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Global Commercial Aircraft Market Results and Outlook, Q3 2016

Global Commercial Aircraft Market Results and Outlook, Q3 2016

This quarterly update of the global commercial aircraft production effort reflects adjustments to the ambitious production schedules reported in the last outlook. These changes will have an effect on everyone in the supply chain, but will impact second and third tier suppliers most significantly during the in-progress model changes. This will result in revisions of the suppliers' production schedules and their revenue expectations. The outlook portion of this research also looks at the future fight for middle-of-the-market aircraft.

Research Scope:
Program highlights (entry into service timeline)
Aircraft production history and forecast (2010–2025)
Delivery outlook (narrowbody production, widebody production, regional production, Boeing-Airbus unit share, Bombardier-Embraer revenue share, competitors’ book-to-bill ratio, OEM production and revenue share, operators’ regional distribution, and competitive M&A)

As other OEMs forecast entry into the market, Airbus and Boeing continue their fight for dominance. Embraer and ATR are making life difficult for Bombardier in the regional aircraft market. Book-to-bill ratios are under 1.0 for several manufacturers.


  • Executive Summary
    • Program Updates
  • Production History and Forecast
    • Production History and Forecast 2010-2025
  • Commercial Aircraft Delivery Outlook
    • Narrowbody Production Outlook (Units as of End Q3 2016)
      • Table Commercial Aircraft: Narrowbody Production, Global, 2016-2025
    • Widebody Production Outlook (Units as of End Q3 2016)
      • Table Commercial Aircraft: Widebody Production, Global, 2016-2025
    • Regional Production Outlook (Units as of End Q3 2016)
      • Table Commercial Aircraft: Regional Production, Global, 2016-2025
    • Boeing-Airbus-Continued Equality
    • Bombardier-Embraer-More Bad News for Bombardier
    • Airbus Book-to-Bill Ratio
    • Boeing Book-to-Bill Ratio
    • Bombardier Book-to-Bill Ratio
    • Embraer Book-to-Bill Ratio
    • OEM Production and Revenue Shares 2016-2025
    • Production-Operators' Regional Distribution 2016-2025
    • Competitive M&A

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