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2016 Global Outlook for the Air Transport Industry

2016 Global Outlook for the Air Transport Industry

Continued record commercial aircraft production will be slowed slightly by model changes. New, clean sheet of paper models will be unlikely, but major upgrades of existing models will be more prevalent than ever before. However, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) will have missteps during this process. Second and third tier suppliers will be most affected by the model changes. They will be hard pressed to meet OEMs’ production schedules as they change. Because aircraft components are a just-in-time business, it may force suppliers into shelf stocking. The real opportunities are in the Asia-Pacific countries. New aircraft programs are under development there and, in the short term, may be good programs for existing suppliers. Eventually, those opportunities may evaporate as OEMs turn to local suppliers.


  • Executive Summary
    • Top Predictions for 2016
    • 2015 versus 2016 Predictions
    • Top Trends for 2016
    • Industry Conditions to Watch
    • Key Findings
    • Unit Outlook
  • Research Scope and Segmentation
    • Research Scope
    • Market Segmentation
  • Key Global Aircraft Production and Delivery Trends
    • Unit Outlook—Regional Aircraft
    • Unit Outlook—Narrowbody Aircraft
    • Unit Outlook—Widebody Aircraft
    • Total Aircraft Production
      • Table Total Air Transport Market: Units Production Forecast, Global: 2008–2025
    • Boeing Delivery Outlook
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery Forecast—Boeing, Global, 2013–2025
    • Boeing Production Outlook
    • Airbus Delivery Outlook
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery Forecast—Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
    • Airbus Production Outlook
    • Boeing-Airbus—Production Share of Widebody Aircraft
      • Table Air Transport Market: Widebody Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
    • Boeing-Airbus—Production Share of Narrowbody Aircraft
      • Table Air Transport Market: New Narrowbody Production Share—Boeing and Airbus, Global, 2013–2025
    • Four-year Production Cycles by Aircraft Type
    • Market Share by Production 2016–2025
  • North America Analysis
    • North America Key Findings
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, NA, 2015–2020
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion
  • Europe Analysis
    • Europe Key Findings
      • Table Air Transport Market: Aircraft Delivery Percentage Breakdown by Country, Europe, 2015
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, Europe, 2015–2020
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion
  • Asia-Pacific Analysis
    • Asia-Pacific Key Findings
      • Table Air Transport Market: Aircraft Delivery Percentage Breakdown by Country, APAC, 2015
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, APAC, 2015–2020
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion
  • Middle East and Africa Analysis
    • Middle East and Africa Key Findings
      • Table Air Transport Market: Aircraft Delivery Percent Breakdown by Country, MEA, 2015
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, MEA, 2015–2020
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion
  • Latin America Analysis
    • Latin America Key Findings
      • Table Air Transport Market: Aircraft Delivery Percentage Breakdown by Country, LA, 2015
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast
      • Table Air Transport Market: Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast, LA, 2015–2020
    • Unit Delivery and Revenue Forecast Discussion
  • Key Trends to Watch—Air Transport Market
    • Key Aerospace Industry Trends 2016
    • Trend 1—Engine Efficiency Improvements
    • Trend 2—Manufacturing Changes
    • Trend 3—Alternative Fuels
    • Trend 4—Electrification of Aircraft Systems
    • Trend 5—OEMs' Relations with Supply Chain
    • Trend 6—Connectivity Changes
  • Technology Outlook
    • Air Transport Program Update
      • Table Air Transport Market: Aircraft Entry In Service (EIS) Timeline by OEM, Global, 2016–2022
    • Program Update—Boeing
    • Program Update—Airbus
  • Key Conclusions
  • Appendix
    • Market Engineering Methodology

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