, new energy powertrain, market drivers and restraints, forecasts and trends, market share, and competitive analysis and growth opportunities. The study closes with conclusions and future outlook.


  • Executive Summary
    • Executive Summary—Key Findings of Commercial Truck Market
    • Executive Summary—Market Engineering Measurements
    • Executive Summary—Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap
    • Executive Summary—Infrastructure Overview
    • Executive Summary—Emission Standard of China IV and China V
    • Executive Summary—Key Growth Opportunities in Chinese Truck Market
    • Executive Summary—Impact of China Railway Express 2016
    • Executive Summary—Impact of One Belt One Road
    • Executive Summary—Chinese Truck Market Structure by OEM-Level
    • Executive Summary—Key Commercial Truck OEMs Snapshot
    • Executive Summary—Key Findings and Future Outlook
  • Research Scope, Objectives, Background, and Methodology
    • Research Scope
      • Table Commercial Truck Market: Unit Shipment Forecast, China, 2011–2025
    • Research Aims and Objectives
    • Key Questions this Study will Answer
    • Research Background
    • Research Methodology
  • Definitions and Segmentation
    • Commercial Vehicle Segmentation
    • Commercial Truck Definitions
  • Market Overview
    • Market Overview—Distribution of Commercial Truck Market
    • Market Overview—Commercial Truck Market Development Roadmap
    • Market Overview 2016—Global Commercial Vehicle Production
    • Market Overview 2016—Global Commercial Vehicle Sales
    • Market Overview 2016—Powertrain Adoption
    • Market Overview 2016—Tonnage Capacity Adoption
    • Market Overview 2016—Truck Type Classification
    • Market Overview 2016—Most Popular Trucks in China
  • Mega Trends and Industry Convergence Implications
    • Impact of Top Mega Trends on Commercial Truck Market in China
  • Logistics Market in China
    • Logistics Market—Key Industries Collaboration Overview
    • Logistics Market—Key Logistics Development Trends
    • Logistics Market—Road Sector
    • Logistics Market—Railway Sector
    • Logistics Market—Waterway Sector
    • Logistics Market—Airway Sector
    • Logistics Market—Express Industry in China
    • Logistics Market—eCommerce Business in China
    • Logistics Market—Free Trade Zones in China
  • Digital Freight Brokerage
    • Digital Freight Brokerage—Digitization Development
    • Digital Freight Brokerage—Main Business Models in China
    • Digital Freight Brokerage—Main Business Models Overview in China
    • Digital Freight Brokerage—Key Market Trends in China
  • Autonomous Driving Technology
    • Autonomous Driving—Automation Levels
    • Autonomous Driving—Features and Technologies of Automation Levels
    • Autonomous Driving—Development Roadmap in China
    • Autonomous Driving—Current Development in China
    • Autonomous Driving—Key Market Trends in China
  • Connected Truck
    • Connected Truck—Key Regulation and Installation Snapshot in China
    • Connected Truck—Key Features Mandated by Chinese Government
    • Connected Truck—Main Business Models in China
    • Connected Truck—Business-to-Business (B2B) Value Chain Overview
    • Connected Truck—Key Market Trends in China
  • Digital Transformation
    • Digital Transformation—Digital Ecosystem Framework
    • Digital Transformation—Key Internet of Things Collaboration
    • Digital Transformation—Key Market Trends in China
    • Digital Transformation Case Study—New Trucks Sales Go Online
  • Rise of Chinese Trucks
    • Chinese Trucks—China's Free Trade Agreement (FTA) Network
    • Chinese Trucks—Impact of China Railway Express 2016
    • Chinese Trucks—Impact of One Belt One Road
    • Chinese Trucks—Key Advantages of Chinese Trucks Export Market
    • Chinese Trucks—Export Segment Overview
  • New Energy Powertrain
    • New Energy Powertrain—Trucks Portfolio from Key OEMs
    • New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Central Government
    • New Energy Powertrain—Purchase Incentive by Regional Government
    • New Energy Powertrain—Key Influencing Trends
    • New Energy Powertrain—Powertrain Adoption Forecast
  • Drivers and Restraints—Commercial Truck Market
    • Market Drivers
    • Drivers Explained
    • Market Restraints
    • Restraints Explained
  • Forecasts and Trends—Commercial Truck Market
    • Forecasts and Trends—Market Engineering Measurements
      • Table Commercial Truck Market: Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis, China, 2016–2025
    • Forecasts and Trends—Unit Shipment Scenario Analysis
      • Table Commercial Truck Market: Unit Shipment Forecast by Segments, China, 2016–2025
    • Forecasts and Trends—Unit Shipment Forecast by Segments
    • Forecasts and Trends—Forecast Scenario Assumptions to 2025
  • Market Share and Competitive Analysis— Commercial Truck Market
    • Competitive Analysis—Competitive Environment
    • Competitive Analysis—Market Share Analysis by Top 5 OEMs
    • Competitive Analysis—Heavy-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs
    • Competitive Analysis—Medium-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs
    • Competitive Analysis—Light-Duty Truck Market Breakdown by OEMs
  • Growth Opportunities and Companies to Action
    • Growth Opportunity—Commercial Truck Market in China
    • Growth Opportunities—Key Highlights of Commercial Truck Market
    • Strategic Imperatives for Success and Growth
  • Truck Segment Analysis
    • Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways
    • Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Heavy-Duty Trucks
    • Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Medium-Duty Trucks
    • Truck Segment Analysis—Key Takeaways of Light-Duty Trucks
    • Truck Segment Analysis—Price Positioning of Commercial Trucks
    • Truck Segment Analysis—Future Outlook
  • Conclusions and Future Outlook
    • Key Conclusions and Future Outlook
    • The Last Word—3 Big Predictions
  • Appendix
    • Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
    • Learn More—Next Steps
    • Market Engineering Methodology

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